Originally posted by 9ersLiferInChicago:
I'd love to bring in Colston, at the right price. We shouldn't break the bank for no player, you are right. But for the life of me I can't figure out why people really think Fleener willl be there when we pick. His stock is rising. But even more perplexion to me is why some seem to think we just don't have enough TE's, even more how many are minimizing the WR position. I took a lot of time off today just to look at film of Fleener and more of the 49ers offense. I just needed to make sure I wan't crazy. Fleener is as good as advertised. Not the quickest or most fluid, but good staight-line speed for his size. Probably the best natural hands of all TE's in the draft. Runs really precise routs and I saw him just abuse LB's trying to hold him at the line of scrimmage. My only hit on him is his lateral mobility, which makes him a liability in the seams against NFL zones packages. Other than that he's a top 15 or 20 guy.
Having said all that, my study of the 49ers offense tells me that our WR corp needs to be upgraded. Crabs was grossly inconsistant, and it was evident in how Alex really lost confidence in him as the season progressed. His rout running was horrible from what I saw on film. This was the year for Crabs to take full ownership of the #1 role and he couldn't - no Morgan, no Edwards (for the most part). In fact, with a lagit #1 WR he drops to #3 in my mind. This team really missed Morgan. Morgan's game is taylor made for Harbaugh's style of offense. I'm sorry, and I don't care if I'm the lone wolf on this, but the 49ers really need a WR. It was our biggest weakness and the main reason our red-zone offense suffered. After Morgan went down our WR's challenged no one. The coaching staff did a masterful job at scheming around that too. With the hole at WR nothing justifies a pick other than a WR in the first, even the home-town fav Fleener.
Do you actually have access to the coaches films, w/ wide angles and view of the whole field, or are you limited to the same sources as the rest of us (recorded tv broadcasts of games and youtube)? I ask because you keep talking about
, but the tv broadcasts generally show 10-20% of the routes run in a given game (tough sample size for a full study).
Secondly, I don't think anyone is saying that they don't want a WR at all, just that we are more likely to make a big difference with one of the top 2 TE in the draft than the 4th-6th best WR, considering our draft position, the make-up of this year's wr class, and the fact that Fleener (or allen) can do a lot of the things that a tall WR can (like you said, he runs great routes, which can get a slow guy open, and he's not slow. He is also always open 5ft above his head). Open is open. I don't see a huge drop-off in the WR talent from the bottom of the 1st well into the 3rd round. That just seems like bad value to jump in the 1st because of need. If the right player isn't there (and I sincerely think all of the 1st round WR talent will be gone by our pick), you can't just reach w/a need pick in the 1st. As I mentioned before, JJ Stokes and TO came to us in the same draft, and JJ was the 1st round reach. You stated that you prefer Morgan to Crabtree. That's a 1st (top 10, actually) vs a 6th right there. Detroit needed a WR for years, So Millen always took one in the 1st. We know how that turned out, and they weren't picking 30th. EVAR. We could probably take 2 talented WRs later in the draft, let them compete and keep the better of them if one busts out. Every year, some dumb team(s) get caught in the WR hype machine, and they burn a high pick. I don't want it to be us.