MadDog&#39;s Final 256 Board

MadDog's Final 256 Board

MadDog49er · 2009-04-25T08:26:43-07:00

Laying my cards on the table, as most sites are doing right about now, here is the final full and complete draft, all 256 players. This is not a 7-Round mock draft, although my first and second rounders specifically target most teams. After the second round, the picks simply slot into certain areas. 7-Round mocks are by nature, silly, since one pick can alter a team's strategy for the entire draft (see Michael Crabtree), let alone trades that occur. My goal every year is to defeat all comers, and for three years straight, I have been the most accurate 7-round draft king of the world (in fact, the galaxy...my wife is currently rolling her eyes), hitting on more players being drafted than the experts who are paid for a living. I will certainly have more of the 256 draftees than Mel and Co., and it has been a nice run, but I fully expect to be de-throned this year by somebody. We'll soon see. There will be no tears if I lose out. I have put in bold letters the players I believe the Niners would target, at the slotted area, if the team selects Michael Crabtree at number 10. If the team selects Michael Oher, it would go a completely different direction. Hence, the silliness of a player and team projection for all 32-teams in the NFL. The slot shows the general area where a player will be chosen. If you have any questions about players, projections, please feel free to ask. I will be on the board during the draft on Saturday and Sunday, and will comment on the Niners and other teams' selection throughout. Before the draft begins, I want to thank OTC, Jeff22, Ghost, boomer, and many others who have commented on the board this season. It has been a good run, and I couldn't have had better company and debate. My three year run could not have been accomplished wihtout your imput, and if I screw up this year, you know where I will point the finger. Let the games begin. P.S. In fairness to the other websites around the world who are projecting their 256 players, I will not edit this board in any way, unless someone sends me a message about a technical error (numbers are wrong, doubling a player, etc.). 2009 NFL Draft 256 Big Board Pick Player School Position 1 Matthew Stafford Georgia QB 2 Jason Smith Baylor OT 3 Aaron Curry Wake Forest LB 4 Eugene Monroe Virginia OT 5 BJ Raji Boston College DT 6 Andre Smith Alabama OT 7 Jeremy Maclin Missouri WR 8 Mark Sanchez USC QB 9 Tyson Jackson LSU DE/DT 10 Michael Crabtree Texas Tech WR 11 Brian Orakpo Texas DE 12 Malcolm Jenkins Ohio State CB 13 Josh Freeman Kansas State QB 14 Beanie Wells Ohio State RB 15 Michael Oher Mississippi OT 16 Aaron Maybin Penn State DE 17 Percy Harvin Florida WR 18 Knowshon Moreno Georgia RB 19 Darius Butler UConn CB 20 Rey Maualuga USC LB 21 Donald Brown UConn RB 22 Darrius Heyward-Bey Maryland WR 23 Robert Ayers Tennessee DE 24 James Laurinaitis Ohio State LB 25 Michael Johnson Georgia Tech DE 26 Eben Britton Arizona OT 27 William Beatty UConn OT 28 Brandon Pettigrew Oklahoma State TE 29 Connor Barwin Cincinnati DE 30 Hakeem Nicks North Carolina WR 31 Brian Cushing USC LB 32 Alex Mack Cal C 33 Phil Loadholt Oklahoma OT 34 Jarron Gilbert San Jose St DT/DE 35 Clay Matthews USC LB 36 Brian Robiskie Ohio State WR 37 Everette Brown