Originally posted by DKPthe49erfan:
why doesnt anybody believe the 49ers can beat a top tier team!!! Every prediction i've seen has us losing to NE, GB, & NO why is that?
Alex Smith
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Originally posted by DKPthe49erfan:
why doesnt anybody believe the 49ers can beat a top tier team!!! Every prediction i've seen has us losing to NE, GB, & NO why is that?
Originally posted by niners4lyfe:
STOP FIGHTING!!!!!!!!
Originally posted by mella8:Alex Smith
Originally posted by KowboyKiller:
Originally posted by niners4lyfe:
STOP FIGHTING!!!!!!!!
NO YOU STOP!!!!
Originally posted by niners4lyfe:
Originally posted by KowboyKiller:
Originally posted by niners4lyfe:
STOP FIGHTING!!!!!!!!
NO YOU STOP!!!!
Originally posted by Blake_Fever:
Originally posted by nickbradley:If you're going to base your predictions on math and statistics, how about "regression to the mean"? The Niners defense waaaaaaaaaaaaay over performed last year (in terms of takeaways) which let to 13 wins. The turnover differential is bound to come down, as will wins. The offense is the wild card. With the new additions and year 2 in the system, it SHOULD get better, but who knows. Probably not enough to offset the slight step back the defense will take.
Eh. Are you familiar with "expected wins" in sports? They call in Pythagorean wins. And its a function of pts scored and pts allowed. On that metric, the 49ers were #1 last year. The packers overperformed more than anyone else. Since 1983, overperformers become undeeperformets the next year, and vice versa.
So if green bay plays like they did last year and play like a 12 win team, the packers are more likely to go 9-7 than 15-1.
Now SF will probably be an overall better team, but with a tougher schedule, 10 or 11 wins is completely logical and realistic.
Originally posted by jvangeystel:
We beat NO already. NE is too one dimensional and green bay is a tough offense, but our defense is tough as well. We match up well against all of these teams, we should deserve the credit of a 50/50 win chance against them. We have as much chance winning as they do. Well honestly I think NE has no chance against us. NO and GB are up in the air.
Edit: NE has a chance, I just think we match up really well against them and have a big advantage in that one.
Originally posted by GuessWhosOn3rd:Texans vs 49ers in the Superbowl
Bears vs 49ers in the NFC Championship
Texans vs. Ravens in the AFC Championship
Texans defense is dominant as fuuuu.. and if Schaub and AJ stay healthy, its a deadly f**kin team
Bears will win their division... yes, you read that right.