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AB's Mock Offseason V1.0

Early Mock Offseason

We currently stand at $3,588,665 under the projected 2013 cap, which is $121M, plus the credits of $1.643M for uncapped year violations by Washington and Dallas.

First order of business is getting further under the salary cap, and here is how it is done.

Extend Justin Smith, Donte Whitner and David Akers, cut Parys Haralson and Alex Smith. Saving a total of $20,206,668. Plus the previous $3,588,665 gives us $23,795,333 to start free agency/offseason.

What I figured for Smith, Whitner, and Akers for new deals are below.

Smith has a base salary of $7.5 Million, which would be cut down to $940,000, which converts the remaining $6.56 Million into a signing bonus, prorated over 3 seasons, at $2,186,666. He also has a $500,000 workout bonus that I would keep as is. You would also guarantee his 2013 salary.

We could see his cap figures look like this.

2013- $940,000(Base Salary), $500,000(Workout Bonus), and $2,186,666 (Signing Bonus) = $3,626,666
2014- $3,500,000(Base Salary), $500,000(Workout Bonus), and $2,186,666(Signing Bonus) = $6,186,666
2015- $6,500,000(Base Salary), $500,000(Workout Bonus), and $2,186,666(Signing Bonus) = $9,186,666

Total Value = 3-year deal worth around $19 Million

We would save $4,373,334 in cap room with this deal for Smith.

Whitner now has a $3.75 Million base salary, which we can cut down to $840,000, which converts the remaining $2.91 Million into a signing bonus, prorated over 3 seasons, at $970,000 a year. Now he would have $833,333 in signing bonus proration from his previous 3-year deal on 2013 cap. We would also guarantee his 2013 salary.

We could see his cap figures look like this.

2013- $840,000(Base Salary), $250,000(Workout Bonus), $833,333(Previous Signing Bonus), $970,000(New Signing Bonus) = $2,993,333
2014- $2,000,000(Base Salary), $250,000(Workout Bonus), $970,000(New Signing Bonus) = $3,220,000
2015- $3,000,000(Base Salary), $250,000(Workout Bonus), $970,000(New Signing Bonus) = $4,220,000

Total Value = 3-year deal worth around $10.43 Million

We would save $1.84 Million in cap room with this deal for Whitner.

Akers now has a $3 Million base salary for 2013, which can be cut down to $940,000, which converts the remaining $2.06 Million into a signing bonus, prorated over 3 seasons, at $686,666, Now he has a previous signing bonus proration of $566,667 for 2013. We would also guarantee his 2013 salary.

We could see his cap figures look like this.

2013- $940,000(Base Salary), $566,667(Previous Signing Bonus), $686,666(New Signing Bonus), $50,000(Possible Pro Bowl Incentives) = $2,243,333
2014- $1,500,000(Base Salary), $686,666(New Signing Bonus), $50,000(Possible Pro Bowl Incentive) = $2,236,666
2015- $2,500,000(Base Salary), $686,666(New Signing Bonus), $50,000(Possible Pro Bowl Incentive) = $3,236,666

Total Value = 3-year deal worth around $7.716 Million

We would see a savings of $1,373,334 in cap room for this deal for Akers.

Lets go to our re-signings.

Darcel McBath and Tramaine Brock to 1yr deals worth $630,000 each.

Dashon Goldson would extended for 5 seasons through the 2017 season, similar deal to Alex Smith, where it's more cap friendly. I'll give him salaries of this, 2013($5M), 2014($5M), 2015($8M), 2016($8M), 2017($10M) a total of $36M over 5 years, average of $7.2 Million.

We keep Carlos Rogers at least for 1 more season, makes no sense to cut him, wouldn't save any money to use right away.

Lets go ahead and sign Eddie Whitley, Michael Thomas, Ricardo Lockette, Tony Jerod-Eddie, Al Netter, Kenny Wiggins, Michael Wilhoite and Cam Johnson to 2 yr deals worth $900,000 each, with salaries of $405,000 for 2013.