Florida State DE 38 Jared Cook South Carolina TE 39 Vontae Davis Illinois CB 40 Louis Delmas Western Michigan S 41 Peria Jerry Mississippi DT 42 Jamon Merideth South Carolina OT 43 Larry English Northern Illinois DE 44 Kenny Britt Rutgers WR 45 Sean Smith Utah CB 46 Eric Wood Louisville C 47 Mohamed Massaquoi Georgia WR 48 Alphonso Smith Wake Forest CB 49 Evander Hood Missouri DT 50 Patrick Chung Oregon S 51 Max Unger Oregon C/OT 52 Andre Brown NC State RB 53 Shonn Greene Iowa RB 54 Ron Brace Boston College DT 55 Shawn Nelson Southern Miss TE 56 Duke Robinson Oklahoma G 57 Rashad Jennings Liberty RB 58 Lawrence Sidbury Richmond DE 59 James Casey Rice TE 60 Pat White West Virginia QB/WR 61 Fili Moala USC DT 62 Kevin Barnes Maryland CB 63 Paul Kruger Utah DE 64 William Moore Missouri S 65 Alex Magee Purdue DT 66 Darcel McBath Texas Tech FS 67 Cody Brown UConn DE 68 Juaquin Iglesias Oklahoma WR 69 Javon Ringer Michigan State RB 70 Clint Sintim Virginia LB 71 Rashad Johnson Alabama S 72 Mike Mickens Cincinnati CB 73 Chase Coffman Missouri TE 74 Stephen McGee Texas A&M QB 75 Bradley Fletcher Iowa CB 76 Mike Thomas Arizona WR 77 Sen'Derrick Marks Auburn DT 78 Mike Wallace Mississippi WR 79 DJ Moore Vanderbilt CB 80 Travis Beckum Wisconsin TE 81 Louis Murphy Florida WR 82 Sherrod Martin Troy S/CB 83 Chris Clemons Clemson DB 84 Cornelius Ingram Florida TE 85 Asher Allen Georgia CB 86 David Bruton Notre Dame S 87 TJ Lang Eastern Michigan G/OT 88 Jason Williams Western Illinois LB 89 Herman Johnson LSU G 90 Kevin Ogletree Virginia WR 91 LeSean McCoy Pitt RB 92 Gerald Cadogan Penn State G/OT 93 Chip Vaughan Wake Forest S 94 Marcus Freeman Ohio State LB 95 Andy Levitre Oregon State G 96 Sebastian Vollmer Houston OT 97 Antoine Caldwell Alabama C 98 Macho Harris Virginia Tech CB 99 Derrick Williams Penn State WR 100 Jasper Brinkley South Carolina LB 101 Tyrone McKenzie South Florida LB 102 David Veikune Hawaii DE 103 Troy Kropog Tulane OT 104 Jairus Byrd Oregon CB 105 Rhett Bomar Sam Houston St QB 106 Kraig Urbik Wisconsin G 107 Mitch King Iowa DE/DT 108 Richard Quinn North Carolina TE 109 Keenan Lewis Oregon State CB 110 Scott McKillop Pitt LB 111 Fenuki Tupou Oregon OT 112 Coye Francies San Jose St CB 113 Michael Hamlin Clemson S 114 Dorell Scott Clemson DT 115 Deon Butler Penn State WR 116 Kory Sheets Purdue RB 117 Jonathan Luigs Arkansas C 118 Trevor Canfield Cincinnati G 119 Gerald McRath Southern Miss LB 120 Jarrett Dillard Rice WR 121 Chris Owens San Jose St CB 122 Lardarius Webb Nichols St CB/KR 123 Ramses Barden Cal Poly WR 124 Greg Toler St. Paul's College CB 125 Cedric Peerman Virginia RB 126 CJ Spillman Marshall FS 127 Donald Washington Ohio State CB 128 Brandon Hughes Oregon State CB 129 Tony Fiammeta Syracuse FB 130 Devin Moore Wyoming RB 131 Johnny Knox Abilene Christian WR 132 Brandon Underwood Cincinnati CB 133 Courtney Greene Rutgers S 134 Kenny McKinley South Carolina WR 135 Kyle Moore USC DE 136 Lydon Murtha Nebraska OT 137 DeAngelo Smith Cincinnati CB 138 Mike Goodson Texas A&M RB 139 Jarraud Powers Auburn CB 140 Xavier Fulton Illinois OT/G 141 Roy Miller Texas DT 142 Clinton McDonald Memphis DT 143 Brandon Williams Texas Tech DE 144 Kaluka Maiava USC LB 145 Pierre Walters Eastern Illinois DE 146 Quinn Johnson LSU FB 147 Darry Beckwith LSU LB 148 Aaron Kelly Clemson WR 149 Joel