While I hope that Vernon gets more throws this year, I think Vance will be better as a receiver than Delanie. The result will be that Vernon and Vance together will have more than a 1000 yds. If Kap distributes to both of his TEs, our offense will be much more dynamic, hence more difficult to defend against.
As a bench mark for V&V, consider the numbers put up by Ron Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez in 2011:
• 169 receptions
• 2,237 receiving yards
From ESPN: http://espn.go.com/boston/nfl/story/_/id/7477833/new-england-patriots-rob-gronkowski-aaron-hernandez-making-tight-end-history
Needless to say, Tom Brady has found a special connection with this young tight end combo. Consider that he has a 134.2 passer rating when targeting one of the two. But it's not just what happens when he throws to them. Quite simply, Brady is a different quarterback with the two of them on the field. When both Gronkowski and Hernandez are on the field, Brady had 31 touchdowns and four interceptions. Otherwise, he threw eight touchdowns and eight interceptions.
When Both on the Field:
Targets:............ 104 ..............87
Receptions: .......75 ..............64
Rec yards: ........834 ...........880
TD receptions: .....7 ..............13
Of the two, Hernandez is actually the primary target when both are on the field. In those circumstances, he was targeted 104 times for 75 receptions. Gronkowski had 87 targets and 64 receptions when Hernandez was on the field. The difference, of course, is that Gronkowski saw many more snaps as the lone tight end. Hernandez acts as much more of a wild card in the offense.
As John McTigue noted in the Stats & Info Blog, Hernandez lined up as a wide receiver for 505 snaps compared to just 255 snaps as a tight end on the line. There were even 61 snaps where he lined up at running back.Of the two, Gronkowski is far more likely to stay in and pass-block. Hernandez was a pass-blocker on just 2.2 percent of the passing plays for which he was on the field. Compare that to 11.5 percent for Gronkowski. Indeed, Hernandez was a pass-blocker on only 11 plays in 2011. That's the same number as Kevin Faulk. The only tight end who pass-blocks less often is San Diego's Antonio Gates.
Given that we use the 2 TE set about 50% of the time and the Pats more often; combined with Tom Brady having more Hall of Fame seasons under his belt than Kap, if V&V were half as good, they would combine for 1100+ yds in 2013.
[ Edited by mebemused on Jun 14, 2013 at 8:03 PM ]