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MadDog's Big 253 Final Board

The Day has finally arrived and here is my final entire draft board, projecting the general area I believe players will be selected.

Couple Notes:
1. The first round is mocked, including trades, but this is not a 7-round mock. Since teams will be selecting all over the place, it is impossible to peg the correct player to the correct team in the correct spot in the 6th round. Check out the number of exchanged places in the 2011 draft, and you will be shocked.

2. This is not a best available board, nor is it a 49ers best available board. This is a projection of the general idea players will be selected.

3. OTC and I have beaten the experts who do this for a living in the raw number of selectees (OTC clipped me by three last year), while averaging in the top 3 in the first 100 picks selected. My average over the last ten years for the whole draft has been 205 draftees selected, which seems horrific since nearly 50 players will be chosen who are not on my board. It is the nature of the draft. However, the experts' average from the key websites and prognosticators (CBS Sports, Scouts, Inc., GBN Report, NFL Draft Scout, Walters, Fox Sports, DraftTek, Mel Kiper, and others) averages only 192 players, almost a half round less per draft. This is my greatest focus. Only one 7 round mock posted a better overall number than OTC and I in 2011, which had not happened in the previous five years. Now, watch us flame out in 2012......

4. Look for the Niners to select a couple of these lesser known players in the late rounds: Jason Slowey, Jeremy Jones, Gino Gradkowski, Matt Broha, Ryan Davis, Ronnie Cameron, Desmond Marrow, Tavaris Cadet, Chris Anzevino. Time to bone up on these guys because they are late rounders jumping on the screen soon.

5. I will be on the board Thursday and Friday nights, breaking down the draft, giving best player available information, and more. Will attempt to do the same on Saturday, but may be away for sections of time.

Have fun, and feel free to send questions, criticism and more. Cheers.

