Im going back ten years just to see what kind of hits and misses there was for this pick.
2001 Colts WR Reggie Wayne -Good pick
2002 Steelers G Kendall Simmons - Bust
2003 Chargers CB Sammy Davis - Bust
2004 Lions RB Kevin Jones - Bust
2005 Steelers TE Heath Miller - Good pick
2006 Colts RB Joseph Addai - Good pick
2007 Chargers WR Craig Davis - Bust
2008 Jets TE Justin Keller - Good Pick
2009 Titans WR Kenny Britt - Good pick
2010 Lions RB Javid Best - TBD but its looking like a bust
2011 Jet DE Muhammed Wilkerson - TBD
Looks like the odds are about 50/50 on this pick in the last ten years.