I must be the only one who understands football, because it seems like I'm the only person supporting the Harbaugh decision. People who are angry simply do not understand the calculation Harbaugh made, and Bill Belichick would have made this decision with our team.
Simply put, the odds of scoring a touchdown were lower than the chance that we miss the make-up field goal, which is about 30% for Akers with 40-49 yard attempts...probably higher outdoors and so-so turf that had caused a lot of slippage during the game.
It was a PERFECT DECISION, a rational decision, a decision that a software program with perfect information would have made. I CHALLENGE ANYONE to make the case that we were more likely to score a touchdown than miss the follow-up.
Here's backup for the pro-Harbaugh case:
1. It's two scores that matters, not 2 touchdowns
2. Gore ran for 2.4 yards per carry and Smith was sacked once every FIVE times he dropped back. Chances of scoring were very low.
3. Accepting the penalty would have put us on the 25, or a 42-yard field goal.
4. If we didn't advance down the field again, Akers would have still been required to kick a 40+ yard field goal.
5. In his career, Akers has missed 3 out of every 10 field goals between 40 and 49 yards.
6. Half of our drives went backwards or nowhere, especially in the second half.
7. Heavy pressure causes turnovers.