2012 NFL Draft Big Board
Pick Player School
1 Andrew Luck Stanford QB
2 Robert Griffin Baylor QB
3 Morris Claiborne LSU CB
4 Trent Richardson Alabama RB
5 Matt Kalil USC OT
6 Justin Blackmon Oklahoma State WR
7 Fletcher Cox Mississippi St DT
8 Ryan Tannehill Texas A&M QB
9 Michael Brockers LSU DT
10 Luke Kuechly Boston College LB
11 Michael Floyd Notre Dame WR
12 Chandler Jones Syracuse DE
13 David DeCastro Stanford G
14 Mark Barron Alabama S
15 Stephon Gilmore South Carolina CB
16 Cordy Glenn Georgia OT/OG
17 Quinton Coples North Carolina DE
18 Whitney Mercilus Illinois DE/OLB
19 Riley Reiff Iowa OT
20 Melvin Ingram South Carolina DE/OLB
21 Stephen Hill Georgia Tech WR
22 Coby Fleener Stanford TE
23 Dre Kirkpatrick Alabama CB
24 Bobbie Massey Mississippi OT
25 Dontari Poe Memphis DT
26 Kendall Wright Baylor WR
27 Shea McClellin Boise St LB
28 Andre Branch Clemson DE/OLB
29 Peter Konz Wisconsin C
30 Amini Silatolu Midwestern St G
31 Doug Martin Boise St RB
32 Reuben Randle LSU WR
33 Janoris Jenkins North Alabama CB
34 Dont'a Hightower Alabama LB
35 Jonathan Martin Stanford OT
36 David Wilson Virginia Tech RB
37 Brandon Weeden Oklahoma State QB
38 Courtney Upshaw Alabama DE/OLB
39 Harrison Smith Notre Dame S
40 Jerel Worthy Michigan St DT
41 Devon Still Penn State DT
42 Kendall Reyes Connecticut DT
43 Kevin Zeitler Wisconsin G
44 Mike Adams Ohio State OT
45 Nick Perry USC DE/OLB
46 Bobby Wagner Utah St LB
47 Derek Wolfe Cincinnati DE/DT
48 Casey Heyward Vanderbilt CB
49 Mitchell Schwartz Cal OT
50 Josh Robinson Central Florida CB
51 Vinny Curry Marshall DE/OLB
52 AJ Jenkins Illinois WR
53 Mohamed Sanu Rutgers WR
54 Brandon Thompson Clemson DT
55 Jamell Fleming Oklahoma CB
56 Trumaine Johnson Montana CB
57 Bruce Irvin West Virginia DE/OLB
58 Lamar Miller Miami RB
59 Zach Brown North Carolina LB
60 Alshon Jeffery South Carolina WR
61 Brian Quick Appalachian St WR
62 Brandon Boykin Georgia CB
63 Mychal Kendricks Cal LB
64 Brandon Brooks Ohio G
65 Kelechi Osemele Iowa St G
66 Lavonte David Nebraska LB
67 Ronnell Lewis Oklahoma LB
68 Chris Givens Wake Forest WR
69 Jeff Allen Illinois G/OT
70 Dwayne Allen Clemson TE
71 Brock Osweiler Arizona St QB
72 Alameda Ta'Amu Washington DT
73 Jared Crick Nebraska DE/DT
74 LaMichael James Oregon RB
75 Chris Polk Washington RB
76 Cam Johnson Virginia DE/OLB
77 Ladarius Green Louisiana-Lafayette TE
78 Tyrone Crawford Boise St DE
79 Donald Stephenson Oklahoma OT
80 Jayron Hosley Virginia Tech CB
81 Brandon Hardin Oregon St CB/S
82 Sean Spence Miami LB
83 Chris Rainey Florida RB
84 George Iloka Boise St S
85 Ben Jones Georgia C
86 Isaiah Pead Cincinnati RB
87 Michael Egnew Missouri TE
88 Dwight Bill Bentley Louisiana-Lafayette CB
89 Zebrie Sanders Florida State OT
90 James Brown Troy G
91 Mike Martin Michigan DT
92 Brandon Taylor LSU S
93 Keenan Robinson Texas LB
94 Rishard Matthews Nevada WR
95 Ryan Broyles Oklahoma WR
96 Marvin Jones California WR
97 Demario Davis Arkansas St DE/OLB
98 Kirk Cousins Michigan St QB
99 James Michael-Johnson Nevada LB
100 Brandon Mosley Auburn OT
101 T.Y. Hilton Florida International WR
102 Trenton Robinson Michigan St S
103 Jarius Wright Arkansas WR
104 Nigel Bradham Florida State LB
105 Philip Blake Baylor C/G
106 Antonio Allen South Carolina S
107 Markelle Martin Oklahoma State S
108 Robert Turbin Utah St RB
109 Olivier Vernon Miami DE
110 Ryan Lindley San Diego St QB
111 Joe Adams Arkansas WR
112 Taylor Thompson SMU TE
113 Billy Winn Boise St DE/DT
114 Josh Chapman Alabama DT
115 Jake Baquette Arkansas DE/OLB
116 Josh Kaddu Oregon LB
117 Keshawn Martin Michigan St WR
118 Terrell Manning NC State LB
119 Jaye Howard Florida DT
120 Orson Charles Georgia TE
121 Malik Jackson Tennessee DE
122 Tom Compton South Dakota OT
123 Asa Jackson Cal-Poly CB
124 Bernard Pierce Temple RB
125 Vick Ballard Mississippi St RB
126 Josh Norman Coastal Carolina CB
127 Hebron Fangupo BYU DT
128 Tommy Streeter Miami WR
