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QB Brock Purdy Thread

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QB Brock Purdy Thread

Originally posted by Pillbusta:
Ball don't lie. I said what I said

Originally posted by genus49:
Brock's arm is limited…but has it ever actually limited our offense? I've asked this a few times in this thread and I don't recall anyone actually giving me an example when Brock's lack of arm strength hurt us in a big way.

Yes, Brock looked like crap in all bad weather games:
* the snow game in Buffalo on 12/1 because his arm was too weak to overcome the weather 94 yards only 10 points
* rain game at SF vs Rams on 12/12 he couldn't overcome weather only scored 6 points QBR 22
Many other games where he couldn't stretch the field so opposing teams stack the box against the run

Of course Montana and Young both had relatively weak arms and they did OK, because they had great timing, like hopefully Purdy does.
But Purdy definitely has arm limitations in weather and stretching the deep field
  • Kolohe
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Originally posted by maxsmart:
Originally posted by genus49:
Brock's arm is limited…but has it ever actually limited our offense? I've asked this a few times in this thread and I don't recall anyone actually giving me an example when Brock's lack of arm strength hurt us in a big way.

Yes, Brock looked like crap in all bad weather games:
* the snow game in Buffalo on 12/1 because his arm was too weak to overcome the weather 94 yards only 10 points
* rain game at SF vs Rams on 12/12 he couldn't overcome weather only scored 6 points QBR 22
Many other games where he couldn't stretch the field so opposing teams stack the box against the run

Of course Montana and Young both had relatively weak arms and they did OK, because they had great timing, like hopefully Purdy does.
But Purdy definitely has arm limitations in weather and stretching the deep field

What about the playoff game vs GB, pouring too, 252 yards 1 TD. vs Cleveland 125 yards 1 TD 1 INT, 49ers thanked Jake Moody for that loss.
And it's not like Josh Allen threw for that much more yards than Brock in that game. That game was a mess, it didn't seem like anyone wanted to play that day.

Again, it's not like Brock will be playing in 17 games of bad weather.
Originally posted by Kolohe:
Originally posted by maxsmart:
Originally posted by genus49:
Brock's arm is limited…but has it ever actually limited our offense? I've asked this a few times in this thread and I don't recall anyone actually giving me an example when Brock's lack of arm strength hurt us in a big way.

Yes, Brock looked like crap in all bad weather games:
* the snow game in Buffalo on 12/1 because his arm was too weak to overcome the weather 94 yards only 10 points
* rain game at SF vs Rams on 12/12 he couldn't overcome weather only scored 6 points QBR 22
Many other games where he couldn't stretch the field so opposing teams stack the box against the run

Of course Montana and Young both had relatively weak arms and they did OK, because they had great timing, like hopefully Purdy does.
But Purdy definitely has arm limitations in weather and stretching the deep field

What about the playoff game vs GB, pouring too, 252 yards 1 TD. vs Cleveland 125 yards 1 TD 1 INT, 49ers thanked Jake Moody for that loss.
And it's not like Josh Allen threw for that much more yards than Brock in that game. That game was a mess, it didn't seem like anyone wanted to play that day.

Again, it's not like Brock will be playing in 17 games of bad weather.

He doesn't have to play 17 games of bad weather but look at the future of the NFC as it stands. Where are playoff games likely to be played at the worst time of the year?

Philadelphia, Washington, Green Bay (which I'm not worried about). Is it assured with such a short list? Of course not, but when it's one and done and the difference between #6 and not is it a consideration? Yep

As for the Bills game you're leaving out some important stuff. Yes, Allen only threw for 50 more yards but he also threw for 2 tds to BPs 0, ran for another, and the D still had to worry about thr threat because his physical tools demand it. The Bills didn't have to do that which is why they shut us down entirely. This is what people mean when they say elite talent and i think we all know that.
[ Edited by RedGoldSquatch on Mar 8, 2025 at 2:02 AM ]
What a potential Brock Purdy extension could actually look like.

