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Offseason Post: Thoughts on the Draft...

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Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Or maybe DJ/Wright/Cook/Acker/Reaser would play over a rookie CB and MW, Bishop,Wheeler,or Moody would be playing over a rookie ILB in the 2nd. Baalke clearly didn't think the talent was there at those positions. (I didn't either)

Why would Baalke draft/sign all these players if he didn't think they could compete for a snaps? He clearly values pass-rushers and the interior d-line over CBs.

I think Donte Johnson has a lot of potential but don't think he's better than Marcus Peters or Kevin Johnson. Wright and Cook are mediocre at best and Acker and Reaser are completely unknown. The MLBs taken in the 2nd are all possible starters at the very least which means their GMs thought they were upgrades at the position. I'm not a huge Wilhoite fan and thought there was room for an upgrade (36th ranked MLB in PFF last year) at the position.

Still could have gotten Eli Harold in the 3rd (I liked that pick a lot) and used some of the 4th rounders to draft some interior d-lineman that needed some development considering our HC is thought of as good at developing late-round defensive talent.

We know that DJ played well when given a chance and has all the measurables/football IQ that Baalke loves in a CB. Rogers/Cox were both underachievers until they joined SF same might be true with Wright/Cook. Acker looked pretty good in pre-season and Reaser would have been higher than a 5th round pick if not for his injury...judging from his Instagram videos it looks like he's ready to role. I'm just saying why draft or sign these players when they haven't even scratched the surface yet?

Wilhoite was a 16 game starter and will go back to his old role when BO is back. He's a thumper that plays close to the line, that's all you need. There weren't any highly regarded ILB's in this draft IMO and I didn't see any stud 3-down LBers. Why reach at the position when there are better football players there? Bad teams reach for need good teams draft talent and find a way to get them on the field. Baalke plans for a year ahead, so I like to think our 2014 draft is really our 2015 draft because we will see them actually getting playing time.

You'd think by now we as fans would see how Baalke drafts
Originally posted by Marvin49:
Originally posted by thl408:
Nice take, Marvin. Good points about drafting for the future. I like how you listed the expected departures and who was drafted. I agree with many of the assessments listed above. I was about to post this into the "are you happy" thread, but I'll put it here because I like the discussion in your threads.


I voted a weak 'no', but I'll defer to the 49ers scouting department. They have done a fine job at drafting defensive players and they went defense for the first three rounds, which I do like. I wanted a DLman in the 1st and was happy Baalke stayed true to his team building philosophy. I hate hearing reports that AArmstead is raw and has a questionable motor. I see this pick as having Tomsula's blessing and if there's one thing he knows, it's DLmen.

The Tartt pick was a head scratcher. I'm sure he's a good prospect, but why draft a third safety with Reid and Ward expected to man the positions in the near future? I know there is some convo about him being a nickel LB in the Tartt thread, but that's asking a lot out of him to do that. He's big for a DB, but he's still a DB. He isn't going make a living by taking on OL when they move to the second level as a nickel run defender. That's a lofty expectation. "He's our Kam Chancellor" - the 49ers do not run a defense like SEA so that doesn't mean much unless the 49ers will be overhauling their defensive coverage scheme. The 49ers, if Mangini continues to run a similar scheme to Fangio, require safeties that can man cover. This is why the Ward pick made so much sense last season. This is why the Tartt pick raises questions as to how they plan to use him. We can speculate all we want, but I won't believe that they want to run a Big Nickel (2CBs/3 safeties) look until I see it. The only way this pick fully pays off is if Reid retires early, or Ward stays at slot CB, or the 49ers start using a Big Nickel as their base personnel which is pretty mad scientist-ish (ask Mike Nolan).

The Harold pick was a BPA luxury pick. Highly rated player so the value is there, but OLB was pretty deep already. What does this mean for Lemon? Lemon was a 3rd rounder that the 49ers moved up to draft, which shows they really liked him. Are they giving up on him already? I like this pick, but he isn't getting playing time over Aldon/Brooks/Lynch unless he comes to ball. At 20 years old (not fully physically mature), I don't see him unseating any of those three guys. Even once he matures his body, say at 22-23 years old, he has to contend with Lynch and Aldon who look to have the edge rusher positions on lock. If Aldon goes off the deep end, then this pick suddenly becomes full of foresight.