129 Greg Childs Arkansas WR
130 Tony Bergstrom Utah G/T
131 James Hanna Oklahoma TE
132 Kheeston Randle Texas DT
133 Senio Kelemete Washington G
134 Russell Wilson Wisconsin QB
135 Bryan Anger Cal P
136 Cyrus Gray Texas A&M RB
137 Brandon Washington Miami G
138 Matt McCants Alabama-Birmingham OT
139 Jeremy Lane Northwestern St CB
140 DaJohn Harris USC DT
141 Kyle Wilber Wake Forest LB
142 Tim Fugger Vanderbilt OLB
143 Tank Carder TCU LB
144 Miles Burris San Diego St LB
145 Korey Toomer Idaho LB
146 Justin Bethel Presbyterian CB/S
147 Jonathan Massaquoi Troy LB
148 Trevor Guyton Cal DE
149 TJ Graham NC State WR
150 Akiem Hicks Regina DT
151 Ronnie Hillman San Diego St RB
152 Shaun Prater Iowa CB
153 Devon Wylie Fresno State WR
154 DeAngelo Peterson LSU TE
155 Juron Criner Arizona WR
156 Chase Ford Miami TE
157 Adam Gettis Iowa G
158 Nick Foles Arizona QB
159 Ryan Steed Furman CB
160 Adrien Robinson Cincinnati TE
161 Christian Thompson South Carolina St S
162 Coty Sensabaugh Clemson CB
163 Junior Hemingway Michigan WR
164 David Molk Michigan C
165 Ron Brooks LSU CB
166 Alfonzo Dennard Nebraska CB
167 Devier Posey Ohio St WR
168 Darius Fleming Notre Dame LB
169 Jordan Bernstine Iowa S
170 Marcus Forston Miami DT
171 James Carmon Mississippi St OT
172 Chase Minnifield Virginia CB
173 Ryan Miller Colorado G
174 Najee Goode West Virginia LB
175 Sean Richardson Vanderbilt S
176 Kelcie McCray Arkansas St S
177 Nick Toon Wisconsin WR
178 Michael Smith Utah St RB
179 Shawn Loiseau Merrimack LB
180 Marvin McNutt Iowa WR
181 Rishaw Johnson California-PA G
182 Tyler Nielsen Iowa LB
183 BJ Coleman Tennessee-Chattanooga QB
184 Omar Bolden Arizona St CB
185 Chris Anzevino Kent State C
186 Claude Davis South Florida DE
187 Trevin Wade Arizona CB
188 Edwin Baker Michigan St RB
189 Joe Looney Wake Forest G
190 Audie Cole NC State LB
191 Michael Brewster Ohio St C
192 Nate Potter Boise St OT
193 Chris Greenwood Albion CB
194 Matt Veldman North Dakota St TE
195 Lucas Nix Pittsburgh G
196 Andrew Datko Florida St OT
197 Duke Ihenacho San Jose St S
198 Brett Roy Nevada DT
199 Daryl Richardson Abilene Christian RB
200 Tauren Poole Tennessee RB
201 Brandon Marshall Nevada LB
202 Travis Lewis Oklahoma LB
203 Aaron Henry Wisconsin S
204 Derrius Brooks Western Kentucky CB
205 Rhett Ellison USC FB
206 De'Quan Menzie Alabama S
207 Josh LeRibeus SMU G
208 Julian Miller West Virginia DE
209 Charles Mitchell Mississippi St S
210 Jeff Adams Columbia OT
211 Matt Reynolds BYU OT
212 Eric Page Toledo WR
213 Danny Coale Virginia Tech WR
214 Brandon Bolden Mississippi RB
215 Tahir Whitehead Temple LB
216 Mike Harris Florida St CB
217 Ronald Leary Memphis G
218 Emmanuel Acho Texas LB
219 Quentin Saulsberry Mississippi St C
220 Keith Tandy West Virginia CB
221 Kourtnei Brown Clemson DE/OLB
222 Ronnie Cameron Old Dominion DT
223 Tavon Wilson Illinois S
224 Steven Baker East Carolina OT
225 Nicolas Jean-Baptiste Baylor DT
226 Micah Pellerin Hampton CB
227 Lionel Smith Texas A&M CB
228 Matt Broha Louisiana Tech LB/TE
229 Taveon Rogers New Mexico St WR
230 DJ Campbell Cal S
231 Corey White Samford CB
232 Ryan Davis Bethune-Cookman DE/OLB
233 Joe Martinek Rutgers FB
234 Evan Rodriguez Temple TE
235 Emil Igwenagu Massachusetts FB/TE
236 Jeremy Jones Wayne St CB/S
237 Josh Bush Wake Forest S
238 Desmond Wynn Rutgers G/OT
239 Terrance Ganaway Baylor RB
240 Gino Gradkowski Delaware C
241 Markus Kuhn North Carolina St DT
242 Braylon Broughton TCU LB
243 Cody Pearcy Huntington WR
244 Ernest Owusu Cal DE
245 Jason Slowey Western Oregon G
246 Brian Stahovich San Diego St P
247 Tavaris Cadet Appalachian St RB
248 Chandler Harnish Northern Illinois QB
249 Jeremy Ebert Northwestern WR
250 Derek Carrier Beloit WR/TE
251 Desmond Marrow Toledo CB/S
252 Dale Moss South Dakota St WR
253 Alex Hoffman-Ellis Washington St LB
[ Edited by MadDog49er on Apr 26, 2012 at 10:55 AM ]
you could of at least bolded the picks MD





