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Paraag Marathe: "Our Level of Spending on Defense is not sustainable over time"

One of the better posts/threads. Lot of intelligent comments.

Because:
  • The Niners are heavy into this Analytic Process (value system on all players of interest)
  • Because they have determined their Defense is "overpriced"
  • Because we have lost two starters on defense (NT, S) and only our #2 TE on offense

They draft very heavy on defense. Like GNielsen says first 5 picks defense (at least first 4 of 5 on defense, I think)

AND I believe Tavon Austin is a SMOKESCREEN. To get other teams to think we want to move up.

I think we will move up/down based on other teams desperation. What ever gets us more value. I doubt we have any "draft crushes" that cause us to trade-up expensively. We will most likely behave accordingly with our future desperate trading partners.
  • buck
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 9,860
Does this lack of sustainability of the defensive line costs impact how we will draft?

Does drafting defensive picks high in the draft increase or decrease the relative cost of the defense?

I do not understand numbers and math well enough to figure this out. Help!!!!

edit: Still trying to figure this out.
Can the extension Ian Williams and the signing of Dorsey be interpreted in part as an attempt to reduce the level of defense spending.
[ Edited by buck on Mar 29, 2013 at 12:52 PM ]
Originally posted by buck:
Does this lack of sustainability of the defensive line costs impact how we will draft?

Does drafting defensive picks high in the draft increase or decrease the relative cost of the defense?

I do not understand numbers and math well enough to figure this out. Help!!!!

Here is a great article I found that explains the rookie salary structure for drafted players:

http://rulingsports.com/2012/04/25/the-structure-of-nfl-rookie-contracts/

Bottom line, rookie's salaries are capped for the first four years and so are the escalators in their contracts. The price tag doesn't go up till year 5, depending on when they were drafted.

It is WAY cheaper to get rookies (.............outside the top ten picks) rather than signing free agents or extending your own players long term. At least a team can do some cost cutting by drafting wisely and extending only a select few veterans.
  • buck
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 9,860
Originally posted by m_brockalexander:
Here is a great article I found that explains the rookie salary structure for drafted players:

http://rulingsports.com/2012/04/25/the-structure-of-nfl-rookie-contracts/

Bottom line, rookie's salaries are capped for the first four years and so are the escalators in their contracts. The price tag doesn't go up till year 5, depending on when they were drafted.

It is WAY cheaper to get rookies (.............outside the top ten picks) rather than signing free agents or extending your own players long term. At least a team can do some cost cutting by drafting wisely and extending only a select few veterans.

Thanks. I am going to read the article now.
If we draft a CB in the first 2 rounds, as seems fairly likely, the writing could be on the wall for Tarell Brown. He can probably get more on the open market than we will be able to pay given that Crabtree's, Kap's, Iupati's, A. Davis's, and Aldon Smith's contracts will all be coming up in the near future.