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Kaepernick's Trade Value

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Originally posted by Pillbusta:
I thought this was a trade value thread. I don't know what was offered by whom but I wouldn't trade Kap for anything less than a second seeing what the QB market looks like now and I'd settle for CLE third as well perhaps. DEN can start Sanchez all they want but shy of their second Kap stays here and we pay him. I don't want to hear about how he poisons the locker room and how he's not buying in and yada yada. It makes zero difference because if he loses camp to Blaine or doesn't show he is but an afterthought anyway. Like Polian said I would not trade Kap for pennies simply because there's zero benefit to us. Kap can't hurt this team any more than his poor play on the field. He can't hurt us financially or otherwise. Kap's best play right now is to insist on getting what we're paying him from us or another team. If he takes a pay cut in a trade and still sucks he's lost money he'll never see again in his career. If he is stuck here he's guaranteed another $11.9M over his career and he has an opportunity to play with a coach that just got Sam Bradford another $35 million. Think about that. Why the hell would he take a pay cut right now just to leave SF?

I want TB to hold firm on his demands and just keep Kap if they aren't met. That's our best play

Well said
Originally posted by Pillbusta:
I thought this was a trade value thread. I don't know what was offered by whom but I wouldn't trade Kap for anything less than a second seeing what the QB market looks like now and I'd settle for CLE third as well perhaps. DEN can start Sanchez all they want but shy of their second Kap stays here and we pay him. I don't want to hear about how he poisons the locker room and how he's not buying in and yada yada. It makes zero difference because if he loses camp to Blaine or doesn't show he is but an afterthought anyway. Like Polian said I would not trade Kap for pennies simply because there's zero benefit to us. Kap can't hurt this team any more than his poor play on the field. He can't hurt us financially or otherwise. Kap's best play right now is to insist on getting what we're paying him from us or another team. If he takes a pay cut in a trade and still sucks he's lost money he'll never see again in his career. If he is stuck here he's guaranteed another $11.9M over his career and he has an opportunity to play with a coach that just got Sam Bradford another $35 million. Think about that. Why the hell would he take a pay cut right now just to leave SF?

I want TB to hold firm on his demands and just keep Kap if they aren't met. That's our best play

This.

Regardless of how anyone feels about the guy, keeping him is probably our best move unless DEN or CLE offers something that we cannot refuse. I do not see the rush to get rid of him, I would actually look forward to a training camp battle between Kap and Gabbert. You can't have too many QBs in this league, why put ourselves in a corner where we are forced to start 1 guy when we can have 2 options to choose from?
Originally posted by eamjr10:
This.

Regardless of how anyone feels about the guy, keeping him is probably our best move unless DEN or CLE offers something that we cannot refuse. I do not see the rush to get rid of him, I would actually look forward to a training camp battle between Kap and Gabbert. You can't have too many QBs in this league, why put ourselves in a corner where we are forced to start 1 guy when we can have 2 options to choose from?

This works as long as Kap doesn't refuse to compete. I know that seems far-fetched given the future earnings potential he has at stake, but he hasn't historically shown the ability (nor have his agents) of always taking the most wise approach to situations.
Originally posted by Pillbusta:
I thought this was a trade value thread. I don't know what was offered by whom but I wouldn't trade Kap for anything less than a second seeing what the QB market looks like now and I'd settle for CLE third as well perhaps. DEN can start Sanchez all they want but shy of their second Kap stays here and we pay him. I don't want to hear about how he poisons the locker room and how he's not buying in and yada yada. It makes zero difference because if he loses camp to Blaine or doesn't show he is but an afterthought anyway. Like Polian said I would not trade Kap for pennies simply because there's zero benefit to us. Kap can't hurt this team any more than his poor play on the field. He can't hurt us financially or otherwise. Kap's best play right now is to insist on getting what we're paying him from us or another team. If he takes a pay cut in a trade and still sucks he's lost money he'll never see again in his career. If he is stuck here he's guaranteed another $11.9M over his career and he has an opportunity to play with a coach that just got Sam Bradford another $35 million. Think about that. Why the hell would he take a pay cut right now just to leave SF?

I want TB to hold firm on his demands and just keep Kap if they aren't met. That's our best play

I agree
Originally posted by Blindfury:
Originally posted by qnnhan7:
By this premise, he's also a dumbass for not telling the coaches that he can't play adequately with these injuries, but tried to play through them and ended up looking like s**t on the field. A grown up that can't voice his injuries until he got benched. How stupid is this...

He tried to lay through his injuries probably thinking he would get benched. He was playing for his job.

