There was an interesting point made in the comments section about our special teams. The poster is replying to a post about special teams being worse because of the loss of Costanzo. This is a point I hadn't considered, but it makes a lot of sense.
by bravehoptoad :: Tue, 10/09/2012 - 8:45pm
Also they're missing Colin Jones, another special-teams ace, and they released Rock Cartwright, a guy brought in primarily for his special-teams ability.
In their place, the 9ers have a slew of skill-position players who make no contribution to special teams whatsoever.
In short, they seem to have redirected a lot of resources from special teams to offense. I'm wondering if they didn't make a conscious investment in special teams last year because it's a cheap and easy way to improve one of your units without needing an entire off season to install. Now that the team has a year of familiarity with their complex offense, and an entire off season, I'm thinking offense would be a more attractive investment.
So, "reversion" on special teams might be something they've consciously done to some extent. I'm wondering if some of the volatility of year-on-year special-teams performance is because it's rare for special teams units to remain constant. They are usually stocked with bottom-of-the-roster guys, after all.
At any rate, this site certainly was not the only advanced-statistics site predicting regression for the 9ers for all the same reasons.
[ Edited by kw49 on Oct 10, 2012 at 11:12 AM ]