Originally posted by jacklegniner:
Was also wondering where you go for your draft projections. I go to cbssports but they have Kendrick Ellis as a 2nd rounder?
Yeah, I've come to believe the draft is a total crap shoot.
The first year I really got into the draft was last year. The thing I remember most was how far off projections were.
Parrish Cox is the example that sticks out for me. Almost every 49er mock draft had us taking him in the 2nd round, and non one objected.
If someone had him rated as a 3rd rounder, that person would get laughed at and told they didn't know what they were talking about; that he would never fall that far.
Cox went in the 5th round.
Pro Football Weekly puts their draft magazine out just before the superbowl, and they have brooks reed listed as a 6th or 7th round pick. Now, he is expected to go in the late 1st.
and, most recently I recall Maddog posting in this forum that Von Miller would be a 2nd round pick in this year.
so, I think there is some science to it, but, its a lot of seeing a few things you like in a player, assesing possible reasons that he might drop down ie. character concerns, and recognizing team needs.