My big concern for the 49ers with regard to Lance is the 5th year option.
If I understand correctly, the (expensive) 5th year option needs to be triggered at the end of year 3 - this coming season.
This puts a lot of pressure on the decision-making system, and makes it quite unlikely that Lance will be retained.
Lets say that, best-case scenario, Lance is able to complete his development and become a top-level QB. He would have to -
- Do it in a hurry (now basically)
- Win first team reps ahead of Darnold and / or a recovering Purdy
- Impress during those reps
I'm concerned that, even if he's legit, we might not be able to make a proper determination by the end of this season. I think the odds are stacked quite heavily against further contracting him right now, regardless of how good he ends up being.