FRAMEWORK
(5 Year Extension) $280,000,000 APY: $56,000,000
(Total Guarantees) $207,980,747
(Fully Guaranteed) $127,980,747
(Signing Bonus) $75,000,000
(Option Bonuses) [2026 - $25,000,000] [2027 - $25,000,000] [2029 - $40,000,000] [2030 - $40,000,000]

LAYOUT
(Year) Base Salary [Prorated Bonus] {Roster Bonus} [Workout Bonus] (Cap Hit)
(2025) $980,747 [$15,019,253] {$0} [$0] ($16,000,000)

(2026) $1,000,000 [$20,000,000] {$0} $[1,000,000] ($22,000,000)

(2027) $1.000.000 [$25,000,000] {$0} [$1,000,000] ($27,000,000)

(2028) $5,000,000 [$25,000,000] {$4,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($35,000,000)

(2029) $5,000,000 [$33,000,000] {$19,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($58,000,000)

(2030) $20,365,253 [$26,000,000] {$19,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($66,365,253)

(2031) VOID $21,000,000 VOID VOID ($21,000,000)

(2032) VOID $16,000,000 VOID VOID ($16,000,000)

(2033) VOID $16,000,000 VOID VOID ($16,000,000)

(2034) VOID $8,000,000 VOID VOID ($8,000,000)

This would give the 49ers and Brock Purdy the entirety of the 2028 regular season to guage mutual interest in another contract extension. While giving both parties mutliple paths forward.

If the 49ers expect Brock Purdy to sustain his level pf production into his early to mid 30's, they can convert his 2029 & 2030 Base Salaries, Roster Bonuses, and Workout Bonuses, into a Signing Bonus. Convert 2031 & 2032 into contract years with an extension, add an Option Bonus in 2032, and then be able to add 2 more void years in 2035 & 2036 to prorate the bonus.

Point being this contract would allow the 49ers to keep Brock Purdy through at least 2028 before his cap number would become prohibitive and they have to decide if he's worth extending, trying to get 1 more year out of their core, or trading him and the other older core players and getting a jumpstart on a quick rebuild.

Lastly, I have spent a bunch of time studying and researching everything I could find on contracts all over the internet. From there I started messing around on OverTheCap and coming up with a bunch of different contracts all that seemed great at the time. The more I studied other contracts and researched, the more complicated and complex I realized it was, and the more unrealistic I realized my contracts were. I finally think I am on the right path with this structure.

In now way shape or form do I consider myself an expert so if you see an error or something that's obviously wrong, please don't hesistate to let me know.
[ Edited by JamesF on Mar 8, 2025 at 4:40 AM ]
Originally posted by maxsmart:
Originally posted by genus49:
Brock's arm is limited…but has it ever actually limited our offense? I've asked this a few times in this thread and I don't recall anyone actually giving me an example when Brock's lack of arm strength hurt us in a big way.

Yes, Brock looked like crap in all bad weather games:
* the snow game in Buffalo on 12/1 because his arm was too weak to overcome the weather 94 yards only 10 points
* rain game at SF vs Rams on 12/12 he couldn't overcome weather only scored 6 points QBR 22
Many other games where he couldn't stretch the field so opposing teams stack the box against the run

Of course Montana and Young both had relatively weak arms and they did OK, because they had great timing, like hopefully Purdy does.
But Purdy definitely has arm limitations in weather and stretching the deep field

Those games had nothing to do with his arm strength. The Buffalo game he was coming off an injury to his shoulder for one. Two, and more importantly, we run a timing based offense and Brock's best attribute is his anticipation throws.

What do you think happens when players are slipping all over the place? Think the timing on throws is impacted? Allen didn't have that issue because that's not how their offense operates. Not to mention he was facing a tired beat up squad. I believe Bosa and Lenoir were both out for that game. And the Bills were coming off a bye week. Go back and look at that game and tell me which QB was getting pressured on the regular.

As for the Rams Matt Stafford with his great arm was playing way worse. It was only when Greenlaw got hurt and we started to have coverage busts that he made a few key plays. Not to mention Deebo dropped how many passes including a TD?

As mentioned we're 2-0 with Brock in rain games. Many QBs hate rain games. Elway hated them. In an offense like ours it's way worse cuz the timing is off.
Originally posted by RedGoldSquatch:
He doesn't have to play 17 games of bad weather but look at the future of the NFC as it stands. Where are playoff games likely to be played at the worst time of the year?

Philadelphia, Washington, Green Bay (which I'm not worried about). Is it assured with such a short list? Of course not, but when it's one and done and the difference between #6 and not is it a consideration? Yep

As for the Bills game you're leaving out some important stuff. Yes, Allen only threw for 50 more yards but he also threw for 2 tds to BPs 0, ran for another, and the D still had to worry about thr threat because his physical tools demand it. The Bills didn't have to do that which is why they shut us down entirely. This is what people mean when they say elite talent and i think we all know that.

