Originally posted by BobS:
Smith is average at best, that puts him 15th. The only stats that he is above average at compared to the rest is QB rating and completion percentage, and that comes from making mostly short low risk throws. The QB rating is heavily weighted on TD to INT ratio and his is low because he doesn't make risky throws. Great for stats, but not good converting 3rd and long. Alex was an average QB last year which was a big improvement, but he is nothing more.
I disagree. I don't think Alex has hit his ceiling yet. He is only 27 years old, has only had a half of an off-season with Harbaugh and his coaches....and....he played his best football at the end of the year. Also, his offensive coordinator didn't give him many opportunities in the red zone to throw into the end zone last season. I would imagine that will change this season and that you will see Alex throw quite a few more TDs this year....and especially now that Vernon Davis is more comfortable with the offense.
Also, if you include the playoffs in his stats (and you should because with the added attempts, it gives one a clearer idea of how he compares to other QBs), Alex had 22 TDs, 5 picks, and an above 90 QB rating. That is not "average"!!
It may not be elite, but it is certainly not average.
Finally, did you not see the way Alex played against the Saints in the playoffs? How many QBs in the league could have pulled off two very long TD drives in the last couple of minutes and throw a game winning TD with less than 20 seconds remaining? You may not like Alex as a long term QB for the Niners but he deserves respect for what he accomplished this past season.
At this point, I see Alex as a top 13 -17 QB with a chance of reaching the top 8 -12 or so with a season which builds on this past one. He has a fair amount of talent or he wouldn't have been a first round draft pick. He may not be Rodgers or Brady but I can see him being a Len Dawson, Bob Griese, or even Bart Starr type of player (all 3 "game-managers" and all 3 SB champions).
[ Edited by nw9erfan on Apr 6, 2012 at 10:54 AM ]