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OTC's Big 254 Board

The Big 254 Board is finally here. Almost all of the Pro Days are complete by this point of the year, but one can still expect many changes to occur in the following weeks to the Big Board. I am always shuffling, updating, and tweaking this daily and I am very welcome to amd appreciative of any input you'd like to provide.

IF MD HAS NOT DRILLED THIS IN ENOUGH, THIS Big Board is NOT a mock draft, but a general projection of an area I project these players to go. With that said, please keep in mind that I have accounted for the fact that trades can and will occur, so if you notice an unusual player slotted in an area such as a QB at the Patriots' pick at #28, you understand the reason why. Ultimately, I think the 49ers will make a move on draft day, but I have slotted their selections as if they will keep all their picks, for the time being.

Please let me know if you see any mistakes regarding positions, school, spelling, or anything else. Feel free to argue if you feel any players are missing, too high or too low, and I will kindly give an explanation.

Enjoy!

OTC 2011 NFL Draft Big Board 254
Pick Player School Position
1 Blaine Gabbert* Missouri QB
2 Marcell Dareus* Alabama DT
3 Nick Fairley* Auburn DT
4 A.J. Green* Georgia WR
5 Von Miller Texas A&M OLB
6 Patrick Peterson* LSU CB
7 Prince Amukamara Nebraska CB
8 Robert Quinn* UNC DE
9 J.J. Watt* Wisconsin DE
10 Julio Jones* Alabama WR
11 Da'Quan Bowers* Clemson DE
12 Cam Newton* Auburn QB
13 Tyron Smith* USC OT
14 Corey Liuget* Illinois DT
15 Cameron Jordan Cal DE
16 Ryan Kerrigan Purdue DE
17 Mike Pouncey Florida OG
18 Muhammed Wilkerson* Temple DT/DE
19 Anthony Castonzo Boston College OT
20 Aldon Smith** Missouri DE
21 Phil Taylor Baylor DT
22 Gabe Carimi Wisconsin OT
23 Jimmy Smith Colorado CB
24 Justin Houston* Georgia DE/OLB
25 Christian Ponder Florida State QB
26 Cameron Heyward Ohio State DE
27 Jonathan Baldwin* Pittsburgh WR
28 Jake Locker Washington QB
29 Nate Solder Colorado OT
30 Derek Sherrod Mississippi State OT
31 Aaron Williams* Texas CB
32 Mark Ingram* Alabama RB
33 Brooks Reed Arizona OLB
34 Torrey Smith* Maryland WR
35 Ryan Mallett* Arkansas QB
36 Stephen Paea Oregon State DT
37 Marvin Austin UNC DT
38 Colin Kaepernick Nevada QB
39 Mikel Leshoure* Illinois RB
40 Marcus Cannon TCU OT
41 Akeem Ayers* UCLA OLB
42 Rahim Moore* UCLA S
43 Adrian Clayborn Iowa DE
44 Curtis Brown Texas CB
45 Andy Dalton TCU QB
46 Martez Wilson* Illinois ILB
47 Kyle Rudolph* Notre Dame TE
48 Stefen Wisniewski Penn State OG/C
49 Davon House New Mexico State CB
50 Jabaal Sheard Pittsburgh DE/OLB
51 Christian Ballard Iowa DE
52 Ryan Williams** Virginia Tech RB
53 Rodney Hudson Florida State OG
54 Brandon Harris* Miami CB
55 Randall Cobb* Kentucky WR
56 Allen Bailey Miami DE
57 Leonard Hankerson Miami WR
58 Kendall Hunter Oklahoma State RB
59 Titus Young Boise State WR
60 Sam Acho Texas OLB
61 Jerrel Jernigan Troy WR
62 Drake Nevis LSU DT
63 Kenrick Ellis Hampton NT
64 Danny Watkins Baylor OG
65 Jarvis Jenkins Clemson DT
66 Jordan Todman* Connecticut RB
67 James Carpenter Alabama OT
68 Brandon Burton* Utah CB
69 Greg Little UNC WR
70 Benjamin Ijalana Villanova OT/G
71 Clint Boling Georgia OT/G
72 Daniel Thomas Kansas State RB
73 Dontay Moch Nevada DE/OLB
74 Ras-I Dowling Virginia CB
75 Mason Foster Washington OLB
76 Chris Carter Fresno State OLB
77 Quan Sturdivant UNC ILB
78 Marcus Gilchrist Clemson DB
79 DeMarco Murray Oklahoma RB
80 Quinton Carter Oklahoma S
81 Buster Skrine Tennessee-Chattanooga CB
82 Greg Jones Michigan State ILB
83 Bruce Carter UNC OLB
84 Colin McCarthy Miami ILB
85 Jurrell Casey* USC DT
86 Ricky Stanzi Iowa QB
87 Tyler Sash* Iowa SS
88 Luke Stocker Tennessee TE
89 James Brewer Indiana OT/G
90 Chris Culliver South Carolina S
91 D.J. Williams Arkansas TE
92 Orlando Franklin Miami OG/OT
93 Jason Pinkston Pittsburgh OT/G
94 Jerrell Powe Mississippi NT
95 Johnny Patrick Louisville CB
96 John Moffitt Wisconsin OG
97 Edmund Gates Abilene Christian WR
98 Lawrence Guy* Arizona State DT
99 DeAndre McDaniel Clemson SS
100 Chimdi Chekwa Ohio State CB
101 Shane Vereen* Cal RB
102 Kelvin Sheppard LSU ILB
103 Demarcus Love Arkansas OT
104 K.J. Wright Mississippi State OLB
105 Jalil Brown Colorado CB
106 Robert Sands* West Virginia S
107 Lawrence Wilson Connecticut OLB
108 Austin Pettis Boise State WR
109 Niles Paul Nebraska WR
110 Will Rackley Lehigh OG
111 Jordan Cameron USC TE
