Originally posted by susweel:
Championship teams are built with successful mid round pics and thats something McClueless has at failed miserably. Anybody can draft a couple of pro bowl players in the first round when your drafting in the top 10.
It so easy even a cave man can do it.
Let's examine that statement and see if it's true. Let's take a look at the Colts' draft picks over the last five years and see how they stack up against McC's. If they're on the active roster I'm considering them as a backup, even if they only suit up for a couple of games. If they're on the practice squad of a team I'm counting that as the same as being out of the league. The number preceding the player indicates what round they were drafted in.
Colts
2005 draft
1 Marlin Jackson DB Michigan
Backup
2 Kelvin Hayden DB Illinois
Backup that moved into the starting position due to injury
3 Vincent Burns DE Kentucky
Didn't record any stats in two years and is out of the league now
4 Dylan Gandy G Texas Tech
Backup. Cut by three teams before ending up in Detroit.
5 Matt Giordano DB California
3rd string. Recorded 2 tackles this year.
6 Jonathan Welsh DE Wisconsin
Played 2 years and accumlated a total of 4 sacks. Out of the league now
7 Robert Hunt C North Dakota State
Played 1 year in the league and is out of football
2006 Draft
1 Joseph Addai RB Louisiana State
A starter and a stud at RB
2 Tim Jennings DB Georgia
Is nothing more than a backup. Saw action in 5 games this year.
3 Freddie Keiaho LB San Diego State
Another Backup. Only played in 2 games this year.
4 Michael Toudouze G Texas Christian
Not even a backup. Has started 3 games in 3 years.
5 Charlie Johnson T Oklahoma State
Has been a reliable starter. Missed 4 games this year due to injury.
6 Antoine Bethea DB Howard
Starter and a stud and a steal for the 6th round.
7 T.J. Rushing DB Stanford
Nothing more than a backup. Recorded all of 5 tackles this year.
2007 draft
1 Anthony Gonzalez WR Ohio State
Backup
2 Tony Ugoh G Arkansas
Solid backup
3 Daymeion Hughes DB California
Waived by the Colts, picked up by the Chargers, waived by them, resigned by them. Played in 1 game this year.
4 Quinn Pitcock DT Ohio State
Out of the league.
5 Brannon Condren DB Troy State
Has played in all of 12 games in 3 years and has been waived by 3 teams.
6 Clint Session LB Pittsburgh
Solid starter the last two years.
7 Roy Hall WR Ohio State
1 reception in 2 years
2008 draft
1 Mike Pollak C Arizona State
Backup. Started 7 games this year
2 Philip Wheeler LB Georgia Tech
Backup. Started just 7 games this year, none his rookie year.
3 Jacob Tamme TE Kentucky
Moved him to FB and he's the backup to Robinson
4 Marcus Howard LB Georgia
Cut and has not been picked up by anybody else.
5 Tom Santi TE Virginia
3rd TE
6 Steven Justice C Wake Forest
Out of the league
7 Mike Hart RB Michigan
Something like 3rd or 4th RB on the depth chart
2009 draft
1 Donald Brown RB Connecticut
Backup
2 Fili Moala DT USC
Backup
3 Jerraud Powers DB Auburn
Starter
4 Austin Collie WR Brigham Young
2nd WR
5 Terrance Taylor DT Michigan
Waived and picked up by Detroit for their practice squad.
6 Curtis Painter QB Purdue
Backup (and a bad one)
7 Pat McAfee P West Virginia
Starting punter.
8 Jaimie Thomas T Maryland
Practice Squad
Let's compare that to the McC's drafts since 2005
49ers
2005 Draft
1 Alex D. Smithn QB Utah
Starter
2 David Baas C Michigan
Starter
3 Frank Gore RB Miami (FL)
Stud
3 Adam Snyder G Oregon
Starter
4 Ronald Fields DT Mississippi State
Starter (with Denver)
5 Rasheed Marshall WR West Virginia
Out of the League
6 Derrick Johnson DB Washington
Out of the League
7 Daven Holly DB Cincinnati
Out of the League
2006 draft
1 Vernon Davis TE Maryland
Stud
2 Manny Lawson LB North Carolina State
Starter
3 Brandon Williams WR Wisconsin
Out of the League
4 Michael Robinson WR Penn State
Special Teams
5 Parys Haralson DE Tennessee
Starter
6 Delanie Walker WR Central Missouri State
Backup
6 Marcus Hudson DB North Carolina State
Backup
6 Melvin Oliver DE Louisiana State
Out of the League
7 Vickiel Vaughn DB Arkansas
out of the League
2007 Draft
1 Patrick Willis LB Mississippi
Stud
1 Joe Staley T Central Michigan
Starter
3 Jason Hill WR Washington State
Backup
3 Ray McDonald DT Florida
Backup
4 Jay Moore DE Nebraska
On St. Louis' practice squad
4 Dashon Goldson DB Washington
Starter. May turn into a stud
4 Joe Cohen DT Florida
Backup, Detroit
5 Tarell Brown DB Texas
Backup
6 Thomas Clayton RB Kansas State
Practice Squad
2008 Draft
1 Kentwan Ballmer DT North Carolina
Backup
2 Chilo Rachal G USC
Starter (in my mind he's turned into a stud this year)
3 Reggie Smith DB Oklahoma
Backup
4 Cody Wallace C Texas A&M
Backup
6 Josh Morgan WR Virginia Tech
Starter
7 Larry Grant LB Ohio State
Backup (St. Louis)
2009 Draft
1 Michael Crabtree WR Texas Tech
Starter
3 Glen Coffee RB Alabama
Backup
5 Scott McKillop LB Pittsburgh
Backup
5 Nate Davis QB Ball State
Backup
6 Bear Pascoe TE Fresno State
Backup (3rd string Giants)
7 Curtis Taylor DB Louisiana State
Backup
7 Ricky Jean-Francois DT Louisiana State
Backup
So here's how it breaks down by round
Colts
1st round (5 picks)
3 backups, 2 studs.
40% success rate
2nd round (5 picks)
4 backups, 1 starter
20% success rate
3rd round (5 picks)
1 Out of the League, 3 backups, 1 starter
20% success rate
4th round (5 picks)
1 starter, 2 OOL, 2 backup
20% success
5th-7th rounds (17 picks)
6 backup, 6 OOL, 4 starter, 1 stud,
30% success
Overall only 24% of the Colt's picks in the last 5 years are starting. 25% of their 3-7th round picks are starting.
49ers
1st round (6 picks)
2 starters, 1 stud, 2 backups
50% success
2nd round (3 picks)
3 starters
100% success
3rd round (7 picks)
1 stud, 1 starter, 1 out of the league, 4 backups
28% success
4th round (6 picks)
2 backup, 3 starters, 1 OOL
50% success
5th-7th rounds (17 picks)
6 OOL, 1 Starter, 10 backups,
11% success
In the sam time frame 38% of the Niners picks over the last 5 years are starting. 23% of the 3-7th round picks are starting.
Basically the Niners have a higher success rate with the first 3 rounds and the same success rate with the mid to late round picks.
[ Edited by smileyman on Feb 3, 2010 at 21:48:51 ]