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Nick's Final Mock Draft (Full 1st Round)

Nick's Final Mock Draft (Full 1st Round)

Notes: The top 4 OTs are all gone at #13, as well as Dan Williams and Joe Haden, so the 49ers take S Earl Thomas at the Best Player Available. At #17, they get themselves into a position where they need to trade down, reach for a player of need, or take the best player availalble. Although I think they would trade down, I don't have any trades in my mock so they take the guy that is by far the best player available at #17, Dez Bryant.

Other interesting items from my mock: Tebow goes to MIN at #30, Brandon Graham slips out of the first round because nobody knows exactly where he'll fit (and his similarities to Groves and other busts), and Nate Allen makes it into the 1st round.

1. St. Louis - QB Bradford - Franchise QB, no explaination needed

2. Detroit - DT Suh - When it is all said and done, Detroit concluded that Suh + the Best tackle available at #34 is better than Okung + the best DT available at #34 (Price, Odrick, Joseph)

3. Tampa Bay - DR McCoy - No-brainer here; biggest need, BPA

4. Washington - OT Trent Williams - A little bit of a surprise here, but I've been seeing for weeks that the Redskins have Williams rated higher than Okung. Williams, reportedly, is better suited for Shanahan's zone-blocking scheme AND has a higher ceiling than Okung (but a lower floor).

5. Kansas City - OT Okung - Easy choice here; Okung is the best player available and fills one of KC's 2 major needs (OT, Secondary)

6. Seattle - S Eric Berry - Best player available

7. Cleveland - RB CJ Spiller - the worst offense in the NFL needs a spark, and CJ is it; would have went w/ Berry if he were still on the board

8. Oakland - OT Anthony Davis - Everybody expects Oakland to make a stupid move here, but I don't. Davis is a fantastic tackle, and would have been the #1 OT off the board if it weren't for character issues...the Raiders don't care about that.

9. Buffalo - OT Brian Bulaga - Some may be shocked that they don't go with Clausen, but OT is huge huge need for them, especially after losing both starting OTs prior to the start of the '09 season. They decide to pass on Clausen because they don't expect to be a playoff team this year and the 2011 class is stacked.

10. Jacksonville - CB Joe Haden - They need help in the secondary, and Haden provides it. Could go with DE Morgan or S Thomas here, but go with the safer pick.

11. Denver - LB McClain - A lot of people expect the Broncos to replace Marshall with Bryant, but that is not what McDaniels wants to do -- why would he want to replace a character issue guy with a character issue guy??? They have much bigger needs, none bigger than ILB. McDaniels has 2 #2s next year, which should provide him w/ enough ammo to get a QB if Orton AND Quinn fail, so Clausen isn't an option.

12. Miami - DT Dan Williams - Biggest need here; they could go with pass rusher instead, but NTs are harder to come by.

13. San Francisco - S Earl Thomas - Best Player available; move pushes Goldson to SS, where he may be better suited (big hitter, excellent vs. the run). Thomas gives the 49ers strength over the top, a position where they were weak in 2009.

14. Seattle - QB Jimmy Clausen - Pete Carroll is ectatic that he was able to get Clausen at #14 instead of #6; Carroll wanted Clausen out of HS, and is a big fan. Charlie Whitehurst is not the long-term answer at QB, at best he is the spot starter if Hasselbeck goes down in 2010. Clausen will have the opportunity to sit for an entire year before competing for the position in 2011.

15. New York Giants - LB Sean Witherspoon - The Giants LB Corps is a joke...Witherspoon is a perfect fit for the 4-3, as he can play any of the 4-3 LB spots

