I've been studying the draft for a while this year. Knowing the way the Niner roster is constructed, I can't really see more than 5-7 guys making the team, and with this being the case I make the assumption that the team wants the best possible guys for those spots. So while many are expecting the niners to try and move up in the first round, I will take a different approach, and keep the high picks while attempting to move lower picks for better low picks.
So I'm going to keep #s 31, 34, 61, 74, and 93. I have no choice but to keep #s 131, 246, and 252 (hello, high-upside/risky picks!) That leaves me with 128, 157, 173, 180, and 237, and I'm going to say that with those 5 picks I can get back into the back part of the 3rd round, flipping them for #91 to New England (we know that Belichick loves those extra picks). So now I have my 6 top 100 guys and my 3 compensatory picks, and I'm off!
#31 and #34 are sort of a package deal. If you like 2 guys, and one has a higher chance of being taken at #32 or #33, you take him at 31. In this range, I have 2 top targets: Robert Woods and Matt Elam. Woods is a Crabtree clone, and could replace Mike if he leaves. Elam is versatile and talented. Cyprien is also a possibility.
With WR and Safety addressed, the top needs are on the DLine and at CB. At #61 there is an outside chance that Tank Carradine is available, or his teammate Bjoern Werner. Either would be nice, but both are likely gone at this point. Margus Hunt is a possibility, but I'm going to turn in a card for Alex Okafor of Texas. He's a little underweight for 3-4 DE, but he did play DT as a sophomore so he knows how to fight inside. Adding 15-20 lbs through a pro coniditioning program shouldn't be an issue, and the guy has talent and produ tion to go with versatility.
13 picks later at #74 there is a good chance that the Niners would double-dip, picking up another DL prospect like John Jenkins or Jesse Williams. I'd be fine with that, but I'm inclined to reach a bit here and take the little-known Robert Alford from SE Louisiana. 5-10 CB with 4-4 speed and a 40 inch vert, played at a small school but has the tools to be a solid cover corner. The niners can afford to give him a season to bulk up a bit, but the kid can cover and he can run. One of the best athletes in the draft.
At #91 and #93 I really believe a DT/NT will still be available. Williams or Jenkins or Bennie Logan, someone will fall and the niners will capitalize. Let's pencil in Williams for now. With the other pick, I'm looking at TE. Travis Kelce seems like an interesting option, as a guy who lined up at multiple positions and whose talent would likely have him higher if he wasn't also kind of a knucklehead. I could see the team trying to package picks to trade up for Ertz, but for now I'll go with Kelce.
We're down to the compensatory picks now! At 131 there is still some value, and this is where (if he's there) I'd take a flyer on Marcus Lattimore. Yes, the niners have RBs, and yes, Lattimore is coming off a major injury. But the upside is tremendous and I think you have to go with it.
At 246 and 252, it doesn't REALLY matter. I'm going to use one on a Kicker - Dustin Hopkins of FSU, if he's available. The other I will assign to Mario Benavides, a Centre from Louisville. He has size and some talent and could be a future prospect at C.
So there you go. No help here for the O-Line, but a number of guys who can step in right away or with big time upside.
#91 J Williams
#246 D Hopkins