With additions of the 8 P-Squad guys, Goldson, McBath and Brock re-signed, Alex and Haralson cut, we have 52 players signed for 2013 now.

We would also see our cap room reduced down to $14,700,333 under the cap.

Now we re-sign Ricky Jean Francois to a 3yr deal through 2015 worth $3M annually. His salary in 2013 is $2.25M

Re-Sign Delanie Walker to a 4yr deal through 2016 worth $3M a year annually. 2013 number at $2.75M

Tavares Gooden signed at 2yr deal worth $1.25M annually, each season same cap figure of $1.25M

That's a total of $6.25M taken away, leaving us $8,450,333 under. And take away $4M for rookie, I expect trading around, so no using 12-14 picks. Leaves us $4,450,333 to spend. Also we gain $405K for RJF, Delanie and Gooden each due to top 51 rule, so actually under by $5,665,333

Now Re-Signed Randy Moss, 1yr $2.5M deal.

Re-Sign Leonard Davis for 1yr $940K, but counts only $550K against the cap, so take away $405K each for Moss and Davis, we are now $3,425,333 under for 2013 season.

We would let Grant, Jacobs, Ginn, Haggans go via free agency.

Current Depth Chart for Mini Camps before Training Camp.

QB- Kaepernick, Tolzien
RB- Gore, Hunter, James, Dixon, Hampton
FB- Miller
FB/DE- Tukuafu
WR- Crabtree, Manningham, Moss, Williams, Jenkins, Lockette
TE- Davis, Walker, Celek
TE/DE- Dobbs
C- Goodwin, Kilgore
OG- Iupati, Boone, Looney, Davis
OT- Staley, Davis, Wiggins, Netter
DE- Smith, McDonald, Jerod-Eddie
NT- Jean Francois, Williams
OLB- Smith, Brooks, Johnson, Fleming
ILB- Willis, Bowman, Gooden, Wilhoite
CB- Rogers, Brown, Culliver, Cox, Brock
S- Goldson, Whitner, Spillman, Robinson, McBath, Thomas, Whitley
K- Akers
P- Lee
LS- Jennings

Draft Day:

I expect between pick 30-32 for drafting each week for our own picks.

Rd 1- NT Jonathan Hankins, Ohio State

Trade up, our 1st and Carolina 3rd for Mid 1st

Rd 2- DE Sharrif Floyd, Florida

Trade up, our 2nd and 4th for early-mid 2nd

Rd 3- OLB Jackson Jeffcoat, Texas

Rd 4- C Grahamm Pocic, Illinois

Trade our Colts 5th and Our 6th for Late 4th

Rd 5- QB Brad Sorensen, Southern Utah

Rd 5(Comp Pick) – CB Rod Sweeting, Georgia Tech

Rd 6 (f/Dolphins)- ILB A.J. Klein, Iowa State

Rd 7(f/Bengals) – OLB Devin Taylor, South Carolina

Rd 7- K Brett Maher, Nebraska

Rd 7(Comp Pick) – QB Jordan Rodgers, Vanderbilt

2013 Depth Chart:

QB- Kaepernick, Tolzien, Sorensen
RB- Gore, Hunter, James
FB- Miller
WR- Crabtree, Manningham, Moss, Williams, Jenkins
TE- Vernon, Walker, Celek, Dobbs
C- Goodwin, Kilgore
C/OG- Pocic
OG- Iupati, Boone, Looney, Davis
OT- Staley, Davis

DE- Smith, McDonald, Floyd, Tukuafu
NT- Jean Francois, Hankins, Williams
OLB- Smith, Brooks, Jeffcoat, Taylor/Fleming/Johnson
ILB- Willis, Bowman, Gooden, Wilhoite/Klein
CB- Rogers, Brown, Culliver, Cox, Sweeting
S- Goldson, Whitner, Spillman, Robinson, Thomas

K- Akers
P- Lee
LS- Jennings

With the remaining 3.425M I would throw it at Bowman, as part of a huge extension, which would have 2M in prorated bonus over 5 more years, so $12M Signing Bonus. Plus roster bonuses, etc….
Also after 2013 we would exted, depending on performance, Manningham, Brown and K.Williams.