16. Tennessee - DE Derrick Morgan - biggest need for the Titans, and they get a guy who could have gone in the Top 10.

17. San Francisco - WR Dez Bryant - I must caveat this pick in saying that I think the 49ers would find a way to trade down here if the Top 16 unfolded this way, even if it means taking a little bit less in a trade. The reason is that almost every other pick the 49ers could make here is a reach. Iupati and Pouncey could go here, but both of them are interior linemen, neither of which have proven they can play OT. We could also take a pass-rusher, but Kindle is a boom-bust project that could end up going in the 2nd round. I know there are a lot of man crushes on DE Graham, but the fact is that he has to prove he can play as a 3-4 end as well, and his value might be a little further down the line -- Kyle Wilson is also a reach here. Now, back to Dez -- the 49ers probably have him as a Top 5 guy on the draft board, even though it is not one of their needs. We picked up Ginn, but he will be a return specialist and occasional slot WR; Morgan is not a legit #2...With Crabtree, Bryant, Davis, Gore, and Morgan/Ginn in the slot, the 49ers offense threatens to be one of the more explosive in the NFL. If the 49ers wanted to trade down, New England could be a good candidate to trade with: NE could take Dez and we would send them the #17 and #79 for the #22 and #53. At #22 we would take Iupati, Puncey, Charles Brown, Kyle Wilson, Graham, etc..

18. Pittsburgh - OG/C Mike Iupati - Steelers take a guy that can play on the interior line for the next 10 years.

19. Atlanta - DE Jason Pierre-Paul - Abraham is aging quickly, and Anderson appears to be a gue bust. Pierre-Paul brings athleticism to the end position that will help them generate a pass rush.

20. Houston - CB Kyle Wilson - No-Brainer here; They lost Dunta to the Falcons and Wilson is a similar player, with the added ability to make plays on ST.

21. Cincinnati - TE Jermaine Gresham - Haven't had a quality tight end in a long, long time. Would take Dez if he's here

22. New England - OLB Sergio Kindle - Kindle may ba one-trick Pony (pass rush), but that is the Patriots' #1 Need.

23. Green Bay - OT Charles Brown - The Packers have a big need for a OT that can pass-block, and they are also a zone blocking team. Enter Charles Brown. This is a case of the right guy falling to the right team -- perfect match.

24. Philadelphia - C Maurkice Pouncey - Philly needs a pass rusher and an interior lineman, but their biggest need may be a guy that can play Center on Opening day in 2010 -- their center suffered a major knee injury last year and won't be ready for '10

25. Baltimore - CB Devin McCourty - Major need for the Ravens.

26. Arizona - DE/OLB Jerry Hughes - 'Zona needs help off the edge, and Hughes is a prototype 3-4 rusher -- they pass on Graham because they're not sure whether he fits the 3-4.

27. Dallas - S Nate Allen - The Cowboys badly need help over the top at FS, and Nate Allen gets the job done. Could go w/ Taylor Mays, but he's weak in deep coverage.

28. San Diego - NT Terrence Cody - San Diego finds a big, big, big replacement for Jamaal williams

29. New York Jets - DE/DT Jared Odrick - Jets pick up a man who can play the 3-4 end. Big enough frame that he may get big enough to play the nose someday.

30. Minnesota - QB Tim Tebow - Don't be shocked. The Vikes need a QB to replace Favre in 2011, and they can get Tebow here, let him work on his mechanics for a year, and learn from one of the all-time greats. Tavaris Jackson could still start in '11 if Tebow is not ready. In the meantime, Tebow could be utilized at the H-back

31. Indianapolis - DT Brian Price - Good fit for a team with few holes.

32. New Orleans - DE Carlos Dunlap - The defending SB Champs can affod to take a risk.
[ Edited by nickbradley on Apr 19, 2010 at 8:00 AM ]
9. Buffalo - OT Brian Bulaga - Some may be shocked that they don't go with Clausen, but OT is huge huge need for them, especially after losing both starting OTs prior to the start of the '09 season. They decide to pass on Clausen because they don't expect to be a playoff team this year and the 2011 class is stacked.


I can see this happening and them either trading back into the 1st to get Tebow or wait till see who they can get between Colt Mccoy or tebow.


I just dont see this Niners not getting a tackle in the first, its by far our biggest need like you said with they way your mock plays out it opens up the niners being able to trade, or hell even if they dont trade they can still get Ducasse, but they better have done their homework on him if that what they decide to do.

We NEED a starting RT in this draft
I honestly dont think dez bryant would be a good pick at 17. Is there value? Yes. Would it be the best move for us? No. Simply put because we have a WR from last year, a developing one from a couple years, one of the best tight ends, and a helleva running back. we mostly ran 2WR 1TE 1Rb with the option of a FB. I think that we need a OL or else you cant utilize it if you QB is on his bum for the whole game. We NEED OL. I'm impartial to the Earl Thomas pick but again, I feel we need to draft for places of need, not places of luxury and Bryant is a pick of luxury.

