Ok, here we go with the full first rounder. Comments are welcome, especially for my niners decision and explanation :
1) Indianapolis Colts
Andrew Luck, QB from Stanford
There are rumors about the possibility of Griffin beeing the top pick, but i don't
think the colts will go that way. They have had one of the greatest pocket passers of all time
for the last decade and i think they will go with Luck here, because they like this kind of qb.
2) Washington Redskins
Robert Griffin III, QB from Baylor
The Redskins traded up to get Griffin. They would take Luck, too, but if he is gone, RG III will
be the guy. The first to picks are no brainers, with the small possibility that they are swapped.
3) Minnesota Vikings
Matt Kalil, OT from USC
Clayborne could be interesting for the Vikes, too, because there only good cornerback is Antoine
Winfield, who is on the wrong side of 30, but they need to protect Christian Ponder, who can be
good with the right supporting cast. Kalil is the clear cut #1 left tackle, so he is the pick
4) Cleveland Browns
Trent Richardson, RB from Alabama
This pick is about the question if you are willing to take Ryan Tannehill this high. Colt McCoy does
not seem to be the answer, but maybe it helps, if he can hand off the ball to a real running back.
Tannehill will be picked in the first round but not this high. I made this mock without trades,
so valuewise, this pick has to be Richardson here.
5) Tampa Bay Buccs
Morris Claiborne, CB from LSU
Ronde Barber keeps on playing, but he will not do this forever. Aquib Talib is in legal troubles and
could not be available, so a corner is really needed. Another possibility would be a right tackle, but
#5 is very very high for a rt. Don't rule out Trent Richardson here, because Blount is a good runner, but
not much else, because he can't pass protect and can't catch. All in all the corner need is just too big and
the value too good with Claiborne.
6) St.Louis Rams
Justin Blackmon, WR from Oklahoma State
Not an easy pick. The Rams need help at WR, OT and DT mostly. As i said earlier, i think this is too high for the
next offensive tackle Riley Reiff. This leaves Dontari Poe and Justin Blackmon as possibilites here. You can get a good
DT with the next pick, but no stud WR in Blackmons level. So the pick is Blackmon here
7) Jacksonville Jaguars
Michael Floyd, WR from Notre Dame
The Jaguars just don't have a #1 wr. They signed Laurent Robinson, but he is a #2 guy, too. Michael Floyd has so much
potential and is a real #1, so he is the pick here.
8) Miami Dolphins
Ryan Tannehill, QB from Texas A&M
The Dolphins signed David Garrard, but he isn't the solution for the long run, but he is a good player to give a young
qb some time to develop. So Tannehill makes a lot of sense here. The Dolphins need a WR too, but if you don't have a guy
who can throw the ball to him on a constant base, you have to pick this guy up first.
9) Carolina Panthers
Dontari Poe, DT from Memphis
This is between Poe and Reiff here. The hole at defensive tackle looks a lot bigger than the hole at tackle. Poe just
has much more value here.
10) Buffalo Bills
Dre Kirkpatrick, CB from Alabama
The bills adressed the top need for defensive ends with the signing of Mario Williams and Mark Andersen. They need a left
tackle, too, but there are only right tackles available here without reaching, so they will pick up a corner here
11) Kansas City Chiefs
Riley Reiff, RT from Iowa
Barry Richardson needs to be replaced. Reiff is very good value here, so there is not much to think about.
12) Seattle Seahawks
Quinton Coples, DE from North Carolina
The hawks had some problems getting to the quarterback and the top pass rusher is still available. So if the hawks have the chance
to pick up Coples, he should be the pick.
13) Arizona Cardinals
Jonathan Martin, OT from Stanford
The Cardinals could need to tackles. They resigned Levi Brown but the need another tackle. The
could pick up David DeCastro here, too, but the signing of Adam Snyder looks like they are set
14) Dallas Cowboys
Michael Brockers, DE from LSU
The cowboys d-line is getting old, the top cornerbacks are gone, so it is time to get some fresh
blood at front.
15) Philadelphia Eagles
Fletcher Cox, DT from Mississippi State
This pick was penciled in as Luke Kuechly for the whole offseason. But now it changed, because the eagles
signed Demeco Ryans. Kuechly could still be the pick, but the eagles like a good rotation on the defensive
front and so this pick makes sense.