He's 2-0 in bad weather games in the playoffs.
Originally posted by genus49:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by genus49:
Correct. The precedent is there. We're in here acting like Brock had a horrible year and that's why he's not deserving of a big contract meanwhile two guys who haven't done as much who got big deals and nobody batted an eye at them getting that money.

2 guys that were 1st round picks and continued investments, as teams love to sell tickets and bring in viewers and revenue. One of the 2 was even the 1st overall pick.

Cool so you're confirming that if Brock was a 1st round pick putting up the same exact results there wouldn't be any concerns about paying him?

Teams sell a lot more tickets when they're winning games btw.

Was referring to the 2 examples and why they got their extensions since it's being used as a horrible reason for why Brock's is a no-brainer to outdo theirs.

If - as your friend said - he was 3 in taller, had a stronger arm, less issues in the weather, longer reach, etc.?

Well, if teams saw these things then he probably could've went much earlier. Maybe a 1st round pick himself. A helluva lot of ifs tho so I dont know the relevance to the extensions those 2 first round picks got.
[ Edited by random49er on Mar 8, 2025 at 5:25 AM ]
Originally posted by maxsmart:
Yes, Brock looked like crap in all bad weather games:
* the snow game in Buffalo on 12/1 because his arm was too weak to overcome the weather 94 yards only 10 points
* rain game at SF vs Rams on 12/12 he couldn't overcome weather only scored 6 points QBR 22
Many other games where he couldn't stretch the field so opposing teams stack the box against the run

Of course Montana and Young both had relatively weak arms and they did OK, because they had great timing, like hopefully Purdy does.
But Purdy definitely has arm limitations in weather and stretching the deep field

Was it more his arm or his hand size? Either way Brock showed last year that he has to has a LOT around him right or else he can't overcome even division opponents. Our division record last year was atrocious!

I just know we have to pay him but we can't pay him as an elite guy when that's not what he showed us last year given various adversities he faced
Originally posted by genus49:
Originally posted by SmokeyJoe:
Originally posted by genus49:
And yet Jordan Love after being propped up as the next great QB(like we didn't hear this with Kap) and how did he look this season? I don't hear too many people saying he regressed or that contract was a mistake.

Yes Brock was a 7th round pick for a reason but our best QB was a 3rd round pick. Brady was a 6th round pick. Do we believe a couple of inches of height make that much of a difference? Brock's arm is limited…but has it ever actually limited our offense? I've asked this a few times in this thread and I don't recall anyone actually giving me an example when Brock's lack of arm strength hurt us in a big way.

I'll take Brock's anticipation and poise over Love's physical talent and his fadeaway throws into coverage.

Also like I said we don't do this for any other position. Nobody cares that Crosby was a 4th round pick, Kittle a 5th rounder, Sherman a 5th rounder(iirc)

Once they show themselves to be ballers nobody cares but with QBs that status is still brought up time and time again.

I think you're missing the point with the Love comparison. You can make a legitimate argument that Brock has been better than Love in every way: film review, production, statistical analysis, team success. If both of them hit the open market I don't think there's any question Love would generate more interest around the league.

First of all that's a hypothetical tho I don't know if I'd disagree.

Given where they were drafted and the buzz surrounding them beforehand,...it's not hypothetical at all. It's literally happened already.....and the point comes full circle: They're horrible comparisons. In terms of draft capital instead of GTD money and cap space,....all 3 players have been on the open market....and 1 of them simply wasnt in the same conversation.

We cant easily just "ignore" this when trying to come up with reasons why their teams would want to give these 2 players a 2nd extension. I mean didn't 1 have a HOFer in the way for much of his rookie contract, while the other went 1st overall to a team desperate to generate some buzz?
Originally posted by JamesF:
What a potential Brock Purdy extension could actually look like.

FRAMEWORK
(5 Year Extension) $280,000,000 APY: $56,000,000
(Total Guarantees) $207,980,747
(Fully Guaranteed) $127,980,747
(Signing Bonus) $75,000,000
(Option Bonuses) [2026 - $25,000,000] [2027 - $25,000,000] [2029 - $40,000,000] [2030 - $40,000,000]

LAYOUT
(Year) Base Salary [Prorated Bonus] {Roster Bonus} [Workout Bonus] (Cap Hit)
(2025) $980,747 [$15,019,253] {$0} [$0] ($16,000,000)

(2026) $1,000,000 [$20,000,000] {$0} $[1,000,000] ($22,000,000)

