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2009 49ers acccording to Football Outsiders...

Originally posted by Youngone:
I'm tired of critics saying the NFC West is weak. Someone from our division always makes the playoffs every year.

Originally posted by Cuphalffull:
Originally posted by KasparHauser:
Football Outsiders, a statistics-based football analysis company, recently came out with their rankings and these were their predictions for the 2009 Niners:

2009 Mean Projection: 5.7 wins
On the Clock (0-3 wins): 15%
Loserville (4-6): 51%
Mediocrity (7-8): 22%
Playoff Contender (9-10): 10%
Super Bowl Contender (11+): 2%

In my opinion, these guys are very good at what they do. They "smartly" look at the stats, and take stat analysis further than any other company that I have found. If they are correct, the 2009 Niners will be bad, real bad, and have a 51% chance of winning 4-6 games.

While I think the 2009 Niners will be 10-6, 9-7, or 8-8, I trust Football Outsiders. I don't want to be a homer and disregard the stats so I am more confused than ever. I think Barrows stated it best when he said he is "cautiously optimistic" for the 2009 49ers.

Article

2% Chance of being a Super Bowl Contender? So they are saying there is a chance

LMFAO!!!!!!!!!!!! I loved that movie!!!
Originally posted by Youngone:
I'm tired of critics saying the NFC West is weak. Someone from our division always makes the playoffs every year.

Originally posted by billbird2111:
Originally posted by Youngone:
I'm tired of critics saying the NFC West is weak. Someone from our division always makes the playoffs every year.


Yeah, we're a lock to get at LEAST ONE team in the playoffs???????
Originally posted by Youngone:
I'm tired of critics saying the NFC West is weak. Someone from our division always makes the playoffs every year.

That was awesome.
  • WillisWillKilYou
  • Info N/A
Originally posted by singfan:
Followers of Singfan will remember that he laid out the striking comparisons between the 2008 Lions and the 2009 49ers about 2 months ago. These comparisons ranged from the type of head coach we selected, to the dismissal of Martz, to the addition of Moran Norris to the previous years record. It was, of course, a highly detailed analysis that was met with much skepticism and anger. It looks as if Singfan hit the nail on the head. Always ahead of the curve, I say.

Too bad you don't have followers.
Originally posted by Norcal9erfan:
Originally posted by Youngone:
I'm tired of critics saying the NFC West is weak. Someone from our division always makes the playoffs every year.


post of the day lol
Originally posted by WillisWillKilYou:
Originally posted by singfan:
Followers of Singfan will remember that he laid out the striking comparisons between the 2008 Lions and the 2009 49ers about 2 months ago. These comparisons ranged from the type of head coach we selected, to the dismissal of Martz, to the addition of Moran Norris to the previous years record. It was, of course, a highly detailed analysis that was met with much skepticism and anger. It looks as if Singfan hit the nail on the head. Always ahead of the curve, I say.

Too bad you don't have followers.

Seconded


Originally posted by King49er:
Originally posted by Norcal9erfan:
Originally posted by Youngone:
I'm tired of critics saying the NFC West is weak. Someone from our division always makes the playoffs every year.


post of the day lol


As my friend Marcellus Wallas would like to say, these are the "Hard motherf**king facts of life".
Originally posted by 9erred:
The most telling part of the article is how the niners are barely winning games against weak opponents. The 49ers will have turned the corner when they dominate every aspect of the game against weaker opponents and win convincingly scoring mucho points and winning by more then 14 points. The team is what it is, a weak team, until proven otherwise.

100% agreed. This team must prove that it belongs, it's that simple and until it does so, they'll get no respect. You can change statistics by playing well and let's face it the games in which the teams won have been against very week teams - and in those games they have been squeakers. The 49ers need to dominate weaker opponents. It's just that simple.

There are a lot of IFs on the team and projecting statistics based on what this team has done in the past is a no-win situation. I've said this before in other threads, but the team must play well throughout September and November.

Consistency.

Can this team be consistent? We'll see. They have to prove it. Can this team run, pass and defend when it needs to against good opponents? We'll see. Unfortunately history has said they can't in the past. I feel better that Nolan is gone, but most of the coaches outside of Raye are still Nolan hires. That concerns me. I feel optimistic that the players are being given a chance, but again we're still very unproven in a number of positions. I know people say "we looked better" towards the end of the year but as the stats prove, we looked better against weaker teams.

I'm sure the Shaun Hill love committee will challenge what TFO said about Hill's "wins".

I'll watch. They're my team. Hopefully it's a step in the right direction. I just wouldn't get so high this season where I could seriously predict any part of the team will be "bests in the league" like many threads in Ninertalk have mentioned.

Possible? Yes. Probable? Not so sure.
Football Outsiders can take their "statistical analysis" and cram it up their a$$. I read that they also predicted the Niners would win the division in '07.

Yeah, real "experts".

lol.
Originally posted by singfan:
Followers of Singfan will remember that he laid out the striking comparisons between the 2008 Lions and the 2009 49ers about 2 months ago. These comparisons ranged from the type of head coach we selected, to the dismissal of Martz, to the addition of Moran Norris to the previous years record. It was, of course, a highly detailed analysis that was met with much skepticism and anger. It looks as if Singfan hit the nail on the head. Always ahead of the curve, I say.

Follower. Singular.

Your only follower is Sabrason.

-9fA
  • KasparHauser
  • Info N/A
In 2008, Football Outsiders predicted the Falcons to win 3.5 games, and gave them a 1% chance of making the playoffs. The Falcons went 11-6.

In 2008, Football Outsiders predicted the Seahawks to win 10.5 games, and gave them a 40% chance to make the playoffs.