Originally posted by thl408:
Originally posted by OnTheClock:
Here's my thoughts on what I'd expect the best and worst case scenarios for the 3 most likely targets for us:
MAC JONES
Best case: A middle-class version of Tom Brady
Worst case: A Better version of Nick Mullens (bigger, better arm, and less turnovers)
TREY LANCE
Best case: Steve McNair - probably will take a ton of punishment like Steve, but could be a big-time playmaker.
Worst case: Marcus Mariota
JUSTIN FIELDS
Best case: Daunte Culpepper (pre-injury)
Worst case: Daunte Culpepper (post-injury)
How can you say the best case for Mac is the best football player to ever live and the best case for the others is a pro bowl type player? If you're going to do that for Mac, then the "best case" for all of them is Tom Brady.
I'm making that comparison based off of the way each plays the game. Mac Jones himself has said he models his game directly after Tom Brady. I've read the story about him refusing to throw "gimme" interceptions even in practice and the way he studies and competes and I've never seen a prospect more similar to TB before in almost every single way when evaluating him. It's just plain eerie. I've studied Mac incessantly and I see why his former teammates compare him to Tom. BUT.. and it's a big BUT.. I get the knocks too. I ultimately don't know. No one REALLY knows. To really clarify when I say best case Tom Brady, I guess I mean more in terms of at least statistical production. Please refer to the above bolded edit lol.
Lance? He could be an MVP caliber player, but I think because he turns into a runner so much, he could be beat the heck up like Steve got. I loved McNair and I felt like he took so many vicious shots because of his playstyle. Lance seems super super similar in his style of play as well. Huge arm, but can turn into a bull-dozing runner if he wants to.
Fields, big -- though not as big as Daunte was -- and both tested extremely well -- Daunte running 4.5 and Fields running 4.4. Culpepper had a 4:1 TD-INT ratio in his last year of college. Fields had a 3:1 ratio but was even better the previous year. Still, when DC got to the NFL, that consolidated down to around 2:1 except for his best year throwing 39-11. I could see Fields having similar success statistically in the NFL. Fields can obviously run, and so could Daunte. Again, statistically, I am projecting if he pans out, I could see him producing similar rushing and passing numbers to Daunte.
I am an extreme analytical person and will look at everything going back to multi-dimensional statistical analysis to the way they move, the way they process, and the way they react in certain situations. I am ABSOLUTELY NOT just saying "Oh white guy = other white guy" or "Oh this black guy = other black guy who played QB" -- I hope folks would give me more credit based on my incredibly strong and long track record for pick evaluation.
[ Edited by OnTheClock on Apr 8, 2021 at 12:53 PM ]