(2027) $1.000.000 [$25,000,000] {$0} [$1,000,000] ($27,000,000)

(2028) $5,000,000 [$25,000,000] {$4,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($35,000,000)

(2029) $5,000,000 [$33,000,000] {$19,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($58,000,000)

(2030) $20,365,253 [$26,000,000] {$19,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($66,365,253)

(2031) VOID $21,000,000 VOID VOID ($21,000,000)

(2032) VOID $16,000,000 VOID VOID ($16,000,000)

(2033) VOID $16,000,000 VOID VOID ($16,000,000)

(2034) VOID $8,000,000 VOID VOID ($8,000,000)

This would give the 49ers and Brock Purdy the entirety of the 2028 regular season to guage mutual interest in another contract extension. While giving both parties mutliple paths forward.

If the 49ers expect Brock Purdy to sustain his level pf production into his early to mid 30's, they can convert his 2029 & 2030 Base Salaries, Roster Bonuses, and Workout Bonuses, into a Signing Bonus. Convert 2031 & 2032 into contract years with an extension, add an Option Bonus in 2032, and then be able to add 2 more void years in 2035 & 2036 to prorate the bonus.

Point being this contract would allow the 49ers to keep Brock Purdy through at least 2028 before his cap number would become prohibitive and they have to decide if he's worth extending, trying to get 1 more year out of their core, or trading him and the other older core players and getting a jumpstart on a quick rebuild.

Lastly, I have spent a bunch of time studying and researching everything I could find on contracts all over the internet. From there I started messing around on OverTheCap and coming up with a bunch of different contracts all that seemed great at the time. The more I studied other contracts and researched, the more complicated and complex I realized it was, and the more unrealistic I realized my contracts were. I finally think I am on the right path with this structure.

In now way shape or form do I consider myself an expert so if you see an error or something that's obviously wrong, please don't hesistate to let me know.

Welcome to the Board, JamesF!
Hey, you wrote: "The more I studied other contracts and researched, the more complicated and complex I realized it was, and the more unrealistic I realized my contracts were. I finally think I am on the right path with this structure."

So are you saying that the yearly contract examples you listed are unrealistic?
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by JamesF:
What a potential Brock Purdy extension could actually look like.

FRAMEWORK
(5 Year Extension) $280,000,000 APY: $56,000,000
(Total Guarantees) $207,980,747
(Fully Guaranteed) $127,980,747
(Signing Bonus) $75,000,000
(Option Bonuses) [2026 - $25,000,000] [2027 - $25,000,000] [2029 - $40,000,000] [2030 - $40,000,000]

LAYOUT
(Year) Base Salary [Prorated Bonus] {Roster Bonus} [Workout Bonus] (Cap Hit)
(2025) $980,747 [$15,019,253] {$0} [$0] ($16,000,000)

(2026) $1,000,000 [$20,000,000] {$0} $[1,000,000] ($22,000,000)

(2027) $1.000.000 [$25,000,000] {$0} [$1,000,000] ($27,000,000)

(2028) $5,000,000 [$25,000,000] {$4,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($35,000,000)

(2029) $5,000,000 [$33,000,000] {$19,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($58,000,000)

(2030) $20,365,253 [$26,000,000] {$19,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($66,365,253)

(2031) VOID $21,000,000 VOID VOID ($21,000,000)

(2032) VOID $16,000,000 VOID VOID ($16,000,000)

(2033) VOID $16,000,000 VOID VOID ($16,000,000)

(2034) VOID $8,000,000 VOID VOID ($8,000,000)

This would give the 49ers and Brock Purdy the entirety of the 2028 regular season to guage mutual interest in another contract extension. While giving both parties mutliple paths forward.

If the 49ers expect Brock Purdy to sustain his level pf production into his early to mid 30's, they can convert his 2029 & 2030 Base Salaries, Roster Bonuses, and Workout Bonuses, into a Signing Bonus. Convert 2031 & 2032 into contract years with an extension, add an Option Bonus in 2032, and then be able to add 2 more void years in 2035 & 2036 to prorate the bonus.

Point being this contract would allow the 49ers to keep Brock Purdy through at least 2028 before his cap number would become prohibitive and they have to decide if he's worth extending, trying to get 1 more year out of their core, or trading him and the other older core players and getting a jumpstart on a quick rebuild.

Lastly, I have spent a bunch of time studying and researching everything I could find on contracts all over the internet. From there I started messing around on OverTheCap and coming up with a bunch of different contracts all that seemed great at the time. The more I studied other contracts and researched, the more complicated and complex I realized it was, and the more unrealistic I realized my contracts were. I finally think I am on the right path with this structure.

