Originally posted by dj43:
Originally posted by PopeyeJonesing:
Kap at the end (for his last season) had the same QB rating that Aaron Rodgers has so far this year, and better than a ton of starters have so far this year (Rivers, Goff, Flacco, Murray, Winston, Dalton, Newton, Allen, Mayfield, etc.).
In general, ratings can be helpful. However, they are not the end all. The eye test is still the final test, and that was the case with Kaepernick. His rating looked pretty good because he only looked at one option, and if it was open he threw it. If it was a tight window, he generally ran rather than take a chance on fitting the ball in there. The result was a good rating but little real success. Other teams saw that and still look at him that way.
Yes, his baggage hurts him, but as we have observed, if you are good enough the baggage doesn't matter.
Fully agreed that ratings aren't the end all and be all.
That said, ratings are extra useful in situations in which implicit bias or a lack of objectivity is a concern.
In a situation in which the "eye test" comes with a lot of priors or moral evaluations and beliefs that are outside the scope of the question being asked, the objectivity of ratings are PARTICULARLY useful.
I can't think of a modern athlete who better fits those than conditions than does Colin Kaepernick: We'd expect the vast majority of people who disagree with him politically to think he does not pass the "eye test" as a QB, just as we'd expect the vast majority of people who agree with him politically to think he does pass the "eye test" as a QB. What that should tell us is that the "eye test" is a VERY poor metric when it comes to this question.
IMO the "eye test" for Kaepernick is similar to the "eye test" for electability in the Democratic primary: which candidates are believed and not believed to pass the "eye test" tell you a TON about who the person making the claim supports and does not support, but practically nothing about that candidates actual electability. For that question as far as electability goes we're much better using the cold hard numbers of survey research.
[ Edited by PopeyeJonesing on Oct 18, 2019 at 11:59 AM ]