After 2014, Aldon Smith, Kaepernick, Culliver, Hunter, Miller get extended, Rogers cut somehwere between '13 and '14.

Before those though Iupati, A.Davis and Crabtree need to be addressed.
[ Edited by AB83Rules on Nov 24, 2012 at 5:58 PM ]
what happens to soap
I don't see spending 3 million a year on Walker. He's a good blocker but he drops more passes then he catches. I can upgrade his position in the draft at a much cheaper cost.
Originally posted by bors:
what happens to soap

RJF takes his job and we draft a NT early for the first time ever
Originally posted by SanFranFanfrmVa:
I don't see spending 3 million a year on Walker. He's a good blocker but he drops more passes then he catches. I can upgrade his position in the draft at a much cheaper cost.

I agree. He's gone. There's so much talent coming up at the college level at the TE position now. We should draft another talented TE on day two.
Why cut smith?! We could definitely trade him. A qb who took his team to the NFC Championship game along with a 1st and a second could easily get us into the top 10 in the first round.
Wow. That's EXACTLY what I had in mind!
Nice job AB.
So we cut smith and draft 2 rookie qbs, and one of them is aarons lil brother. okay....

good analysis on everything else though
Originally posted by montereyjack415:
Why cut smith?! We could definitely trade him. A qb who took his team to the NFC Championship game along with a 1st and a second could easily get us into the top 10 in the first round.

What team who needs a QB in the top 10 will take Alex over the potential of Geno Smith, EJ Manual, Mike Glennnon or any other QB like Tyler Wilson and Landry Jones. Plus a late 1st and 2nd wont get us into top 10.

Cutting Alex asap opens up more cap room for deals to be done.
All of this sounds great and definitely feasible, but I'm thinking and hoping that they can ride Alex Smith another season. There is no reason to cut him if he performs reasonably well in the playoffs (a string of good games + at least one win).

As much as I like Randy Moss, I don't see him coming back. If we win the Super Bowl, it's almost a sure thing he retires. If we don't, it's hard to call it. It's clear he has something left in the tank however.

Delanie Walker is another player I like for all he brings to the offense and special teams, but he rates pretty low as a receiver, and in this offense, the number 2 TE needs to be sure handed. He could and should be brought back, but I'm hoping it won't take 3 million a season. It would be unfortunate, but I'd be willing to let him walk and draft another TE. There have been some pretty good TEs coming out in the last few seasons. No need to miss out and spend 3 million on Delanie Walker.

I also don't see Leonard Davis being brought back. Unless I am missing something, what is his value to the team? Finally, there is Johnathan Goodwin. He is playing well on a really good offensive line. However he is either gone after this season or next season. With a cap number of 5 million for 2013, would we save that entire amount if he is cut? If so, between a lower number for Delanie Walker, not bringing back Davis and Moss, and letting go of Goodwin, we should have enough to hold onto Smith for at least the 2013 season.

One other note, if CK performs anywhere near his potential, this team is getting blown up because there is no way we will be able to sign him (after 2014) to a contract similar to the one we gave to Alex Smith.
Originally posted by bors:
what happens to soap


soap is the main reason our run defense has regressed
My understanding is that Hankins is going much earlier than the mid 1st. Also, not sure that an early 3rd gets you into the mid first from the 30s
interesting take

I can't see Moss and Delanie Walker coming back next year.

One area that you've not considered is the cut / release of Frank Gore. I'm not advocating it but if you are looking for cap room you have to remember his age and salary and that he's getting a little banged up. The team has Kendal Hunter and LaMichael James on the roster already and if they released Gore in 2013 then a RB could be taken in the draft too to keep the running game ticking over.

I would not be surprised to see Alex and Frank leave the team together and the offence transition with Kaep, LaMichael, Kendall and Jenkins coming in to add greater elussive playmaking skills. The draft could still allow you to pick up a young, one-cut steamroller back to complement Kendal and James.