The Bell pick should mean this is VD's last season as a 49er. Seems like a good athlete that Sparano can mold to his liking. Him and Vance can make a nice duo and the fact that the 49ers addressed the 2nd TE position leads me to believe that the 2TE set is alive and well in Geep's playbook. Either that or they are giving up on Vance, which I doubt.

So I gave it a 'No' vote because there were no picks that made me say "hell yeah", but I know that's what it's about. A bit disappointed that neither OL or ILB was addressed in the mid rounds. I would have liked to see a mid rounder push Pears for playing time, and Looney for a roster spot. Also would have liked an ILB to push any of the journeymen vet ILBs. I was fine with not taking a CB. As the theme of the offseason goes for me - keep an open mind. We'll see how it all translates, but I feel we won't know about these picks until 2016. Time to put the teacher hats on and get to work, coaches.


Just a note on something you touched on with Tartt...I recall reading somewhere that they planned to stick with the same defense in terms of the front 7 but that they wanted to revamp the way the secondary played.

For what it's worth...

Yeah the Tartt pick was a big WTF moment for me as well. Thinking back on it, this pick seems to give the team options at S/nickel corner now and in the future. It possible they could be altering their back end systems a bit and considering moving Ward out to CB. Another alternative could be a play to matchups. Perhaps you can swap Ward/Tartt around to play matchups such that Ward isn't having to cover big receivers like Marshall near as often. Perhaps on running downs Tartt goes in and on passing downs Ward does. Who knows, but it does provide some flexibility.

Does Tartt's playing style not also resemble that of one Dashon Goldson? I'm an avid football fan but not a football guy (if that makes sense), but I seem to recall Goldosn as a guy who flies around laying people out at the price of occasional lapses in coverage. Everything I've read about Tartt says the exact same thing.

As far as Armstread, I see him as a rotation 3-4 end immediately and a DT inside on passing downs. Could you not have a nickel defense featuring Dockett-Armstead-A.Smith-A.Lynch?
[ Edited by bzborow1 on May 4, 2015 at 1:48 PM ]
  • SoCold
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Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by SoCold:
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by SoCold:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by SoCold:
Smelter had a draft projection of 7th or FA

per cbs rankings even if they are not pro scouts, they do get close on a lot of picks where they end up going

every pick was a reach except the 3rd round pick

I really wanted to see something like

Peters CB
Perryman ILB
with the first two picks then if Trent want's to draft 4 TE's after that fine put you need to land solid potential starters in the first couple of rounds
IMO

who says Peters plays over Wright or DJ anyway? both have experience in the NFL and a rookie is just that a rookie, same could be said for Perryman, I don't think he would start over MW....maybe Baalke didn't think there was value at those positions hence going to FA before the draft to grab Wright/Cook and Bishop/Wheeler

people keep forgetting about all of the players he's drafted the past two years that really haven't had a chance to play yet.

then why in the heck trade back to gain a pick in round 4th and pick a TE ? do we need 5 TE's ? just stay put and draft the best player on your board.

I wanted them to take Kevin Johnson cause I think he will be the best pro CB out of this draft

and the draft went Kevin Johnson, Arik, Peters lol

Corner is high demand, can't have too many good ones imo

Good thing we're top 5 every year no matter who we play at CB....even street CB's. I wonder why that is...

yeah good thing all our CB's got hurt at some point last year and we gave up 3 passing TD's to the Raiders

I ain't excusing that...still ended top 5 and #1 in TO's with dude's ending the year named Cromartie, McFadden, Johnson moved to the slot, etc. The point is this year, with that monster rotation along the DL and 6 legit pass rushers: Brooks/Lynch, Aldon/Harold, Carradine/Dockett and adding Tartt to middle of the field as the enforcer, no matter who wins the CB battles outside, should have a huge year...they should be able to sit back there and order pizza...maybe do some laundry.

only stats that mater are W vs L

My point is

2 of the top 3 rated CB's are sitting there when we pick and we take 0

even after we trade back 1 of the top three is still there and we take 0

at that spot I think CB is more valuable than DL

imo
Originally posted by SoCold:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by SoCold:
Smelter had a draft projection of 7th or FA

per cbs rankings even if they are not pro scouts, they do get close on a lot of picks where they end up going

every pick was a reach except the 3rd round pick

I really wanted to see something like

Peters CB
Perryman ILB
with the first two picks then if Trent want's to draft 4 TE's after that fine put you need to land solid potential starters in the first couple of rounds
IMO

who says Peters plays over Wright or DJ anyway? both have experience in the NFL and a rookie is just that a rookie, same could be said for Perryman, I don't think he would start over MW....maybe Baalke didn't think there was value at those positions hence going to FA before the draft to grab Wright/Cook and Bishop/Wheeler

people keep forgetting about all of the players he's drafted the past two years that really haven't had a chance to play yet.

then why in the heck trade back to gain a pick in round 4th and pick a TE ? do we need 5 TE's ? just stay put and draft the best player on your board.