But lets stop playing games. If Kaep said "Hey, look, I'm injured, I can't play...sit me"..... How would you react? You have already gone on record saying that his injuries were not serious and didn't affect his play. How would you and the others who ctiticize Kaep constantly have taken Kaep "giving up"? Guy would have gotten fried no matter what. And this goes back to my point. There is nothing Kaep can do besides channel the 2nd coming of Joe Montana to escape even a tiny bit of criticism from the "you know who" of criticizers.

By this premise, you are making him out to be selfish. Playong through injury even though his play was becoming a detriment to the team.

I would respect him more had he indicated that his performance was bad due to his injury and that he needs time help with the injury. Like Peyton Manning.

With this premise, was he afraid of Gabbert taking away his job? Because Gabbert played the rest of the season. So he was afraid to lose his job with the disclose of injury, trying to play through the injuries, his performance still sucks on the field. Ended up still losing his job to Gabbert. How stupid is that...

Kaep will get the RG3 treatment if he takes it past April 1st. You don't risk playing a tradable value in Kaep that already has interest parties involved. And if he gets injured, they will be on the hook again for another settlement sum. Trading deadline doesn't end until November. Kaep will not play again with the Niners.
Originally posted by qnnhan7:
Originally posted by Blindfury:
Originally posted by qnnhan7:
By this premise, he's also a dumbass for not telling the coaches that he can't play adequately with these injuries, but tried to play through them and ended up looking like s**t on the field. A grown up that can't voice his injuries until he got benched. How stupid is this...

He tried to lay through his injuries probably thinking he would get benched. He was playing for his job.

But lets stop playing games. If Kaep said "Hey, look, I'm injured, I can't play...sit me"..... How would you react? You have already gone on record saying that his injuries were not serious and didn't affect his play. How would you and the others who ctiticize Kaep constantly have taken Kaep "giving up"? Guy would have gotten fried no matter what. And this goes back to my point. There is nothing Kaep can do besides channel the 2nd coming of Joe Montana to escape even a tiny bit of criticism from the "you know who" of criticizers.

By this premise, you are making him out to be selfish. Playong through injury even though his play was becoming a detriment to the team.

I would respect him more had he indicated that his performance was bad due to his injury and that he needs time help with the injury. Like Peyton Manning.

With this premise, was he afraid of Gabbert taking away his job? Because Gabbert played the rest of the season. So he was afraid to lose his job with the disclose of injury, trying to play through the injuries, his performance still sucks on the field. Ended up still losing his job to Gabbert. How stupid is that...

Kaep will get the RG3 treatment if he takes it past April 1st. You don't risk playing a tradable value in Kaep that already has interest parties involved. And if he gets injured, they will be on the hook again for another settlement sum. Trading deadline doesn't end until November. Kaep will not play again with the Niners.

lol you guys find anything to knock the dude. He was injured. He played horribly. Sometimes that is all it has to be, no matter how much more you guys want to make of it.
Originally posted by eamjr10:
This.

Regardless of how anyone feels about the guy, keeping him is probably our best move unless DEN or CLE offers something that we cannot refuse. I do not see the rush to get rid of him, I would actually look forward to a training camp battle between Kap and Gabbert. You can't have too many QBs in this league, why put ourselves in a corner where we are forced to start 1 guy when we can have 2 options to choose from?

I'm afraid if we keep him Baalke won't address the QB position again in the draft. If he is gone, then it will force Baalke to go after someone hard like Goff.
Originally posted by smithgdwg:
Originally posted by eamjr10:
This.

Regardless of how anyone feels about the guy, keeping him is probably our best move unless DEN or CLE offers something that we cannot refuse. I do not see the rush to get rid of him, I would actually look forward to a training camp battle between Kap and Gabbert. You can't have too many QBs in this league, why put ourselves in a corner where we are forced to start 1 guy when we can have 2 options to choose from?

I'm afraid if we keep him Baalke won't address the QB position again in the draft. If he is gone, then it will force Baalke to go after someone hard like Goff.

That's a good point, I can understand that view. It's hard to know what Baalke is planning
Originally posted by eamjr10:
Originally posted by smithgdwg:
Originally posted by eamjr10:
This.

Regardless of how anyone feels about the guy, keeping him is probably our best move unless DEN or CLE offers something that we cannot refuse. I do not see the rush to get rid of him, I would actually look forward to a training camp battle between Kap and Gabbert. You can't have too many QBs in this league, why put ourselves in a corner where we are forced to start 1 guy when we can have 2 options to choose from?

I'm afraid if we keep him Baalke won't address the QB position again in the draft. If he is gone, then it will force Baalke to go after someone hard like Goff.

