Every single one of these articles takes a long-winded, tired approach to one simple tenet of thought:
The 49ers won't be that good in 2012 because they were so good in 2011 that there's no way they can repeat it.
I think it's nonsense personally. It's not like a roll of the dice where the probability of you rolling all sixes two times in a row is very unlikely.
There's much more to it than these stupid, subjective "of the 32 teams that had more than 12 wins in..blah blah blah" ideas.
The 49ers are a talented team with a talented coach, who only improved their squad during the offseason. There's nothing "chance" about those individuals or their abilities.
Furthermore, these articles leave out the major factor that it was only year one with Harbaugh, and a lockout-shortened year one at that. Following that logic, the 49ers stand to be better this year thanks to further familiarity within the system, added talent, and more offseason time to acclimate everyone.
It all depends on how you swing it, and a lot of these writers are taking the negative approach to the 2012 Niners so they have some material that varies from "common belief" among the pundits. My thinking is this:
There's a reason why the 49ers are the trendy Super Bowl pick. It's because they're damn good. Saying otherwise is just a way to have your writing stand out.
[ Edited by NinerPrideinNJ on Aug 7, 2012 at 8:25 AM ]