BTW, there is no guarantee Farve is coming back, and Minnesota is built to win now, not win later. Tebow will not be the pick, it would be colt mccoy if they go QB
Originally posted by valrod33:
9. Buffalo - OT Brian Bulaga - Some may be shocked that they don't go with Clausen, but OT is huge huge need for them, especially after losing both starting OTs prior to the start of the '09 season. They decide to pass on Clausen because they don't expect to be a playoff team this year and the 2011 class is stacked.


I can see this happening and them either trading back into the 1st to get Tebow or wait till see who they can get between Colt Mccoy or tebow.


I just dont see this Niners not getting a tackle in the first, its by far our biggest need like you said with they way your mock plays out it opens up the niners being able to trade, or hell even if they dont trade they can still get Ducasse, but they better have done their homework on him if that what they decide to do.

We NEED a starting RT in this draft

Yes, RT is by far our biggest need, but if the Top 4 OTs are gone by 13 and 17, we are kind of screwed -- either we trade down and go w/ another position. Taking Iupati at 17 is VERY risky, since he's never played OT. And taking Saffold or Ducasse at 17 would be the reach of the decade (outside of Heyward-Bey).
Originally posted by j3xperience:
I honestly dont think dez bryant would be a good pick at 17. Is there value? Yes. Would it be the best move for us? No. Simply put because we have a WR from last year, a developing one from a couple years, one of the best tight ends, and a helleva running back. we mostly ran 2WR 1TE 1Rb with the option of a FB. I think that we need a OL or else you cant utilize it if you QB is on his bum for the whole game. We NEED OL. I'm impartial to the Earl Thomas pick but again, I feel we need to draft for places of need, not places of luxury and Bryant is a pick of luxury.

BTW, there is no guarantee Farve is coming back, and Minnesota is built to win now, not win later. Tebow will not be the pick, it would be colt mccoy if they go QB

Then unless you trade down, who do you pick @ 17?

And on Tebow to the Vikes, there has been a TON of chatter on the subject --

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/04/12/vikings-eyeball-tebow/
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Originally posted by nickbradley:
Originally posted by j3xperience:
I honestly dont think dez bryant would be a good pick at 17. Is there value? Yes. Would it be the best move for us? No. Simply put because we have a WR from last year, a developing one from a couple years, one of the best tight ends, and a helleva running back. we mostly ran 2WR 1TE 1Rb with the option of a FB. I think that we need a OL or else you cant utilize it if you QB is on his bum for the whole game. We NEED OL. I'm impartial to the Earl Thomas pick but again, I feel we need to draft for places of need, not places of luxury and Bryant is a pick of luxury.

BTW, there is no guarantee Farve is coming back, and Minnesota is built to win now, not win later. Tebow will not be the pick, it would be colt mccoy if they go QB

Then unless you trade down, who do you pick @ 17?

And on Tebow to the Vikes, there has been a TON of chatter on the subject --

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/04/12/vikings-eyeball-tebow/

Saint Paul Pioneer Press journalist Charley Walters disagrees :

Quote:
The Vikings will take Florida QB Tim Tebow with the No. 30 pick in Thursday's NFL draft, projects Pro Football Weekly. But the reality is, there is virtually no chance of that happening.

Link



No offensive linemen in the first is terrible.

Thomas is not good value at 13. Do you really want a guy who struggles tackling to be our last line of defense? Thomas is solid at covering and will probably be a fine corner but I don't like spending a top 15 pick and changing his position. Until he shows better ability at tackling then putting him at FS is a liability no matter how good he may be able to cover the field.

While Dez is fine value at 17 I think you are seriously undervaluing both Brown and Iupati. Especially considering that OTs tend to be selected earlier than other positions and how big of a need we have for quality OL.