112 Roy Helu Jr. Nebraska RB
113 Stephen Schilling Michigan OG
114 Chris Conte Cal FS
115 Sione Fua Stanford DT
116 Derrick Locke Kentucky RB
117 Virgil Green Nevada TE
118 Delone Carter Syracuse RB
119 Tandon Doss* Indiana WR
120 Marcus Gilbert Florida OT
121 Curtis Marsh Utah State CB
122 Nate Irving North Carolina State ILB
123 Rashad Carmichael Virginia Tech CB
124 Jacquizz Rodgers* Oregon State RB
125 Stephen Burton West Texas A&M WR
126 Taiwan Jones Eastern Washington RB
127 Shareece Wright USC CB
128 Ian Williams Notre Dame DT
129 Da'Rel Scott Maryland RB
130 Pierre Allen Nebraska DE
131 Lance Kendricks Wisconsin TE
132 Rob Housler Florida Atlantic TE
133 Owen Marecic Stanford FB
134 Jeremy Kerley TCU WR
135 Joseph Barksdale LSU OT
136 Byron Stingily Louisville OT
137 Terrell McClain South Florida DT
138 Casey Matthews Oregon ILB
139 Denarius Moore Tennessee WR
140 Jamie Harper* Clemson RB
141 Deunta Williams UNC S
142 Ronald Johnson USC WR
143 Da'Norris Searcy UNC SS
144 Ugo Chinasa Oklahoma State DE/OLB
145 Greg Salas Hawaii WR
146 Jaiquawn Jarrett Temple S
147 Ricardo Lockette Fort Valley State WR
148 Greg McElroy Alabama QB
149 Greg Romeus Pittsburgh DE
150 Tim Barnes Missouri OC
151 Jah Reid Central Florida OT
152 Jeron Johnson Boise State S
153 Chykie Brown Texas CB
154 Joe Lefeged Rutgers SS
155 Chris Hairston Clemson OT
156 Terrance Toliver LSU WR
157 Kris O'Dowd USC OC
158 Ross Homan Ohio State OLB
159 David Carter UCLA DT
160 Martin Parker Richmond DT
161 Cortez Allen Citadel CB
162 Alex Henery Nebraska K
163 Jeremy Beal Oklahoma DE
164 Lee Ziemba Auburn OT/OG
165 Justin Rogers Richmond CB
166 Keith Williams Nebraska OG
167 Cecil Shorts III Mount Union WR
168 Charles Clay Tulsa FB
169 Chris Neild West Virginia DT
170 Shiloh Keo Idaho S
171 Zach Hurd Connecticut OG
172 Pat Devlin Delaware QB
173 Stanley Havili USC FB
174 Jake Kirkpatrick TCU OC
175 Ahmad Black Florida S
176 Stevan Ridley* LSU RB
177 Brandon Hogan West Virginia CB
178 Derek Newton Arkansas State OT
179 Anthony Allen Georgia Tech RB
180 Belial Powell Louisville RB
181 Tyrod Taylor Virginia Tech QB
182 Ricky Elmore Arizona DE
183 Vincent Brown San Diego State WR
184 Willie Smith East Carolina OT
185 Mark LeGree Appalachian State S
186 Mark Herzlich Boston College OLB
187 Dwayne Harris East Carolina WR
188 Alex Green Hawaii RB
189 Julius Thomas Portland State TE
190 Mario Harvey Marshall ILB
191 Josh Thomas Buffalo CB
192 Justin Boren Ohio State OG
193 Dion Lewis** Pittsburgh RB
194 Cliff Matthews South Carolina DE
195 Richard Sherman Stanford CB
196 Ryan Jones Northwest Missouri State CB
197 Brandon Fusco Slippery Rock OC
198 David Mims Virginia Union OT
199 Thomas Keiser* Stanford OLB
200 Byron Maxwell Clemson CB
201 Brandon Bair Oregon DT/DE
202 David Arkin Missouri State OG
203 Scott Tolzien Wisconsin QB
204 Bruce Miller Central Florida DE/OLB
205 Mike Mohamed Cal ILB
206 J.T. Thomas West Virginia OLB
207 Andre Smith Virginia Tech TE
208 Jerrard Tarrant* Georgia Tech S
209 Demarcus Van Dyke Miami CB
210 Loyce Means Houston CB
211 Noel Devine West Virginia RB
212 Adrian Moten Maryland OLB
213 Kendric Burney UNC CB
214 Colin Jones TCU FS
215 Andrew Jackson Fresno State OG
216 Josh Bynes Auburn ILB
217 Jermale Hines Ohio State FS
218 Nic Grigsby Arizona RB
219 Vic So'oto BYU DE
220 Derek Hall Stanford OT
221 Johnny Culbreath South Carolina State OT
222 Ryan Winterswyk Boise State DE
223 Dane Sanzenbacher Ohio State WR
224 Jason Kelce Cincinnati OC
225 Chris White Mississippi State ILB
226 Doug Hogue Syracuse OLB
227 Dexter Larimore Ohio State DT
228 DeAndre Brown* Southern Miss WR
229 Darren Evans** Virginia Tech RB
230 Eric Hagg Nebraska S
231 Zach Clayton Auburn DT
232 Alex Wujciak Maryland ILB
233 Anthony Gray Southern Miss NT
234 Aaron Lavarius Idaho OLB
235 Trevis Turner Abilene Christian OT
236 Mario Fannin Auburn RB
237 Ray Dominguez Arkansas OG
238 Jabara Williams Stephen F Austin OLB
239 Devon Torrence Ohio State CB
240 Tori Gurley* South Carolina WR
241 Gabe Miller Oregon State OLB
242 Zach Williams Washington State OC
243 Dom DeCicco Pittsburgh SS
244 Weslye Saunders South Carolina TE
245 Julian Posey Ohio CB
246 Kai Forbath UCLA K
247 Brian Rolle Ohio State OLB
248 Armon Binns Cincinnati WR
249 D'Aundre Reed Arizona DE/OLB
250 Ryan Taylor North Carolina FB
251 Aldrick Robinson Southern Methodist WR
252 Henry Hynoski* Pittsburgh FB
253 Andre Holmes Hillsdale WR
254 Chas Henry Florida P