Good Luck MD. Thanks for sharing. I really appreciate the work you and OTC put into these things. It makes the off season almost bearable.
Originally posted by jreff22:
you could of at least bolded the picks MD





We will probably own about 3 of them total by the end of the draft. Blackjack Baalke will be moving up and down the board.
Originally posted by MadDog49er:
Originally posted by jreff22:
you could of at least bolded the picks MD





We will probably own about 3 of them total by the end of the draft. Blackjack Baalke will be moving up and down the board.

you think he makes a big day 1 trade at all?
Originally posted by jreff22:
Originally posted by MadDog49er:
Originally posted by jreff22:
you could of at least bolded the picks MD





We will probably own about 3 of them total by the end of the draft. Blackjack Baalke will be moving up and down the board.

you think he makes a big day 1 trade at all?

If his "guy"...if there is a guy..isn't there, yes.

Personally, I'm hoping we do trade out of it unless someone special has fallen.
Looks pretty damn good, MD.

- I would have Streeter and Childs about 40 spots higher. You misspelled Jake Bequette's name. Jon Massaquoi looks too low for me. I'd have Juron Criner and Matt Reynolds a bit higher.

Overall though, it's a strong list.
Originally posted by jreff22:
you think he makes a big day 1 trade at all?

Only down. Browns may want to get up to 30 to draft Weeden. Jets may want to use their second rounder and more compensation to jump back into late first to select best available RB.

Being at 30 is great trade down position. See what the Pats have done over the years in the similar area.
Originally posted by oldman9er:
Looks pretty damn good, MD.

- I would have Streeter and Childs about 40 spots higher. You misspelled Jake Bequette's name. Jon Massaquoi looks too low for me. I'd have Juron Criner and Matt Reynolds a bit higher.

Overall though, it's a strong list.
Thanks for note on Bequette's spelling. Not sure why I had him with an "A". Massaquoi had a disappointing combine (4.89 speed), and I think he drops a round lower than what many expect. NFLDraftScout has him at 134 right now, about a dozen slots higher than me. I think the late 4th round, early 5th round slot is about right. A couple of the late riser hybrids, Fugger and Burris, leapfrog him and push him down a bit, in my estimation.

Criner looked solid at the Senior Bowl, and then posted a really pedestrian forty at the combine (4.68). I could be completely off on him, but once again, I think the similar sized players with better measurables and quick smurf slot WR's leapfrog him on Saturday. Reynolds may go higher, but he will be 28 when the season begins (you get that with BYU players). I believe this pushes him down farther than expected.

Childs still has health concerns. Not sure what the medicals say, but I think this might push him down further than expected. Just a hunch on x-rays and medical reports we as fans never see. Streeter is a straightline guy who is going to fall into the 4th or 5th round. I'd be shocked if he cracks top 100.

I could be wrong on these guys. I just think some get jumped by others and the fall begins.
[ Edited by MadDog49er on Apr 26, 2012 at 12:11 PM ]
maddog-with the buzz re 49ers and bruce irvin, what is your take? does irvin have what it would take to be a standout pass rusher, or is just a speed/edge rusher with no other moves?
Oh MadDog?

DONT CARE, LOL

jk, U mad dog?
MD, since Silatolu might be the pick, I'm just curious as to where he started on your first Draft Board and how has he progressively moved as you've made more and more of these? What's the quick scouting report on this kid?
Originally posted by hofer36:
maddog-with the buzz re 49ers and bruce irvin, what is your take? does irvin have what it would take to be a standout pass rusher, or is just a speed/edge rusher with no other moves?

Got to be smoke trying t make others think the Pats have interest
I thought he would be a late second round selection in January. Seems to be a very hot player right now. Upside is huge. Big, strong, tough kid who loves to hit and play through the whistle. Old school physical mauler. To me, better in tight spaces. Brooks better on the move. Not polished like Zeitler, but has ability to play four line positions if needed.
Last year you admittedly undervalued Aldon but the guy you wanted, JJ Watt would also have been a tremendous pick. This close to the draft, do you have 3-4 guys you'd like to see the Niners draft at 30 who you project will be potentially great NFL players at that pick?