In now way shape or form do I consider myself an expert so if you see an error or something that's obviously wrong, please don't hesistate to let me know.


I was considering a $300,000,000 Salary Cap in 2029. When I looked it up the projections were closer to $400,000,000 for 2029. Even at a $300,000,000 projected Salary Cap a cap hit of $58,000,000 is less than 20% of the total cap and $66,365,253 is only 22% of the total cap at $300,000,000. The top QB contracts average slightly over 22% of the total Salary Cap currently at least. That said, if my math is right, if the 49ers were to cut/trade Purdy following 2028 they would have to split $140,000,000 in dead cap over two years. That's rough no matter how you spin it, so I may need to make some adjustments on the back end. I was trying to operate under the premise the Yorks were trying to limit their cash spending for the next few years and I still ended up putting $75,000,000 down as a signing bonus.
[ Edited by JamesF on Mar 8, 2025 at 6:10 AM ]
Originally posted by JamesF:
What a potential Brock Purdy extension could actually look like.

FRAMEWORK
(5 Year Extension) $280,000,000 APY: $56,000,000
(Total Guarantees) $207,980,747
(Fully Guaranteed) $127,980,747
(Signing Bonus) $75,000,000
(Option Bonuses) [2026 - $25,000,000] [2027 - $25,000,000] [2029 - $40,000,000] [2030 - $40,000,000]

LAYOUT
(Year) Base Salary [Prorated Bonus] {Roster Bonus} [Workout Bonus] (Cap Hit)
(2025) $980,747 [$15,019,253] {$0} [$0] ($16,000,000)

(2026) $1,000,000 [$20,000,000] {$0} $[1,000,000] ($22,000,000)

(2027) $1.000.000 [$25,000,000] {$0} [$1,000,000] ($27,000,000)

(2028) $5,000,000 [$25,000,000] {$4,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($35,000,000)

(2029) $5,000,000 [$33,000,000] {$19,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($58,000,000)

(2030) $20,365,253 [$26,000,000] {$19,000,000} [$1,000,000] ($66,365,253)

(2031) VOID $21,000,000 VOID VOID ($21,000,000)

(2032) VOID $16,000,000 VOID VOID ($16,000,000)

(2033) VOID $16,000,000 VOID VOID ($16,000,000)

(2034) VOID $8,000,000 VOID VOID ($8,000,000)

This would give the 49ers and Brock Purdy the entirety of the 2028 regular season to guage mutual interest in another contract extension. While giving both parties mutliple paths forward.

If the 49ers expect Brock Purdy to sustain his level pf production into his early to mid 30's, they can convert his 2029 & 2030 Base Salaries, Roster Bonuses, and Workout Bonuses, into a Signing Bonus. Convert 2031 & 2032 into contract years with an extension, add an Option Bonus in 2032, and then be able to add 2 more void years in 2035 & 2036 to prorate the bonus.

Point being this contract would allow the 49ers to keep Brock Purdy through at least 2028 before his cap number would become prohibitive and they have to decide if he's worth extending, trying to get 1 more year out of their core, or trading him and the other older core players and getting a jumpstart on a quick rebuild.

Lastly, I have spent a bunch of time studying and researching everything I could find on contracts all over the internet. From there I started messing around on OverTheCap and coming up with a bunch of different contracts all that seemed great at the time. The more I studied other contracts and researched, the more complicated and complex I realized it was, and the more unrealistic I realized my contracts were. I finally think I am on the right path with this structure.

In now way shape or form do I consider myself an expert so if you see an error or something that's obviously wrong, please don't hesistate to let me know.

I want to give you props on this post. You must have put in a lot of work. I hope people comment and discuss.
Originally posted by maxsmart:
Yes, Brock looked like crap in all bad weather games:
* the snow game in Buffalo on 12/1 because his arm was too weak to overcome the weather 94 yards only 10 points
* rain game at SF vs Rams on 12/12 he couldn't overcome weather only scored 6 points QBR 22
Many other games where he couldn't stretch the field so opposing teams stack the box against the run

Of course Montana and Young both had relatively weak arms and they did OK, because they had great timing, like hopefully Purdy does.
But Purdy definitely has arm limitations in weather and stretching the deep field

>>>>Of course Montana and Young both had relatively weak arms.....

Steve Young had a weak arm?
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