Originally posted by GOAT:
Hey MadDog - Great analysis as always. Look forward to your big board every year around this time.
Question for you on the quarterbacks. I haven't watched as much film as you on any of these guys...mostly just the highlight reels which are no good for actual scouting work. However, being a Kizer fan coming into the draft process, I did watch re-watch a few of his games from beginning to end (Texas, Mich St, Stanford).
I read your analysis on Kizer in a different thread and your biggest knock on him was bad footwork and the fact that he doesn't go through his progressions very well after the primary option. I mostly agree with you based on the film I've watched. When throwing to the primary receiver, some of the throws he makes are out of this world and I doubt there are a handful of other guys in the league that can make those same throws...the kid has a rocket arm. But rarely saw him make a solid throw to a secondary option after resetting in the pocket. However, I attribute some of that to a terrible O-line where he rarely had a clean pocket...Granted, there were times he actually stepped into the rush and felt pressure that wan't actually there causing the pocket to collapse on himself.
My question for you is...Why are you so high on Mahomes when he also has horrible footwork and he rarely sticks around in the pocket? I love his arm and athletic ability and I agree with you in that he has the most upside of the QBs. But he also seems like the riskiest, mainly because of the same knocks you have on Kizer...Why, then, do you think Mahomes is repairable and has the potential to be great but you are so low on Kizer? I think I even read you say that you'd be disappointed if the Niners took Kizer at any point in the draft.
I like both Kizer and Mahomes because of their big arms combined with athletic ability. Sounds a lot like Kaep, I know, but both of these guys have way more fluid throwing motions and I don't see them being as jumpy in the pocket as Kaep. I think Trubs will be the most solid on day 1 because of his accuracy but I don't see the upside that I do with Kizer and Mahomes. Not a huge fan of Watson because of his lack of arm strength combined with a gimmicky offense but the kid has heart and a solid work ethic so maybe he could develop into a starter, but I don't see superstar level arm talent.
So to wrap up my question for you, what do you see as the biggest differences between Mahomes and Kizer and why do you love one and hate the other when they seem to have similar skill sets and similar drawbacks?
Thanks for the kind thoughts. You mentioned a number of things that stand out to me about both QBs. It is difficult to project these guys because all of them have a LONG ways to go before they are effective NFL QBs. The upside to Mahomes stands out to me. Best arm in the draft, elusive, and productive when having to shift off a primary receiver. Buys a lot of time to make throws, but consistently is looking downfield to make plays, not just tuck and run like many do.
To me, he has a bit of a flair to his game, and I think he becomes a really solid leader that guys buy into. To me, he is a smaller version of Big Ben, but with even a bigger personality. Needs time to mature. Footwork is disastrous, but he seems really committed to correct these errors, according to reports.