16) New York Jets
Melvin Ingram, OLB from South Carolina
The Jets got some good numbers from Aaron Maybin, but they need more from their rushers. Melvin Ingram
would be a steal here
17) Cincinatti Bengals
David Decastro, OG from Stanford
The Bengals will loose both starters at the guard position, so the selection of the best guard in the draft is quite natural ;)
18) San Diego Chargers
Cordy Glenn, OG from Georgia
The chargers need a replacement for Kris Dielman. A pass rusher like Courtne Upshaw is possible, too, but
Glenn is the pick here
19) Chicago Bears
Janoris Jenkins, CB from North Alabama
The trade for Brandon Marshall moved wr a little bit down the list, but Kendall Wright is still possible.
Imo cornerback is now the top need and Janoris Jenkins is the next corner available. So i pick him here
20) Tennessee Titans
Peter Konz, C from Wisconsin
The Titans have paid a lot of money to Chris Johnson, so they need to find some people, who open him some
lanes. The titans need help all along the line and started with picking up Steve Hutchinson, but they need
way more help.
21) Cincinatti Bengals
Kendall Wright, WR from Baylor
How about another weapon for Andy Dalton ? AJ Green is great, but nobody else from the wr corps is special.
The bengals would need a cornerback or a interior lineman too, but nobody is available here who is worth #21
22) Cleveland Browns
Stephen Hill, WR from Georgia Tech
If they Browns decide to go with McCoy for another year, the need to give some weapons. So they pick up the
best wr available. The draft just does not fall for the browns quarterback wise, so they must pick the weapons
23) Detroit Lions
Mark Barron, S from Alabama
Cornerback or safety are the top needs for Detroit and there is no corner worth this pick. So the Lions pick up the playmaker
from Alabama to play opposite to Louis Delmas.
24) Pittsburgh Steelers
Mike Adams, OT from Ohio State
The same procedure as every year :) The steelers need help on the oline and on the dline. Devon Still could be the defensive pick
but i take the left tackle from Ohio State here, because of Max Starks' injury
25) Denver Broncos
Devon Still, DT from Penn State
The top need is an offensive guard, which would bring Kevin Zeitler into the mix. It would be a move to make Peyton happy. But
ultimatly, the hole at defensive tackle is just as large and the value in picking up Still here is much better
26) Houston Texans
Luke Kuechly, LB from Boston College
Demeco Ryans was traded away, Kuechly is available and a steal here, so not much to explain
27) New England Patriots
Nick Perry, OLB from USC
Mark Anderson is gone, Andre Carter is a free agent, the patriots pass rush was bad last year, so they need a pass rusher,
or better, they need too. Perry is the best one available.
28) Green Bay Packers
Courtney Upshaw, OLB from Alabama
The packers don't have anybody besides Clay Matthews. They pick up another speed rusher for the other side.
A 5 technique like Kendal Reyes could be an option, too.
29) Baltimore Ravens
Whitney Mercilus, OLB from Illinois
Jarret Johnson is gone, so the ravens need another pass rusher opposite to Terrell Suggs.
30) San Franciso 49ers
Reuben Randle, WR from LSU
So who is available here : Reuben Randle or Alshon Jeffery or Coby Fleener as receiving threats, Kendal Reyes or
Jerel Worthy as 5 techniques, and Kevin Zeitler as a guard. The best player available could be Stephon Gilmore or
David Wilson, but i don't think we will pick up a running back this early. Zeitler is too high imo, we need to pick
a guard in the 2nd round. This leaves the 3 playmakers and 2 the backup defensive ends. So i will go receiver here.
But which one ? I really like Fleener, but the niners allready have two great receiving tight ends. Jeffery without a
40 time is just too risky. I will pick Randle here, but this could change to Jeffery if he has a pro day with a sub 4.5
In the real thing, i think the niners would try to trade down from this spot, if the draft falls this way. There just
is not enough value for them here.
31) New England Pats
Jerel Worthy, DE from Michigan State
There are some older ( Warren ) or not very good (Love) guys on the defensive end positions in New England. They need some younger guy to rebuild the line.
32) New York Giants
Donta Hightower, LB from Alabama
Chase Blackburn needs to be upgraded. There are no safeties worth this pick, and i talked about the problematic area for
guards earlier, so this should be Hightower.
[ Edited by stever on Mar 26, 2012 at 11:10 AM ]