Originally posted by dj43:
Originally posted by blizzuntz:
I can totally see Smith get $8 million , or near that. I don't see someone giving him $8 million AND a 2nd round pick for a guy with that many"ifs". You can draft a 2nd round QB with "ifs" and only pay him $500,000 and make the team around him better with the free cap space.
Alex Smith is never going to have a completion percentage this high unless he joins a team with a dominant Oline and run game , and good defense and good receivers and a genius coaching staff. We have seen how mediocre Alex can be with any of those mentioned above is missing.
I'll bet the webzone on it.
That is true of any QB. Just look at how Drew Brees has struggled when the OL could not protect him, or the run game was not working, or Payton was on suspension. QBs and receivers are of little value unless the OL is working...add in the run game which is also dependent on the OL.
Smith (Baalke) will have plenty of teams interested. The team that will offer the most will be one with a good OL and a solid WR core yet lacking quality QB play. Smith will likely be given the option to pick which team he will go to. He is a bright guy who now has 2+ years of quality performance with a winning team on his resume. The prior years are of no consequence. Everyone in the league could see what a mess the franchise was in and how little support he was given. This is a "what have you done for me lately" league, and lately Alex Smith has been pretty darn good. Now my hope is that he will bring a pretty darn good draft pick in exchange for moving to a team where he can start.
https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2012/11/13/offensive-line-rankings-week-10-update/
Good website for offensive line ranking in the NFL this year.
Look at the correlation of poor offensive line play and teams most likely in market for Smith. With the exception of Luck and Ryan, most QBs in the bottom tier of offensive
Lines are losing.
If these teams whose Oline sucks, know Smith most likely won't succeed there, it is probably unlikely they trade away a 2nd.
On the other side if the spectrum, if a team with a dominant offensive line needs Smith, why would they give up a 2nd AND give him $8.5 million when it is Smith who NEEDS them more than they do. Smith and the Niners have very little leverage.