I don't know what it is Nick but you have an unhealthy mancrush on Thomas. Every single mock you do has us taking him.
Originally posted by KRS-1:
Originally posted by nickbradley:
Originally posted by j3xperience:
I honestly dont think dez bryant would be a good pick at 17. Is there value? Yes. Would it be the best move for us? No. Simply put because we have a WR from last year, a developing one from a couple years, one of the best tight ends, and a helleva running back. we mostly ran 2WR 1TE 1Rb with the option of a FB. I think that we need a OL or else you cant utilize it if you QB is on his bum for the whole game. We NEED OL. I'm impartial to the Earl Thomas pick but again, I feel we need to draft for places of need, not places of luxury and Bryant is a pick of luxury.

BTW, there is no guarantee Farve is coming back, and Minnesota is built to win now, not win later. Tebow will not be the pick, it would be colt mccoy if they go QB

Then unless you trade down, who do you pick @ 17?

And on Tebow to the Vikes, there has been a TON of chatter on the subject --

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/04/12/vikings-eyeball-tebow/

Saint Paul Pioneer Press journalist Charley Walters disagrees :

Quote:
The Vikings will take Florida QB Tim Tebow with the No. 30 pick in Thursday's NFL draft, projects Pro Football Weekly. But the reality is, there is virtually no chance of that happening.

Link

The author gives no information to back that up, NONE AT ALL. Probably a smokescreen for the Vikes front office, who personally attended his workout isntead of Clausen's. Tebow also helps them sell a stadium.
If I couldn't trade the #17 pick, I'd select Iupati over Bryant - to play guard, not as a tackle project. That's a high pick for a guard but his talent isn't in question and he'd be an upgrade over what we've got. We'll be getting a bit diva-heavy in the reciever department with Bryant onboard.
Originally posted by joey82:



No offensive linemen in the first is terrible.

Thomas is not good value at 13. Do you really want a guy who struggles tackling to be our last line of defense? Thomas is solid at covering and will probably be a fine corner but I don't like spending a top 15 pick and changing his position. Until he shows better ability at tackling then putting him at FS is a liability no matter how good he may be able to cover the field.

While Dez is fine value at 17 I think you are seriously undervaluing both Brown and Iupati. Especially considering that OTs tend to be selected earlier than other positions and how big of a need we have for quality OL.

I don't know what it is Nick but you have an unhealthy mancrush on Thomas. Every single mock you do has us taking him.

Pretty much agree. I don't think Thomas is that much of a risk but I understand the point you are making.
Originally posted by joey82:



No offensive linemen in the first is terrible.

Thomas is not good value at 13. Do you really want a guy who struggles tackling to be our last line of defense? Thomas is solid at covering and will probably be a fine corner but I don't like spending a top 15 pick and changing his position. Until he shows better ability at tackling then putting him at FS is a liability no matter how good he may be able to cover the field.

While Dez is fine value at 17 I think you are seriously undervaluing both Brown and Iupati. Especially considering that OTs tend to be selected earlier than other positions and how big of a need we have for quality OL.

I don't know what it is Nick but you have an unhealthy mancrush on Thomas. Every single mock you do has us taking him.

Yep, I think Thomas has the best ball skills in a long, long time...better than Berry! And Mike Mayock agrees. Thomas does not have poor tackling skills, but he is not a SS, play-in-the-box guy either. He is a pure FS, a guy who can take away the deep threat. His position will not be changes to CB, he will stay at FS.

If one of the Top 4 OTs were available at 13, we would be taking one of them.

Speaking of OTs, Iupati has never played the position. Please take a look at KC's recent experience trying to convert a Guard to play OT (Branden Albert).

You also have to remember that we're drafting a RIGHT tackle here, not an LT. You can get a RT in the 2nd or 3rd round that can be very effective. So unless you plan on drafting a guy that can push Staley for his job someday (I think the Top 4 OTs can, the rest cannot), then you're better off waiting.
Originally posted by ramanz16:
If I couldn't trade the #17 pick, I'd select Iupati over Bryant - to play guard, not as a tackle project. That's a high pick for a guard but his talent isn't in question and he'd be an upgrade over what we've got. We'll be getting a bit diva-heavy in the reciever department with Bryant onboard.

but if you take Iupati, we still don't have a RT. What did you accomplish by doing that?