That's a good point, I can understand that view. It's hard to know what Baalke is planning

but also kap value will not increase unless he plays at which case youre taking a risk

if he stays on the team and doesnt play his value decreases

if he plays im not so sure he gets better his regression is linear from year to year im not so sure the pattern changes
Originally posted by harryj:
but also kap value will not increase unless he plays at which case youre taking a risk

if he stays on the team and doesnt play his value decreases

if he plays im not so sure he gets better his regression is linear from year to year im not so sure the pattern changes

Correct. Also, if he plays, his value will probably decrease because he will be horrible behind this O-line.
Originally posted by Rubberneck36:
Originally posted by harryj:
but also kap value will not increase unless he plays at which case youre taking a risk

if he stays on the team and doesnt play his value decreases

if he plays im not so sure he gets better his regression is linear from year to year im not so sure the pattern changes

Correct. Also, if he plays, his value will probably decrease because he will be horrible behind this O-line.

which is why i think its time to move on we should cut our losses get what we can and rebuild

clearly we are not an attractive place for FA we have 60M in cap space and got literally no one i have to believe the reason for that is we are a team on the downhill im not kelly biggest fan but he is a smart coach no doubt about that and if we get a new qb and show some improvement we may be an attractive choice again
[ Edited by harryj on Mar 16, 2016 at 6:39 AM ]
Originally posted by harryj:
Originally posted by Rubberneck36:
Originally posted by harryj:
but also kap value will not increase unless he plays at which case youre taking a risk

if he stays on the team and doesnt play his value decreases

if he plays im not so sure he gets better his regression is linear from year to year im not so sure the pattern changes

Correct. Also, if he plays, his value will probably decrease because he will be horrible behind this O-line.

which is why i think its time to move on we should cut our losses get what we can and rebuild

clearly we are not an attractive place for FA we have 60M in cap space and got literally no one i have to believe the reason for that is we are a team on the downhill im not kelly biggest fan but he is a smart coach no doubt about that and if we get a new qb and show some improvement we may be an attractive choice again

Agree again. If we aren't going to have a solid O-line, might as well trade Kap now. He needs a solid O-line that gives him plenty of time to use his talents.

But the niners, and some of these dudes on here who thought we would get a 1st for Kap, are crazy if they think teams are going to pay a high price for Kap.
Originally posted by Pillbusta:
I thought this was a trade value thread. I don't know what was offered by whom but I wouldn't trade Kap for anything less than a second seeing what the QB market looks like now and I'd settle for CLE third as well perhaps. DEN can start Sanchez all they want but shy of their second Kap stays here and we pay him. I don't want to hear about how he poisons the locker room and how he's not buying in and yada yada. It makes zero difference because if he loses camp to Blaine or doesn't show he is but an afterthought anyway. Like Polian said I would not trade Kap for pennies simply because there's zero benefit to us. Kap can't hurt this team any more than his poor play on the field. He can't hurt us financially or otherwise. Kap's best play right now is to insist on getting what we're paying him from us or another team. If he takes a pay cut in a trade and still sucks he's lost money he'll never see again in his career. If he is stuck here he's guaranteed another $11.9M over his career and he has an opportunity to play with a coach that just got Sam Bradford another $35 million. Think about that. Why the hell would he take a pay cut right now just to leave SF?

I want TB to hold firm on his demands and just keep Kap if they aren't met. That's our best play

  • thl408
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Originally posted by Pillbusta:
I thought this was a trade value thread. I don't know what was offered by whom but I wouldn't trade Kap for anything less than a second seeing what the QB market looks like now and I'd settle for CLE third as well perhaps. DEN can start Sanchez all they want but shy of their second Kap stays here and we pay him. I don't want to hear about how he poisons the locker room and how he's not buying in and yada yada. It makes zero difference because if he loses camp to Blaine or doesn't show he is but an afterthought anyway. Like Polian said I would not trade Kap for pennies simply because there's zero benefit to us. Kap can't hurt this team any more than his poor play on the field. He can't hurt us financially or otherwise. Kap's best play right now is to insist on getting what we're paying him from us or another team. If he takes a pay cut in a trade and still sucks he's lost money he'll never see again in his career. If he is stuck here he's guaranteed another $11.9M over his career and he has an opportunity to play with a coach that just got Sam Bradford another $35 million. Think about that. Why the hell would he take a pay cut right now just to leave SF?

I want TB to hold firm on his demands and just keep Kap if they aren't met. That's our best play

Well said. I'll provide another perspective. How often has a player been actively shopped around the league, not moved, then asked to come back to the team? I don't know the answer to this, but when it happens, it can't leave a good taste in the player's mouth. For a team to basically say they are willing to move the player, not find the asking price, then expect the player to commit to the team and play hard, seems like wishful thinking. Sure Kap should be professional about it and compete, but in an already fractured relationship, I would not expect him to be thrilled in any way to have to come back to the team in 2016 and play.

