The 2014 offseason is just as much as a key offseason as 2015 is, we have several quality players unsigned, including WR Anquan Boldin, WR Mario Manningham, DE Justin Smith, and CB Tarell Brown. Plus uys signed this offseason like CB Nnamdi Asomugha, and PK Phil Dawson.
It will likely come down to the 49ers choosing between Brown and Asomugha, depending on how well Asomugha plays in 2013. Plus Carlos Rogers has a $6.25 million base salary, which is to high, so he may needs to be addressed, either a pay cut or released.
I expect, with no other moves being made, the 49ers to have between $26 and $30 million to start the free agency period, and that is without factoring in a possible pay cut for Rogers. Of course the 49ers may extend Justin Smith, or maybe even have in order to fit Anthony Davis' possible signing bonus under the 2013 cap.
Some of the higher base salaries in 2014 include, over $1 million,
Carlos Rogers - $6.25 million
Patrick Willis - $5.285 million
Ahmad Brooks - $5.15 million (Can decrease due to low sack totals in 2013)
Vernon Davis - $4.7 million
NaVorro Bowman - $4 million
Michael Crabtree - $3.5 million
Ray McDonald - $3.5 million
Frank Gore - $3.3 million
Joe Staley - $2.7 million
Aldon Smith - $2,336,454
Glenn Dorsey - $2.3 million
Andy Lee - $1.9 million
Mike Iupati - $1,600,500
Craig Dahl - $1.35 million
Dan Skuta - $1.3 million
C.J. Spillman - $1.225 million
Brian Jennings - $1.035 million
A.J. Jenkins - $1,021,594
And guys making just under $1 million, who will need extensions soon.
Colin Kaepernick - $973,766
Alex Boone - $950,000
NOTE: I am unsure of what Anthony Davis' 2014 base salary is as of now, may still be $1,073,600, or lower/higher, not sure at this time.
Also note that the 49ers have 6 players signed for $495,000 each, or $2.97 million total, those players are, Tony Jerod-Eddie, Al Netter, Nate Stupar, Michael Thomas, Wayne Tribue, and Kenny Wiggins. I don't see them all making the 2013 roster, and likely most won't make it. The 49ers also have Lamar Divens signed for $645,000, and Ricardo Lockette for $570,000. Lockette has a good shot at the 2013 roster, as he is a sleeper.
Now lets take a look at 2015 offseason, I have the 49ers at $57.605 million under the cap, I expect around that much, with Rogers not seeing his $7.25 million base salary. Plus I see some players taking pay cuts, and extensions in the process, but I will address that later.
Players with a $1 million or more base salary in 2015.
Patrick Willis - $7.605 million
Carlos Rogers - $7.25 million
Ahmad Brooks - $6 million (Can also decrease due to low sack totals in 2014)
NaVorro Bowman - $4.7 million
Joe Staley - $4.5 million
Vernon Davis - $4.35 million
Ray McDonald - $4.1 million
Andy Lee - $2.05 million
Craig Dahl - $1.4 million
Alex Boone - $1.2 million
Ian Williams - $1 million
NOTE that A.J. Jenkins makes a $660,000 base salary, and a non guaranteed $677,309 roster bonus, which is why he doesn't have a $1 million or more base salary like in 2014.
Also don't know Anthony Davis' 2015 base salary yet, but should soon.
Now we have plenty of talent unsigned for 2015, namely QB Colin Kaepernick, RB Kendall Hunter, RB Frank Gore, FB Bruce Miller, WR Michael Crabtree, C Daniel Kilgore, LG Mike Iupati, NT/DE Glenn Dorsey, OLB Aldon Smith, ILB Dan Skuta, CB Chris Culliver, FS C.J. Spillman, and LS Brian Jennings.
I expect the 49ers to retain Kaepernick, Aldon Smith, most likely before 2015 offseason begins. Also Culliver is a good bet to be back, as Rogers is likely gone by 2015. Also look for contracts for Jennings, and Boone. Kilgore, Miller and Hunter would be smaller type deals, but still would be a cap friendly.
The most tough to gauge are Crabtree and Iupati, as both could command too much, or the 49ers don't value either or both as high as other teams might.
Skuta and Dorsey could be back if they out perform their free agent signed deals.
I would like to see Willis and Vernon Davis extended between now and 2015, to help cap wise, and keep the foundation together.
Now hopefully we see a core of these players signed long term.
WR Jenkins (Hopefully he works out)
DE Smith (For however long he wants to stay and play)
OLB Brooks (Hopefully he plays better, and earns his deal)
ILB Skuta (Core ST player)
FS Dahl (Hoping he proves people wrong)
FS Spillman (Core ST player)
LS Jennings (For however long he wants to play, worth the $$$)
Of course we will see draft picks brought in, and hopefully they show something, namely at DL and FS and SS.