And I don't think Dez is a diva -- I think he is getting a bad rap. I think he's kind of dumb, but WRs don't have to be rocket scientists...
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Originally posted by nickbradley:
Originally posted by KRS-1:
Originally posted by nickbradley:
Originally posted by j3xperience:
I honestly dont think dez bryant would be a good pick at 17. Is there value? Yes. Would it be the best move for us? No. Simply put because we have a WR from last year, a developing one from a couple years, one of the best tight ends, and a helleva running back. we mostly ran 2WR 1TE 1Rb with the option of a FB. I think that we need a OL or else you cant utilize it if you QB is on his bum for the whole game. We NEED OL. I'm impartial to the Earl Thomas pick but again, I feel we need to draft for places of need, not places of luxury and Bryant is a pick of luxury.

BTW, there is no guarantee Farve is coming back, and Minnesota is built to win now, not win later. Tebow will not be the pick, it would be colt mccoy if they go QB

Then unless you trade down, who do you pick @ 17?

And on Tebow to the Vikes, there has been a TON of chatter on the subject --

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/04/12/vikings-eyeball-tebow/

Saint Paul Pioneer Press journalist Charley Walters disagrees :

Quote:
The Vikings will take Florida QB Tim Tebow with the No. 30 pick in Thursday's NFL draft, projects Pro Football Weekly. But the reality is, there is virtually no chance of that happening.

Link

The author gives no information to back that up, NONE AT ALL. Probably a smokescreen for the Vikes front office, who personally attended his workout isntead of Clausen's. Tebow also helps them sell a stadium.

What did Florio really have to back up his s**t ? NOTHING, it's all speculation but the local journalist probably is closer to the truth than Mike Florio.
Originally posted by nickbradley:
Originally posted by joey82:



No offensive linemen in the first is terrible.

Thomas is not good value at 13. Do you really want a guy who struggles tackling to be our last line of defense? Thomas is solid at covering and will probably be a fine corner but I don't like spending a top 15 pick and changing his position. Until he shows better ability at tackling then putting him at FS is a liability no matter how good he may be able to cover the field.

While Dez is fine value at 17 I think you are seriously undervaluing both Brown and Iupati. Especially considering that OTs tend to be selected earlier than other positions and how big of a need we have for quality OL.

I don't know what it is Nick but you have an unhealthy mancrush on Thomas. Every single mock you do has us taking him.

Yep, I think Thomas has the best ball skills in a long, long time...better than Berry! And Mike Mayock agrees. Thomas does not have poor tackling skills, but he is not a SS, play-in-the-box guy either. He is a pure FS, a guy who can take away the deep threat. His position will not be changes to CB, he will stay at FS.

If one of the Top 4 OTs were available at 13, we would be taking one of them.

Speaking of OTs, Iupati has never played the position. Please take a look at KC's recent experience trying to convert a Guard to play OT (Branden Albert).

You also have to remember that we're drafting a RIGHT tackle here, not an LT. You can get a RT in the 2nd or 3rd round that can be very effective. So unless you plan on drafting a guy that can push Staley for his job someday (I think the Top 4 OTs can, the rest cannot), then you're better off waiting.

Disagree completely.. I don't think you are being objective at all, your mancrush is deluding you. Is Thomas a great player sure, but he doesn't have the best ball skills in a long long time either. The guys biggest weakness is tackling. He does have issues with it and a safety should not have tackling issues even if they aren't a SS they still need to support on running plays and be the last line of defense on passing plays.

Brandon Albert is going to start at Tackle for the Chiefs this year it is uncommon for any player to start as a rookie especially out of position. Remember that our first rounders aren't necessarily going to be impact players in their rookie years. Even if we have to play Iupati at guard then that is fine because Baas isn't sticking around for much longer and he could be great insurance if Rachal fails to develop.

Brown could be an excellent RT or even a future LT. I don't care if it is just a RIGHT tackle if we can't keep Smith upright we are not going to the playoffs.

I personally love the arguement that we shouldn't draft an RT in the first because you can find them later. Well guess what you can find any position later in the draft. Tom Brady was a sixth rounder so I guess no reason to ever take a QB in the first because you can get them later right?

If there is a gaping hole on your team and a guy with good value available you take him. It is simple. Considering that both Brown and Iupati would both go before 25 (if they are even there at 17) is it really that much of a reach to take them at 17?
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