I wanted them to take Kevin Johnson cause I think he will be the best pro CB out of this draft

and the draft went Kevin Johnson, Arik, Peters lol

Corner is high demand, can't have too many good ones imo

Baalke values pass-rush over CBs we should all know this by now...
Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
I think Donte Johnson has a lot of potential but don't think he's better than Marcus Peters or Kevin Johnson. Wright and Cook are mediocre at best and Acker and Reaser are completely unknown. The MLBs taken in the 2nd are all possible starters at the very least which means their GMs thought they were upgrades at the position. I'm not a huge Wilhoite fan and thought there was room for an upgrade (36th ranked MLB in PFF last year) at the position.

Still could have gotten Eli Harold in the 3rd (I liked that pick a lot) and used some of the 4th rounders to draft some interior d-lineman that needed some development considering our HC is thought of as good at developing late-round defensive talent.

Ahmad Brooks not playing ILB in years and changing back this TC is better than any rookie ILB available in this draft.

Would've liked a corner but if Baalke didn't value those guys he shouldn't take them because he thinks we need one. Perhaps they gambled Johnson would be there at 17 and were burned. It happens. I could see Peters being taken off our draft board because of his issues. For as much bust potential Armstead has Peters is even greater.
[ Edited by 9ers4eva on May 4, 2015 at 1:47 PM ]
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by SoCold:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by SoCold:
Smelter had a draft projection of 7th or FA

per cbs rankings even if they are not pro scouts, they do get close on a lot of picks where they end up going

every pick was a reach except the 3rd round pick

I really wanted to see something like

Peters CB
Perryman ILB
with the first two picks then if Trent want's to draft 4 TE's after that fine put you need to land solid potential starters in the first couple of rounds
IMO

who says Peters plays over Wright or DJ anyway? both have experience in the NFL and a rookie is just that a rookie, same could be said for Perryman, I don't think he would start over MW....maybe Baalke didn't think there was value at those positions hence going to FA before the draft to grab Wright/Cook and Bishop/Wheeler

people keep forgetting about all of the players he's drafted the past two years that really haven't had a chance to play yet.

then why in the heck trade back to gain a pick in round 4th and pick a TE ? do we need 5 TE's ? just stay put and draft the best player on your board.

I wanted them to take Kevin Johnson cause I think he will be the best pro CB out of this draft

and the draft went Kevin Johnson, Arik, Peters lol

Corner is high demand, can't have too many good ones imo

Baalke values pass-rush over CBs we should all know this by now...


In a division with Marshawn Lynch and now Todd Gurley, focusing on the big guys isn't a bad strategy either.
Originally posted by SoCold:
only stats that mater are W vs L

My point is

2 of the top 3 rated CB's are sitting there when we pick and we take 0

even after we trade back 1 of the top three is still there and we take 0

at that spot I think CB is more valuable than DL

imo

Fair point but it's pretty much this...

Originally posted by NYniner85:
Baalke values pass-rush over CBs we should all know this by now...
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Or maybe DJ/Wright/Cook/Acker/Reaser would play over a rookie CB and MW, Bishop,Wheeler,or Moody would be playing over a rookie ILB in the 2nd. Baalke clearly didn't think the talent was there at those positions. (I didn't either)

Why would Baalke draft/sign all these players if he didn't think they could compete for a snaps? He clearly values pass-rushers and the interior d-line over CBs.

I think Donte Johnson has a lot of potential but don't think he's better than Marcus Peters or Kevin Johnson. Wright and Cook are mediocre at best and Acker and Reaser are completely unknown. The MLBs taken in the 2nd are all possible starters at the very least which means their GMs thought they were upgrades at the position. I'm not a huge Wilhoite fan and thought there was room for an upgrade (36th ranked MLB in PFF last year) at the position.

Still could have gotten Eli Harold in the 3rd (I liked that pick a lot) and used some of the 4th rounders to draft some interior d-lineman that needed some development considering our HC is thought of as good at developing late-round defensive talent.

