Originally posted by eastcoast49ersfan:
b******t that the 10th overall pick has to be one of the best players of all time at their position. A lot of players even picked in the top 10 never amount to anything more than average starters. If every player drafted in the top 10 of every draft was a Hall of Fame player, there'd be no room for anyone else in the Hall.
And QB should have a lower hit rate than other positions given it's the most important position. If a QB has a slightly worse chance of being a pro bow player than a running back, teams will value that QB way more than the RB. Alex Smith is now a borderline franchise QB. He's no bust.
What did I say? I said that of course that the draft is full of hits and misses, however my point is that for that value you aim for a player that you hope will be a pro bowler or hall of fame, or at least a player that is considered in the top 10 of his position. If he is just a serviceable player then it is a miss. No sugar coating it.
Also just because a player is the highest rated player at his position, are they worth the VALUE of that pick. At the very least you want the BPA or trade out. So many times teams reach and you know this! If you draft them at say #7, but in a good draft they wouldn't worth anything more than a 2nd or at best a very late 1st, why do you draft the person? Stupid if you draft him at 7 and he turns out to be just a Todd Blackledge when you could have had instead a JJ Watt, Patrick Willis (or pick your choice) player that would have solidified and impacted your team. That is another point-impact. At that high, you want an impact player.
So that is no BS....like I said teams reach and miss. There are guys who look stunning across the board but fail miserably, like a Bosworth or Mandrich, but their play in college AND at the combine were so high, yet you are going to settle?
BECAUSE QB have lower hit rate, you should be more cautious in your selection or as thousands of GMs will say, it will set you back big time if you miss. You don't have to draft a QB that high to win the lotto either. Montana, Brady, Warner, Brees, Warren Moon and many other Pro Bowl QBs were drafted later.