[ Edited by OnTheClock on Apr 1, 2011 at 12:33:44 ]
Nice work. I think i would switch Fairley and Peterson
Originally posted by lamontb:
Nice work. I think i would switch Fairley and Peterson

I went back and forth a million times doing exactly that, and I'm still not sure if I want to keep them there. The board will certainly undergo more changes within the next few weeks, and I figure to release at least one, maybe two more versions of the Big 254 before I put out the final one.

Summing up the slots the 49ers have there, if they keep all picks and it fell like this, our draft would be:

1. Prince Amukamara-CB-Nebraska
2. Andy Dalton-QB-TCU
3. Chris Carter-OLB-Fresno St.
4. Austin Pettis-WR-Boise St.
4. Sione Fua-NT-Stanford
5. Deunta Williams-FS-North Carolina
6. Jake Kirkpatrick-OC-TCU
6. Mario Harvey-ILB-Marshall
7. Noel Devine-RB-West Virginia
7. Zach Clayton-DE/DT-Auburn
7. Devon Torrence-CB-Ohio State
7. Ryan Taylor-FB-North Carolina

[ Edited by OnTheClock on Apr 1, 2011 at 17:41:49 ]
Funny how your super sleeper pick Harvey ends up going to the Niners in the sixth round ;).
Good job!

A little surprised to see Peterson at 6 though.
Originally posted by SF69ers:
Good job!

A little surprised to see Peterson at 6 though.

Don't be too surprised. Peterson is indeed a phenomenal talent and I've been going back and forth on his slot for some time, and his final spot will either be #3 or #6 on my board. However, the Buffalo Bills had the #3 passing defense in the NFL last year. They have a very talented Leodis McKelvin and a good complementary corner in Drayton Florence.

If anything, they will look to add help along the defensive line or at linebacker to help bolster their rushing defense, which was DEAD LAST in the NFL last season. If Dareus somehow makes it to them, he'll be the pick I think.

Ryan Fitzpatrick lit up outstanding defenses last year -- he is not the reason they missed the playoffs. I don't expect Buffalo to take Newton or Gabbert. Right now I have to believe the three players they're targeting are Dareus, Fairley, or Von Miller.
OTC:
How many moves will SF make and where will they happen and who do you think they will try to get?
Originally posted by OnTheClock:
Originally posted by SF69ers:
Good job!

