Originally posted by Kolohe:
Alex Smith
Carlos Rogers
Adam Snyder
Ahmad Brooks
Joshua Morgan
Tedd Ginn Jr.
Larry Grant
Dashon Goldson
.....oh and I guess Dwayne Bowe.
There's our 30 million!!!
Everyone of those players were major contributors to our 13 and....err I mean 14-4 record and NEED to be brought back.
Good luck with that. Half of those guys are going to want nearly 10 million a year.
Smith will resign. Like him or not, we will resign him and we should play hardball with his contract because no other team is going to break down our door trying to sign him to a big contract. 6-8 million. Nearly guaranteed to resign.
Rogers is going to get a reality check, before he gets a paycheck. Cornerback used to be the most underpaid position in the game. Now it's the most overpaid. He might not like it, and another stupid team might throw money at him, but we're not going to break the bank for him at his age. 5-7 million. 70% chance he resigns.
Snyder should get something similar to what he is making now, if not, I think we are willing to pay a little more. A very valuable player to our team, and I think he wants to be here. 2-3 million. 80% chance he resigns.
Ahmad Brooks is going to make a lot of money this off-season. He has tons of awesome film, and he's going to want to get paid. Someone will likely put up a big offer for him, because he is still young, he's "got his stinking mind right" and he is entering his prime. With Aldon Smith, I don't think it would be wise to pay an arm and a leg for another OLB. If he somehow stays, he will have to except a LOT less money. Its a tough loss, but that's the way it is in the NFL. 4-9 million. 20% chance he resigns.
Josh Morgan was hurt, so he should be fairly easy to bring back for another year. Maybe we sign him long-term. Not sure how we are going to pay him, but he will definitely be back. 2-3 million. 95% chance he resigns.
Tedd Ginn is the toughest one of them all to guess. We NEED his ability to catch the ball on special teams, and his good return ability is only a bonus. He is also nice to have as an extra receiver and deep threat. The question is, "Is he MORE valuable than Rogers, Brooks, Goldson or a free agent WR?" The money spent to keep him, means less money to sign someone else. 2-4 million. 50% chance he resigns.
Larry Grant. I don't know. 1-2 million. 50% chance he resigns?
Dashon Goldson wants to get paid also, like Ahmad Brooks. There is no doubt about that, because he refused a reasonable offer last off-season. We will probably franchise him instead of Brooks because its better to have talent spread around the field, rather than focused at OLB. 6-7 million. 80% chance he is back.
Dwayne Bowe. 8-10 million? I don't think we are going to pay a glut of money for him. We have already set a standard that we don't have to overpay for free agents in order to obtain very talented free agents. This would throw a monkey wrench into our team's future.
Keeping out Bowe. At the lowest end, they will cost around 28 million to resign. At the high end, they will cost around 43 million to resign. These numbers average out to 35.5 million, which we don't have. This is why we are going to unfortunately have to say "good buy" to Brooks. If we are lucky, we will only lose Brooks, although I have a feeling we might not be able to keep Rogers either.
Even if we lose both Rogers and Brooks, fitting a high powered free agent like Bowe into this equation is pure fantasy.
I think the best case scenario, in the land of reality, is that we only lose Brooks and Ginn. I would rather that happen than Brooks and Rogers. We might be able to scrape under the cap by only losing Brooks and Ginn.
BTW, one day, Aldon Smith and NaVorro Bowman are going to want to get paid too. Don't forget about that.