Bell Furman OT 150 Patrick Turner USC WR 151 Austin Collie BYU WR 152 Dannell Elerbe Georgia LB 153 Tom Brandstater Fresno St QB 154 Dominique Edison Stephen F Austin WR 155 Zach Potter Nebraska DE 156 Glenn Coffee Alabama RB 157 Chris Baker Hampton DT 158 Don Carey Nolfolk St CB 159 Brice McCain Utah CB 160 Andrew Gardner Georgia Tech OT 161 Zack Follett Cal LB 162 Stanley Arnoux Wake Forest LB 163 Jamarca Sanford Mississippi S 164 AQ Shipley Penn State C 165 DeAngelo Willingham Tennessee S 166 Glover Quin New Mexico CB 167 Darius Passmore Marshall WR 168 Cameron Morrah Cal TE 169 Mike Reilly Central Washington QB 170 Michael Mitchell Ohio S 171 James Davis Clemson RB 172 John Parker Wilson Alabama QB 173 Tyronne Green Auburn G 174 Louis Vasquez Texas Tech G 175 Bernard Scott Abilene Christian RB 176 Anthony Hill NC State TE 177 Aaron Brown TCU RB 178 Morgan Trent Michigan CB 179 Brandon Gibson Washington St WR 180 Blake Schlueter TCU C 181 Dudley Guise Northwestern St WR 182 Louie Sakoda Utah K 183 Davon Drew East Carolina TE 184 Sammie Lee Hill Stillman DT 185 Jason Watkins Florida OT 186 Robert Brewster Ball State OT/G 187 Corvey Irvin Georgia DT 188 Edwin Williams Maryland C 189 Ian Johnson Boise St RB 190 Vance Walker Georgia Tech DT 191 Dan Gronkowski Maryland TE 192 Tiquan Underwood Rutgers WR 193 Ryan Mouton Hawaii CB 194 Derek Pegues Mississippi St S 195 Bruce Johnson Miami CB 196 Terrance Taylor Michigan DT 197 Roger Allen III Missouri-Western G 198 Henry Melton Texas DE 199 Jonathan Casillas Wisconsin LB 200 Joe Burnett Central Florida CB 201 Lee Robinson Alcorn St LB 202 Zach Miller Nebraska-Omaha TE 203 DeAndre Levy Wisconsin LB 204 Ricky Jean-Francois LSU DT 205 Nick Reed Oregon DE/LB 206 Trimane Goddard North Carolina S 207 Brian Hoyer Michigan St QB 208 Terrance Knighton Temple DT 209 Hunter Cantwell Louisville QB 210 Javarris Williams Tennessee St RB 211 Brannan Southerland Georgia FB 212 De'Von Hall Utah St S 213 Frantz Joseph Florida Atlantic LB 214 Sammie Stroughter Oregon State WR 215 Curtis Painter Purdue QB 216 Kevin Huber Cincinnati P 217 Russell Allen San Diego St DE 218 Everette Pedescleaux Northern Iowa DT 219 Josh Mauga Nevada LB 220 Jason Phillips TCU LB 221 Frank Summers UNLV FB 222 Thomas Morstead SMU P 223 Conredge Collins Pittsburgh FB 224 Pannel Egboh Stanford DE 225 Brandon Long Michigan State DE/OLB 226 Jaimie Thomas Maryland G 227 Quinten Lawrence McNeese St WR 228 Garrett Reynolds North Carolina OT 229 Julius Williams UConn DE 230 Vaughn Martin Western Ontario DT 231 Brooks Foster North Carolina WR 232 David Buehler USC K 233 Graham Gano Florida State K 234 Brian Toal Boston College FB 235 Phillip Hunt Houston DE 236 Robert Francois Boston College LB 237 Augustus Parrish Kent St OT 238 Cornelius Lewis Tennessee St OT 239 Andy Kemp Wisconsin G 240 Nathan Brown Central Arkansas QB 241 Al Afalava Oregon State S 242 Stryker Sulak Purdue DE/LB 243 Will Johnson Michigan DE 244 Bear Pascoe Fresno St TE 245 Brandon Walker Oklahoma G 246 Nic Harris Oklahoma S/LB 247 Julian Edelman Kent St QB 248 Stephen Hodge TCU LB 249 Lance Louis San Diego St G 250 Michael Ray Garvin Florida State CB 251 John Gill Northwestern DT 252 John Phillips Virginia TE 253 Derek Cox William & Mary CB 254 Quan Cosby Texas WR 255 Jake Ingram Hawaii LS 256 Jason McCourty Rutgers CB

