Originally posted by Joecool:
I think there will be some surprises. If Alex finishes the season as a top 5-10 QB, then he will want $$. Goldson will want $$ and so will Rogers. One of these guys, maybe two of them since we have Spencer, Culliver, and Brown will no longer be on our team.
Personally, seeing how our team was with Reggie Smith at FS, I would rather take Goldson over Rogers.
More likely Spencer gets cut and we free up the money from his deal to secure Goldson and Rogers. Goldson will more than likely not be super expensive. It sounds like Rogers wants a lot of money, but there is plenty of film where he gives up plays (he is older and not super fast) - I think we'll be able to get a discount, especially if we go far in the playoffs.
Anyway my list -
Chilo Rachal - I don't see why he'd be back. He has looked better in recent weeks in spot duty and could be a serviceable backup possibly, but I'm not sure that's really what he wants and I am sure he'll never be starting for us ever again unless forced into action so probably the team will cut ties and look to the draft once again.
Moran Norris - Miller is superior and Norris doesn't do anything well but block. We'll draft a replacement if we feel it's necessary to carry a backup FB.
Spencer - For what he's done his contract doesn't fit. I like the idea of him still being with the team, but Goldson and/or Rogers is going to get his money and more. Maybe he'll turn it around as he gets healthy late in the year and the team will rethink what to do with him in the off season. He's a goner for sure as of now though.
Brett Swain - he is young and you never know, but I think the team looks to the draft for receiving talent and probably finds something more interesting.
Braylon Edwards - hasn't done a lot. The knee is a concern for me if I'm the GM. I don't like Meniscus issues - they are often lingering long term issues. It depends on the severity, but it's never a good thing to have to get a piece of your meniscus sliced off. He hasn't done much for us while he's been here as a result. He has plenty of time to change the teams mind but I think they will look elsewhere to upgrade the position in the off season as things stand right now because of the health and production so far.
Might be gone next year:
Ahmad Brooks - he's playing well, no question, but he might command huge dollars. He's not worth huge dollars. Often sells out to go after the QB, isn't exactly a supreme passrushing terror although he's good, he isn't consistent. He's no Aldon Smith. The team has a lot of FA and only so much money to spend so it will be interesting to see where they spend it. Quite possible we are drafting another young guy though. Brooks tends to commit encroachment and offsides penalties quite a bit more often than you would like as well. It's unlikely the team will cut Parys as his contract isn't very big and he's a solid player (if not a particularly good passrusher).
Delanie Walker - at this point it's hard to imagine the team letting him walk, but I'm putting him in this category because I think it's possible some team will watch the film on him this year and salivate trying to copy some of the things we do with our multiple TE sets and the running game. Really good blocker. Dangerous receiver who can run all the routes. Excellent special teams player. If he finishes the year strong and ends up with 800+ yards receiving (possible for sure IMO) and a bunch of TDs and then plays well in the post season he could get pretty damn expensive to sign. We have a lot of money tied up in Vernon. It's hard to say how it will play out exactly, and I think of the guys I have listed here he's the most likely to return.
Carlos Rogers - I think both sides want to find a workable deal. I think the team will cut Spencer to free up some money for him, but I don't think they want to break the bank. He's having a great year, but he gives up plays and I have a feeling he won't be able to maintain his level of play (which has been good-great but not outstanding). The sides might be far apart. I feel pretty sure that Goldson is coming back to us so I won't be listing him.
I forget who all of our FA's are, but this covers a few. It's conceivable that this could all change pretty quickly (obviously), but so far this is how I feel about our potential FAs and roster next season. I expect us to lean more heavily on the draft than maybe some fans would like to see, but the team wants to be competitive long term it's what has to be done. You pretty much just have to keep hitting in the draft. Baalke's past draft was a big time success, you don't need to have as many hits as he appeared to have in that one to maintain a successful franchise once the key pieces are in place (QB in particular) though.
[ Edited by Evilgenius on Nov 18, 2011 at 3:24 PM ]