It’s kind of hard to answer this question now.
Jay could be a pro bowl QB for the next 10 years, or he could suck if Chicago doesn’t put some more talent around him, or he could blow out his knee and never play again.
Denver could hit on all the draft picks and Orton could be solid, or they could draft some duds and busts and Orton sucks.
Only time will tell.
Right now to answer I would rather have the proven talent than draft picks.
When the Buccaneers selected University of Miami quarterback Vinny Testaverde first overall in the 1987 NFL Draft, Young was deemed a bust and traded to the San Francisco 49ers on April 24, 1987, to serve as a backup to Joe Montana. The Buccaneers received 2nd and 4th round draft picks in the trade, which they used to draft Miami linebacker Winston Moss, and Arizona State wide receiver Bruce Hill, respectively.
You think Tampa Bay was laughing at the 9ers over that deal? A 2nd and 4th for some bust QB.