We know that DJ played well when given a chance and has all the measurables/football IQ that Baalke loves in a CB. Rogers/Cox were both underachievers until they joined SF same might be true with Wright/Cook. Acker looked pretty good in pre-season and Reaser would have been higher than a 5th round pick if not for his injury...judging from his Instagram videos it looks like he's ready to role. I'm just saying why draft or sign these players when they haven't even scratched the surface yet?

Wilhoite was a 16 game starter and will go back to his old role when BO is back. He's a thumper that plays close to the line, that's all you need. There weren't any highly regarded ILB's in this draft IMO and I didn't see any stud 3-down LBers. Why reach at the position when there are better football players there? Bad teams reach for need good teams draft talent and find a way to get them on the field. Baalke plans for a year ahead, so I like to think our 2014 draft is really our 2015 draft because we will see them actually getting playing time.

You'd think by now we as fans would see how Baalke drafts

Don't disagree with you about Donte Johnson, but we lost both of our starters last season and Brock can't stay healthy. Four other teams thought that in today's NFL a potential franchise corner is worth a first round pick this year.

I just don't think Wilhoite is that good and if there weren't any stud 3-down LBers the Saints wouldn't have taken Anthony at the end of the first round. I don't think in the past planning for a year ahead has worked out for Baalke which is part of my concern in this draft. His good drafts have always occurred when he's done a mix of filling holes and drafting BPA to give the team some depth.
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Baalke values pass-rush over CBs we should all know this by now...

And while this is fine, why did Baalke take a guy early that wasn't exactly the most productive pass-rusher in college? Bud Dupree (23.5 career sacks) and Shane Ray (14.5 sacks last season) were still on the board when they chose to go with Armstead.
Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Baalke values pass-rush over CBs we should all know this by now...

And while this is fine, why did Baalke take a guy early that wasn't exactly the most productive pass-rusher in college? Bud Dupree (23.5 career sacks) and Shane Ray (14.5 sacks last season) were still on the board when they chose to go with Armstead.

Quite simply, it's MUCH harder to find a 4-tech 3-4 DE that actually plays that position in college, let alone one rated that highly and one that has that high of a ceiling. That, to Baalke, is much harder to find than say...a McFadden or Cromartie off the streets who played well for us at CB last year. You have to understand his formula to understand his picks. You have to understand that he DID draft an ILB for all intents and purposes and that is Tartt. You have to understand that our identity is to win the trenches on stuffing the run and bringing the heat so that our secondary can lead the NFL in TO's again despite nobody named Revis/Dick...and remain top 5 in pass defense. Some teams win with the opposite formula. In today's game, it's almost impossible to win with both...pay a Revis $20M and still have a dominant front 7? And there are only a handful of those kinds of players...like there are only a handful of dominant 6'7" DE 4-tech 2-gappers to play in the 3-4 defense.
[ Edited by NCommand on May 4, 2015 at 2:08 PM ]
Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Baalke values pass-rush over CBs we should all know this by now...

And while this is fine, why did Baalke take a guy early that wasn't exactly the most productive pass-rusher in college? Bud Dupree (23.5 career sacks) and Shane Ray (14.5 sacks last season) were still on the board when they chose to go with Armstead.

Where would those guys play and when? They wouldn't start for a while. Also, Baalke likes Dlinemen, not necessarily pass rush. Remember he's a Parcells disciple, he always said you can never have enough of them.
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Baalke values pass-rush over CBs we should all know this by now...

And while this is fine, why did Baalke take a guy early that wasn't exactly the most productive pass-rusher in college? Bud Dupree (23.5 career sacks) and Shane Ray (14.5 sacks last season) were still on the board when they chose to go with Armstead.

Quite simply, it's MUCH harder to find a 4-tech 3-4 DE that actually plays that position in college, let alone one rated that highly and one that has that high of a ceiling. That, to Baalke, is much harder to find than say...a McFadden or Cromartie off the streets who played well for us at CB last year. You have to understand his formula to understand his picks. You have to understand that he DID draft an ILB for all intents and purposes and that is Tartt. You have to understand that our identity is to win the trenches on stuffing the run and bringing the heat so that our secondary can lead the NFL in TO's again despite nobody named Revis/Dick...and remain top 5 in pass defense. Some teams win with the opposite formula. In today's game, it's almost impossible to win with both...pay a Revis $20M and still have a dominant front 7? And there are only a handful of those kinds of players...like there are only a handful of dominant 6'7" DE 4-tech 2-gappers to play in the 3-4 defense.

