Originally posted by barrymartin:
The notion that we would win the NFC easily is gone. The Cards and Seattle both are playing monster defense. They can rush the passer extremely well, and we all know our pass protection is our weak point. There is the chance that either team can severely limit or even take away our passing game. We have shown we can't stretch defenses, with the exception of Vernon occasionally. Can you imagine what will happen if they compress their defenses to within 20 yds of the line of scrimmage. Short to intermediate passes gone. Safety in the box for fun support making it harder to run. Pressure from everywhere on obvious passing downs. Alex on his back often(see Aaron Rodgers last night). So, there has to be a fundamental change in our passing game for our season to flower. We absolutely have to have a real, respectable deep threat which decompresses, defenses opening up the run and short passing game. That means we have to call the plays, which we haven't. It means we have to have deep threats which we haven't besides Vernon occasionally. And it means Alex has to take more chances and not check down which he hasn't. And it means Alex has to be consistantly accurate on deep throws which he hasn't. Defenses have played us the same way for the last few years, and nothing has essentially changed. This is a fundamental major change that has to happen or I really don't think we will win the NFC West.
This. I watched the coaches film of the Lions game (only way to really watch the passing game) and we didn't run a single deep ball. So you are right. No question. And the biggest issue I see is that we don't run a progression-read offense. We run a team-offense of designed plays. For instance, the play design dictates Alex's throw. The only control Alex seems to have is pre-snap reads to either roll with it or kill it (check from a pass to a run or from a run to a pass). When we run a jumbo package and they stack 10 in the box though, we have NO passing option out of that and we tend to get stuffed every time esp. in short yardage. Regarding our offense, one play highlighted our passing game very well...Alex takes a snap, throws instantly to the underneath, intermediate WR "while" the deeper WR to that side is already engaged in blocking for him. All 11 players play a roll in that play design. This means that nobody else is a viable receiving threat should that only-option receiver not be open. This forces Alex to either hit his initial guy (if open) or run for his life. This is also why we don't see too many ad-lib plays save for a couple.
In short, we are still installing the WCO in packages. We are not playing a traditional WCO yet where it is centered around pre-snap reads AND progression reads during a live play. We have to remember that we are just now installing year 2 of 3. We have a ways to go and we have many new receiving threats.
I just don't know when we will install the deeper packages as it's been 100% short-to-intermediate packages so far. Granted, most have been successful but right now, this is an all-or-nothing offense. If that only-read receiver is not open, Alex is running for his life! On a side note, we are terrible at ad-libing save for a couple big plays thanks to the young guys (Hunter/Miller).