Originally posted by Koldo:
Sure, I get your point.
You can also argue that a team with a losing record and the 6th seed will eventually win the Super Bowl, but what is the real likelihood of that happening?
Every season is a reset. Every postseason is a 3 or 4 game win streak to being Champs.
I like the odds of winning the SB more as a 6 (or 7) seed than the guarantee of no SB win missing the playoffs, that's for sure.
It really boils down to: do the 49ers' odds increase or decrease with Shanahan compared to [insert available HC]?
A lot of people would rather go with a first time HC because the potential is that they could be the greatest of all time and Kyle in their view is a known commodity at this point that isn't enough to accomplish it. It's the draft pick / what's behind door #2 philosophy. A nice car will always be a car, but the prize behind door #2 could be anything - maybe 100 cars!
But here's the thing: if you look at the statistic of every HC that has ever been hired and how many of them went on to win the SB... well, anyone can see the real math here
[ Edited by captveg on Sep 24, 2025 at 9:25 PM ]