Henry Anderson is basically the same size as Amstead with a lot more college production and could have been had in the 3rd round. He didn't draft an ILB, he drafted a SS that he hopes can move to ILB on passing downs (despite the knock on him in college being his mediocre coverage ability). Baalke will continue to draft the way he does, but it doesn't mean I don't disagree with it at times.
Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Or maybe DJ/Wright/Cook/Acker/Reaser would play over a rookie CB and MW, Bishop,Wheeler,or Moody would be playing over a rookie ILB in the 2nd. Baalke clearly didn't think the talent was there at those positions. (I didn't either)

Why would Baalke draft/sign all these players if he didn't think they could compete for a snaps? He clearly values pass-rushers and the interior d-line over CBs.

I think Donte Johnson has a lot of potential but don't think he's better than Marcus Peters or Kevin Johnson. Wright and Cook are mediocre at best and Acker and Reaser are completely unknown. The MLBs taken in the 2nd are all possible starters at the very least which means their GMs thought they were upgrades at the position. I'm not a huge Wilhoite fan and thought there was room for an upgrade (36th ranked MLB in PFF last year) at the position.

Still could have gotten Eli Harold in the 3rd (I liked that pick a lot) and used some of the 4th rounders to draft some interior d-lineman that needed some development considering our HC is thought of as good at developing late-round defensive talent.

We know that DJ played well when given a chance and has all the measurables/football IQ that Baalke loves in a CB. Rogers/Cox were both underachievers until they joined SF same might be true with Wright/Cook. Acker looked pretty good in pre-season and Reaser would have been higher than a 5th round pick if not for his injury...judging from his Instagram videos it looks like he's ready to role. I'm just saying why draft or sign these players when they haven't even scratched the surface yet?

Wilhoite was a 16 game starter and will go back to his old role when BO is back. He's a thumper that plays close to the line, that's all you need. There weren't any highly regarded ILB's in this draft IMO and I didn't see any stud 3-down LBers. Why reach at the position when there are better football players there? Bad teams reach for need good teams draft talent and find a way to get them on the field. Baalke plans for a year ahead, so I like to think our 2014 draft is really our 2015 draft because we will see them actually getting playing time.

You'd think by now we as fans would see how Baalke drafts

Don't disagree with you about Donte Johnson, but we lost both of our starters last season and Brock can't stay healthy. Four other teams thought that in today's NFL a potential franchise corner is worth a first round pick this year.

I just don't think Wilhoite is that good and if there weren't any stud 3-down LBers the Saints wouldn't have taken Anthony at the end of the first round. I don't think in the past planning for a year ahead has worked out for Baalke which is part of my concern in this draft. His good drafts have always occurred when he's done a mix of filling holes and drafting BPA to give the team some depth.

Right and we lost our two starters the year before, This was the first year Brock got hurt so I wouldn't say his injury prone. Wilhoite doesn't have to be a pro-bowler to be good. His job is to play up closer to the line and take on blockers go after the runner, it's a dirty job but you not a super important one.

Just because the Saints took Anthony in the 1st doesn't mean he was valued by other teams as a 1st round LBer and besides the Saints don't have Bowman

Why hasn't it worked? we really don't even know yet because a lot of those players haven't even had a chance to take on bigger roles at this point, SF had a lot of good vets on the team when Harbs and Trent became GM..

I'll take pass-rusher over CBs any day...doesn't matte how good the CB is if the QB has all day to throw.
Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Baalke values pass-rush over CBs we should all know this by now...

And while this is fine, why did Baalke take a guy early that wasn't exactly the most productive pass-rusher in college? Bud Dupree (23.5 career sacks) and Shane Ray (14.5 sacks last season) were still on the board when they chose to go with Armstead.

Different positions, they are OLB and SF was looking for interior D-line help. Armstead's job was to take on double-teams and clog the lanes which helps our OLBs. Players with his size/athletic ability don't come around every year.
Originally posted by itlynstalyn:
Henry Anderson is basically the same size as Amstead with a lot more college production and could have been had in the 3rd round. He didn't draft an ILB, he drafted a SS that he hopes can move to ILB on passing downs (despite the knock on him in college being his mediocre coverage ability). Baalke will continue to draft the way he does, but it doesn't mean I don't disagree with it at times.
Every other GM let Henry Anderson fall to the 3rd round which tells me they don't think he will end up being the pro player AA will.
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