Apr 25, 2009 at 8:32 AM

Shorteous
Veteran
Posts: 3,299

just looking over our possible pick ups, if we were able grab those players I think I would have a very hard time waiting for the season to start in september. Thanks MD

[ Edited by Shorteous on Apr 25, 2009 at 8:41 AM ]

Apr 25, 2009 at 8:42 AM

7square
Veteran
Posts: 9

Super useful -- thanks! (Though I hope you're wrong about Crabtree.)

In the minor technical error department: Jamon Meredith

Apr 25, 2009 at 8:55 AM

ChaunceyGardner
Q46 Draft Winner
Posts: 23,761

Interesting board this year, the top is so fluid it is pretty exciting actually.

How do you grade your top 256? Do you just do +/- of how far each pick actually occurs from the projected spot, add up the total variance then divide by 256?

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:17 AM

MadDog49er
Hall of Fame
Posts: 19,400

Originally posted by ChaunceyGardner:
Interesting board this year, the top is so fluid it is pretty exciting actually.

How do you grade your top 256? Do you just do +/- of how far each pick actually occurs from the projected spot, add up the total variance then divide by 256?

I create the board based on where I think the general area where the player will fall.
For instance, if two teams are looking for a RB in the third round, and they are drafting in the 70th and 76th slot, I have a tendency to split the pick down the middle, and project the player to go 73rd overall.

I don't grade the players on this board, since that is a completely different animal. For instance, I believe that Phil Loadholt is the twelfth best OT in this draft, but he'll probably be the 7th OT drafted overall.

There are a number of solid publications that put up a value board, where they believe a player will be drafted. Some boards are different than others. Some overvalue and some undervalue. Three examples: For some time now, three prospects had been sitting on NFL Draft Scout.com's late round draft projection: Devin Moore, Mike Wallace and Bradley Fletcher. Based on their college performances, measurables, and off-season workouts, I had all three players slotted into the 3rd round months ago. In recent weeks, NFL Draft Scout.com has moved Bradley Fletcher from the 7th to the 3rd round; Mike Wallace from 7th to a 3rd-4th; and they still have Devin Moore as a 6th-7th rounder. I have Moore as a 4th rounder.

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:25 AM

mayo49
Veteran
Posts: 65,216

Looks like NYJ have a deal in place with the JAGS that if Sanchez or Crabtree is there at #8 they'll swap. So it looks like Orakpo is the next best.

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:28 AM

GhostofFredDean74
Hall of Fame
Posts: 30,082

As always, great stuff MD!!!!

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:30 AM

TonyStarks
Veteran
Posts: 62,725

You think the raiders will pass up on Crabtree?

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:32 AM

49ERGLENN
Veteran
Posts: 5,567

It works for me, I am just concerned about Crabtree's DIVA attitude and some Pro Personnel people are saying he has? I hope the Coaches know something we don't if he's the pick? But good job as always!

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:35 AM

TheHitman
Info N/A

Good luck with the draft, bro. You've put in a lot of work.

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:38 AM

#10

Paul_Hofer
Veteran
Posts: 4,052

Maddog,
You kept Maybin at about where other mocks have him, but not so Everette Brown down to #37. What are you seeing in Brown to drop him about 20 spots?

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:51 AM

#11

Firenze
Veteran
Posts: 5

Thanks as usual. I check this bord during the two days. I'm wait for your opinion after the first day. But, seriously, do you think Cratrbee will fall to #10? Why?

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:51 AM

#12

MadDog49er
Hall of Fame
Posts: 19,400

Originally posted by TonyStarks:
You think the raiders will pass up on Crabtree?

I know it goes against logic, but Al Davis loves speed, and that is not Crabtree's forte. Michael Lombardi of the NFL Draft Post, who worked with Davis for years, does not believe Davis would draft a guy without a timed speed. Crab does not have a timed 40 due to his injury.

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:53 AM

#13

TonyStarks
Veteran
Posts: 62,725

Originally posted by MadDog49er:
Originally posted by TonyStarks:
You think the raiders will pass up on Crabtree?

I know it goes against logic, but Al Davis loves speed, and that is not Crabtree's forte. Michael Lombardi of the NFL Draft Post, who worked with Davis for years, does not believe Davis would draft a guy without a timed speed. Crab does not have a timed 40 due to his injury.

Apr 25, 2009 at 9:55 AM

#14

MadDog49er
Hall of Fame
Posts: 19,400

Originally posted by Paul_Hofer:
Maddog,
You kept Maybin at about where other mocks have him, but not so Everette Brown down to #37. What are you seeing in Brown to drop him about 20 spots?

Brown is seen by most to be a one-dimensional player, simply an edge rusher. On top of that, he's less than 6'2", which is a killer for DE's who do not have blinding speed.

Does this mean he will not be a productive pro player? No. But, as a first rounder, I think people will pass.