Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by Jakemall:
1. You said the 9ers can only trade him to a team he wants to go to. That's simply false. Justify it how you want.
2. Plenty of teams will take a player on a 1 year flyer to see if they can convince him to stay. It happens. Doesn't always work. 9ers would still get some value in that situation..just not a 1st round pick. The reason this won't happen isn't because of the influence that BA has over the circumstances. It's because the 9ers are in such a position of strength having a contract.
3. It becomes cost effective when you consider the 14m is the first year. 14+22+(28ish)= 64m. VS 90m?? Even if you factor in a 4th year with 0 income, which is unlikely, we're still talking about 22m/y over a 4 year contract vs 21m a year average using tags. And the later has no guaranteed except for the year being played...meaning less injury risk for the team.
I mean he's not unhappy here. He wants to play in SF. He just wants to get paid. Teams aren't gonna give up anything meaningful if there's no extension included. Kinda disagree there.
Folks gotta understand APY means nothing. His cap hit is not gonna be $30M, $30M, $30M each yr for the life of his deal. It's not evenly distributed like that. It's ALL about the GTD cash. Go look at every contract and how the cap is distributed.
You're basically saying tag him twice and give straight up $64M FGTD for 3 yrs of football? That's a s**t ton of gtd $ that we can't spread out at all & have no long-term commitment. There's no way to manipulate that on the cap, no restructuring nothing.
I don't expect him to leave. I think he'll be wearing red and gold. I think the 9ers will give a number between 26-28.
Yes, I get that the number means little when you can shove things around, but how else do you suggest discussing the topic? There has to be some sort of measuring stick even if it is flawed. Amon-Ra Brown's contract is 120m/4 years with 77m guaranteed.
I'm not saying we should tag BA. I'm saying that it is cheaper than 30m a year. Look even if we match Amon-Ra's contract that's 77m Locked in over 4 years. Vs 64m over 3. And the Tag guarantees are each year so if Amon-Ra has a career ending injury his team loses 77m. Using the current contract the only loss would be 14m. Then 22m. Then 28m. The risk is MUCH less. The non-guaranteed money still hits the cap, it just gets shifted around a bit..so even if the contract was set to be gentle upfront, 9ers still eventually pay for it.
If the only goal was to get talent on the cheap for a superbowl run, paying 14m then the 22m tag then using the last tag as trade bait would be the best option. There's all sorts of ramifications that would go with that play, but there it is.
I'm all for BA getting his payday...just not the one he thinks he should get. Not my money, but I think the 9ers are right on this one.
[ Edited by Jakemall on Aug 8, 2024 at 5:10 PM ]