Originally posted by TexasNiner:
It is, but projecting based on his current stats and assuming some improvement overall but also a few more picks, his stat line would be somewhere in-between these two:
366 attempts, 236 completions, 64.5 completion percentage, 2,734 yards, 23 tds, 15ints, 90.8qbr
498 attempts, 293 completions, 58.8 completion percentage, 3,653 yards, 20 tds, 9ints, 87.5qbr
That first one is David Garrard, the second is Kyle Orton, both from last year.
Assuming that a similar stat line gets us 9-10 wins, a division title and either a win or at least a competitive loss in the playoffs, then is that good enough to build on for the near (2-4 years) future?
Does Smith playing a Garrard/Orton level, if it's enough for us to win, provide us an answer at QB?
Alex Smith already has better numbers than those right now, so if we assume improvements like you say, he should finish far better than those two. The Garrard and Orton QB ratings would be good for 12th and 14th in the nfl right now; Alex Smith is 8th.
He's playing at a higher level than those two right now, and improving.
[ Edited by nannite on Oct 3, 2011 at 12:15 PM ]