Originally posted by TreyDeyEeyDey:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by Niners99:
Yup. And the other 2 picks are likely becoming similar to 2nd rounders. The 2022 first is 29th, and next years first might be similar if Lance is decent. Plus we can now probably work our way back into the 1st because of those two extra 3rd's we got for McDaniel.
Drives me nuts when people say we traded 3 firsts for Lance. We just moved our existing pick down to 3 at the cost of two 1sts.
They still spent 3 1sts and a 3rd to acquire him….cost the 3rd pick in 2021, 3rd pick in 2022, 29th overall pick this yr and whatever the pick will be in 2023.
They spent 3 first but only lost 2. I know this has been discussed but to me, we swapped first and spent 2.
Just for fun I did some rough calculations:
I used the information from NFL draft value pick from the WebZone Draft boards
Year
2021 #3 pick = 2200 {value for Trey Lance}
2021 #12 pick = 1200 {first round}
2022 #29 Pick = 640 {first round}
2022 #80 pick = 190 {3rd round pick - I just used the middle of the pack number - hoping its the average value of 3rd round picks in 2022}
2023 #16 pick = 1000 {first round pick - again I tried to pick the middle of the pack number - hoping it's the average value of first round picks in 2023}
You add the picks given up for Trey from 2021 through 2023 and you get 3030. So 3030 minus 2200 equals 830.
830 according to the draft value chart roughly equals the 20th pick in the first round.
So theoretically, the 49ers overpaid for Trey the equivalent of a 20th pick (first round) in the draft.