A little surprised to see Peterson at 6 though.

Don't be too surprised. Peterson is indeed a phenomenal talent and I've been going back and forth on his slot for some time, and his final spot will either be #3 or #6 on my board. However, the Buffalo Bills had the #3 passing defense in the NFL last year. They have a very talented Leodis McKelvin and a good complementary corner in Drayton Florence.

If anything, they will look to add help along the defensive line or at linebacker to help bolster their rushing defense, which was DEAD LAST in the NFL last season. If Dareus somehow makes it to them, he'll be the pick I think.

Ryan Fitzpatrick lit up outstanding defenses last year -- he is not the reason they missed the playoffs. I don't expect Buffalo to take Newton or Gabbert. Right now I have to believe the three players they're targeting are Dareus, Fairley, or Von Miller.

My mistake, I should have read the your note above more thoroughly. I thought it was just your ranking and not just an area of where you think they may be selected.
Originally posted by SF69ers:
Originally posted by OnTheClock:
Originally posted by SF69ers:
Good job!

A little surprised to see Peterson at 6 though.

Don't be too surprised. Peterson is indeed a phenomenal talent and I've been going back and forth on his slot for some time, and his final spot will either be #3 or #6 on my board. However, the Buffalo Bills had the #3 passing defense in the NFL last year. They have a very talented Leodis McKelvin and a good complementary corner in Drayton Florence.

If anything, they will look to add help along the defensive line or at linebacker to help bolster their rushing defense, which was DEAD LAST in the NFL last season. If Dareus somehow makes it to them, he'll be the pick I think.

Ryan Fitzpatrick lit up outstanding defenses last year -- he is not the reason they missed the playoffs. I don't expect Buffalo to take Newton or Gabbert. Right now I have to believe the three players they're targeting are Dareus, Fairley, or Von Miller.

My mistake, I should have read the your note above more thoroughly. I thought it was just your ranking and not just an area of where you think they may be selected.

Oh no, not at all. No worries, it's fine. I suppose I should mention in my OP that this is NOT a ranking either.

Folks, remember MD and I use the same Big Board format. Neither are mocks or rankings, they are simply our basic "area projections."
You have Andy Dalton slotted at our pick, do you think when it's all said and done that the Niner Brass will wait and let a QB fall to them or trade back up?

It seems to be Baalke's MO to go and get the player he wants. Obviously if Dalton is available without trading, it would be ideal, but there seems to be a significant drop off in QB talent after that. And securing a QB is tatamount to our season, unless they trade for Kolb, which seems to losing momentum.

Just some musings, but great job. And very thorough!
Originally posted by NinerBuff:
You have Andy Dalton slotted at our pick, do you think when it's all said and done that the Niner Brass will wait and let a QB fall to them or trade back up?

It seems to be Baalke's MO to go and get the player he wants. Obviously if Dalton is available without trading, it would be ideal, but there seems to be a significant drop off in QB talent after that. And securing a QB is tatamount to our season, unless they trade for Kolb, which seems to losing momentum.

Just some musings, but great job. And very thorough!

Ultimately, I think we will decide to make a move. How big of a move? I don't know. But unless we think there's someone else later on that we feel confident will fall, I suspect at least a small move in the 2nd is likely.
Originally posted by NinerBuff:
You have Andy Dalton slotted at our pick, do you think when it's all said and done that the Niner Brass will wait and let a QB fall to them or trade back up?

It seems to be Baalke's MO to go and get the player he wants. Obviously if Dalton is available without trading, it would be ideal, but there seems to be a significant drop off in QB talent after that. And securing a QB is tatamount to our season, unless they trade for Kolb, which seems to losing momentum.

Just some musings, but great job. And very thorough!

I'd be interested in a comparison between Dalton and Kolb.
Originally posted by m_brockalexander:
Funny how your super sleeper pick Harvey ends up going to the Niners in the sixth round ;).

Pure happenstance.

I had him in the 189 - 196 range. A lot of teams in that area who could be eying Harvey, including us. Also some corners in that area that the 49ers could be keying in on, too.
Originally posted by OnTheClock:
Originally posted by NinerBuff:
You have Andy Dalton slotted at our pick, do you think when it's all said and done that the Niner Brass will wait and let a QB fall to them or trade back up?

It seems to be Baalke's MO to go and get the player he wants. Obviously if Dalton is available without trading, it would be ideal, but there seems to be a significant drop off in QB talent after that. And securing a QB is tatamount to our season, unless they trade for Kolb, which seems to losing momentum.

Just some musings, but great job. And very thorough!

Ultimately, I think we will decide to make a move. How big of a move? I don't know. But unless we think there's someone else later on that we feel confident will fall, I suspect at least a small move in the 2nd is likely.

That's how I feel too. There's too much at stake and we have enough lower-round picks to justify moving back into the late 1st for the QB we are targeting.