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2012 Rookie QBs and their pass distribution

  • DVDA
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Do you have a source? That's definitely an interesting stat to look at. Wilson could face some Alex Smith type of troubles(always rolling out of the pocket to the right) with a tendency like that.
http://bloggingthebeast.com/2013/04/01/nfc-hierachyobituary-post-free-agency-edition/

Down the page a bit.
"If you'll notice, Russell Wilson threw to the right side on 53.7% of his attempts, and only 27.7% of the time to his left. That is emblematic of a QB who is throwing to his first read… a lot, even for a rookie."

Talks up the 49ers at the very bottom too.
  • DVDA
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Good find, it has a lot of interesting statistics throughout the page.
Originally posted by OregonNiner87:


very interesting--what does it mean?
The author of the blog believes it means that Wilson locks on to his first target too often.

I don't think it's a surprise that he has so few passes from the middle of the field, being as short as he is. The blog also mentions that the Seahawks ran the most at 58%.
Originally posted by OregonNiner87:
The author of the blog believes it means that Wilson locks on to his first target too often.

I don't think it's a surprise that he has so few passes from the middle of the field, being as short as he is. The blog also mentions that the Seahawks ran the most at 58%.


yeah Lynch ran like over 300 times last season. No way he can keep that up.
  • HUGGY
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Originally posted by OregonNiner87:

Wilson is right handed. He throws more to his right than cross body. Go figure.. LOL
Originally posted by HUGGY:
Originally posted by OregonNiner87:

Wilson is right handed. He throws more to his right than cross body. Go figure.. LOL

But you failed to see the most significant stat - he rarely throws over the middle ... Guess where Percival is most effective???
  • Wodwo
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Originally posted by Beeker:
Originally posted by HUGGY:
Originally posted by OregonNiner87:

Wilson is right handed. He throws more to his right than cross body. Go figure.. LOL

But you failed to see the most significant stat - he rarely throws over the middle ... Guess where Percival is most effective???

Actually, the most significant statistic is the one that shows his passing tendencies. The more predictable a player is, the easier they are to defend.

These numbers will be looked at by the defenses Wilson faces and if he continues to be predictable, he will be far more likely to fail.
  • HUGGY
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Originally posted by Wodwo:
Actually, the most significant statistic is the one that shows his passing tendencies. The more predictable a player is, the easier they are to defend.

These numbers will be looked at by the defenses Wilson faces and if he continues to be predictable, he will be far more likely to fail.

As they will be studied by Wilson. He spends a lot of time in the "film room". I'm sure it hasn't been overlooked by him that any tendencies including his own could be exploited.
The more i look at last year, the more i see Wilson heading for a downward spiral SEA fans won't be able to come to terms with.
Teams will try to get in his face and keep him in the pocket with a containment rush (because of his height and elite escapability), then they will try to take away his first read and the right side of the field to force him to his left and over the middle. It is imperative that he make the adjustments. I am sure that Wilson is aware of this and more importantly his coaching staff. They need to plan to counter what teams will throw at him. The troubling thing for defenses will be when Wilson breaks contain and gets into a scramble drill with a guy like Harvin running around. Then you ask yourself do have a Honey Badger type guy chasing him around? Those 2 running around together will be a headache, especially with a healthy and productive Marshawn Lynch in the fold. Teams will circle the games on their calendar for SEA for sure, now in year 2 can they sustain success? This is the same question we had to answer last season although we became markedly different after the QB change and teams had to readjust to us at that time then and again this offseason.

You can hear the rumblings league wide about stopping the read option and whatnot. This talk is geared specifically for teams like SFO and SEA because teams are scared. SFO didn't really use the read option as much as some people think but when we did it was devastating and this is what keeps D Coordinators up all night and busy all summer. SEA seemed to really take off once they implemented those principles and I believe they are more dependant upon it than we are. Kaep can just sit in the pocket and throw all over the field all game with success like he did vs ATL and NE on the road whereas Wilson seems to be at his best on the move at some point in the game. Not to say he hasn't done well as a pocket passer because he has, but it seemed once SEA started playing Redskins football, SEA started taking off.
[ Edited by Pillbusta on Apr 5, 2013 at 3:24 AM ]
  • HUGGY
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Originally posted by Pillbusta:
Teams will try to get in his face and keep him in the pocket with a containment rush (because of his height and elite escapability), then they will try to take away his first read and the right side of the field to force him to his left and over the middle. It is imperative that he make the adjustments. I am sure that Wilson is aware of this and more importantly his coaching staff. They need to plan to counter what teams will throw at him. The troubling thing for defenses will be when Wilson breaks contain and gets into a scramble drill with a guy like Harvin running around. Then you ask yourself do have a Honey Badger type guy chasing him around? Those 2 running around together will be a headache, especially with a healthy and productive Marshawn Lynch in the fold. Teams will circle the games on their calendar for SEA for sure, now in year 2 can they sustain success? This is the same question we had to answer last season although we became markedly different after the QB change and teams had to readjust to us at that time then and again this offseason.

You can hear the rumblings league wide about stopping the read option and whatnot. This talk is geared specifically for teams like SFO and SEA because teams are scared. SFO didn't really use the read option as much as some people think but when we did it was devastating and this is what keeps D Coordinators up all night and busy all summer. SEA seemed to really take off once they implemented those principles and I believe they are more dependant upon it than we are. Kaep can just sit in the pocket and throw all over the field all game with success like he did vs ATL and NE on the road whereas Wilson seems to be at his best on the move at some point in the game. Not to say he hasn't done well as a pocket passer because he has, but it seemed once SEA started playing Redskins football, SEA started taking off.

What I as a Seattle fan and a student of the game find astounding are the numbers Wilson puts up(LOW) vs the efficiency of the offense...especially in the red zone. Even in the much discussed 42-13 "ass kicking" Wilson's production was modest. It's like they just kept winning in the second half of the season with smoke and mirrors. Kaepernick had several long runs and Wilson didn't have any. Wilson didn't throw long downfield very much either..but when he did find someone open..he rarely missed putting the ball where only a Seahawk could catch it. Towards the end of last season there were very few clearly dropped balls also. That might be the strangest thing by itself. It's like the recievers just all of a sudden bought into Russell Wilson hook ..line ..and sinker ...and did everything in thier power to make the most of every ball thrown thier way. In the "ball distribution chart" it would be interesting to see the number and location of incompletions as well as completions.