Pythagorean trends are very powerful. If you overperform your Pythagorean, you underperform it the next year, and vice Versa.
The biggest overperformer past year was the packers.
underperformers? Vikings and Dolphins. MIN should have went 6-10 last year. Theyve improved, and will now (on average) win 2 or 3 more games than they should in 2012. So they'll go 10-6 or something like that