A lot of interesting viewpoints.....it can definitely go either way depending on how you look at it!!!
A few things:
a) Fundamentally as 49er fans, there is this mental hurdle about beating the Packers, and that needs no explanation. For our last win in Wisconsin to be with Montana is f'n ridiculous!
BTW, I took our Jets victory in '08 against Favre as a "Packers" victory, and our loss to the Vikings in '09 as a "Packers" loss.
b) I honestly, 110% believe that if early season games favor offenses, then that maybe the only bright spot for Green Bay.
However, at the same time that should favor our offense too, which would be going up against a defense that is not terrific.At some point in the game whether it's the beginning, middle or end, our defense WILL SHOW UP. The NFCC could have been ugly if it they didn't show up in the 2nd half.
c) If you saw in the Sirius thread, our CBs have stated they feel Aldon's effectiveness will be just as good or better this season, particularly against pass happy teams who already force the 49ers into 3rd down schemes on earlier downs (and then there's the option of rotating Parys in there anyways). Imagine seeing Aldon on a lot more PASSING snaps than before? Could happen, game 1.
d) I recall the Packers giving up a TONNNN of rushing yards to the Bears on Christmas Day, against that backup QB too....on their home turf. Maybe it was a sleeper game for them, but they can be run on a lot more than some of the other teams we face can.
e) Finally - do you guys really think they were shocked against the Giants the way we were against the Vikings in '87 playoffs?? The Giants I consider to be the top NFC threat this season. Packers lost to the Giants pretty bad and would have been worse if the refs didn't help them.