Trent can stand pat with his asking price till he's blue in the face, but the market is what sets the value imo. It's not uncommon for a person to overvalue his asset. If it doesn't get sold, then he's misjudged the market. There's a chance that RG3ing Kap will present the 49ers with a different market at the end of 2016. A market that values Kap higher than what it is currently, but that's a gamble to think a player that sits a full season will end up with higher value than before.

I don't fully believe what I just typed. Just wanted to throw this out. I'm on the fence about this, but I have a feeling Kap must be moved before the season, or not play at all. It's gotten beyond the point of being a good situation for the player, and the team, to bring him back and play.
Originally posted by thl408:
Originally posted by Pillbusta:
I thought this was a trade value thread. I don't know what was offered by whom but I wouldn't trade Kap for anything less than a second seeing what the QB market looks like now and I'd settle for CLE third as well perhaps. DEN can start Sanchez all they want but shy of their second Kap stays here and we pay him. I don't want to hear about how he poisons the locker room and how he's not buying in and yada yada. It makes zero difference because if he loses camp to Blaine or doesn't show he is but an afterthought anyway. Like Polian said I would not trade Kap for pennies simply because there's zero benefit to us. Kap can't hurt this team any more than his poor play on the field. He can't hurt us financially or otherwise. Kap's best play right now is to insist on getting what we're paying him from us or another team. If he takes a pay cut in a trade and still sucks he's lost money he'll never see again in his career. If he is stuck here he's guaranteed another $11.9M over his career and he has an opportunity to play with a coach that just got Sam Bradford another $35 million. Think about that. Why the hell would he take a pay cut right now just to leave SF?

I want TB to hold firm on his demands and just keep Kap if they aren't met. That's our best play

Well said. I'll provide another perspective. How often has a player been actively shopped around the league, not moved, then asked to come back to the team? I don't know the answer to this, but when it happens, it can't leave a good taste in the player's mouth. For a team to basically say they are willing to move the player, not find the asking price, then expect the player to commit to the team and play hard, seems like wishful thinking. Sure Kap should be professional about it and compete, but in an already fractured relationship, I would not expect him to be thrilled in any way to have to come back to the team in 2016 and play.

Trent can stand pat with his asking price till he's blue in the face, but the market is what sets the value imo. It's not uncommon for a person to overvalue his asset. If it doesn't get sold, then he's misjudged the market. There's a chance that RG3ing Kap will present the 49ers with a different market at the end of 2016. A market that values Kap higher than what it is currently, but that's a gamble to think a player that sits a full season will end up with higher value than before.

I don't fully believe what I just typed. Just wanted to throw this out. I'm on the fence about this, but I have a feeling Kap must be moved before the season, or not play at all. It's gotten beyond the point of being a good situation for the player, and the team, to bring him back and play.
Well said as well, but I disagree. Giving Kaepernick up is in no way in our best interest. The draft this year is not stacked with blue chip QB's who are expected to walk in and start on a team. Next year doesn't look a lot better, but that can change of course. Jets, Browns, Broncos, don't have starters set yet. Jets and Broncos have no realistic prospects of grabbing one of the best QB's that will be available. So I don't think Baalke is misjudging the market at all.

Keeping Kaepernick can't hurt the 49ers. Letting him go without proper compensation possibly could, so why would we do that? There seems to be a philosophy that we need to rush, just to get a deal done. I don't agree with that. If we sit patiently and let it sink in that we aren't going to budge, those teams have to deal with the reality of Sanchez, RG3, and Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick isn't budging so far on his salary demands, and that is smart of him. No one is looking seriously at RG3 so far. No reason for us to blink and give any of those teams a possible out. They are in the position of need in this situation, not us. We aren't a play off team next year in my estimation, no matter who is under center. Denver wants to stay at that high level, we are rebuilding, giving up something without receiving proper value hurts us, and helps them.

And really, it doesn't matter what Kaepernick thinks here. He has zero leverage with the team. We can trade him for what we want, or keep him. He is under contract. We have boat loads of money so that doesn't affect us. If he holds out, we save money and have lost nothing, but a 3rd round pick. He would have to be an idiot to do that, but it is an option of course. If he comes in and loses the job to Gabbert, he would still be a serviceable back up. If he is angry about that, so what? How many QB's have lost their jobs over the years? Didn't he take someones? Doesn't almost every QB, eventually have this happen? That is the NFL. And when those QB's got a chance to play and prove their worth again? Do you think they went out and dogged it, or gave it their best to help their careers? No his best shot is to come in and try to win the job, and if he doesn't for some reason, shut up, practice hard, and wait for his opportunity, which given the record on Kelly's starting QB's , should come pretty quick. Especially with the o-line as it stands today.

No, no reason to rush, no reason at all to get less than we are asking.
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