Can someone please tell me what is it about the Seahawks that compels "experts" to think they'll win every year? 7.2 with Seattle? My goodness, they must really hate this team. Just imagine what'll happen if/when we win the SB again.
Anyway, I must admit as a fan this type of stuff, while not surprising, just burns me up. But I (and we) also have to keep it in perspective. We just went through YEARS
of meritocracy and under achievement. How many people thought the Pats were just "lucky" when they had their 1st winning season under Bill Parcells? It took Belichick and a SB to cement them as a true power. We won't get these people's respect until we, not just beat, but run up the score on the Pats, Packers, et. al,
then win the SB. It's just that simple (then again look at how they treat the Giants).
Now, having said that, as for the "prognosticators": (form http://49ers.pressdemocrat.com/2012/07/inside-the-49ers/football-outsiders-projects-the-niners-to-win-7-2-games/
"The 49ers actually won 2.2 more games in 2011 than they should have according to Estimated Wins. Since 1991, that discrepancy translates to about two more losses the following season. The 49ers outperformed their Estimated Wins number due in part to a fabulous 7-2 record in close games. We've found that a team's record in close games almost never carries over from one season to the next, so the 49ers can't expect to win as many games in 2012 without getting out to some bigger leads. . . . Although Alex Smith has posted a better-than-average interception rate in each of the past two seasons, his 1.1-percent rate from 2011 is unsustainable…Only 5.4 percent of 49ers offensive drives ended in a turnover, the lowest figure in our drive stats data that goes back to 1997. 23.9 percent of 49ers drives ended in a field goal, the highest figure since 1997."
This is just sicking!! First, the 49ers didn't really outperform. In years past they haven't performed up to the talent on the team due to horrible coaching and poor choice of coaches. I find it interesting that teams like the Chargers, Seahawks, Eagles, Jets and Cowgirls year after year seem to "disappoint" and "underachieve" in the experts eye yet still get their blessings as favorites as SB attendees, only to "disappoint" the experts and "underachieve" yet again. Second, what they don't understand about those close wins is that we, for once since Walsh, actually had a coaching staff with a clue, a plan, and knows how to use the given roster talent in relations to what they want to offensively achieve. When you look at those close wins it's pretty clear those teams were out-coached. Finally, Alex Smith's INT rate is, I agree, unsustainable. Now I didn't buy the full article, but fro what I did read from the link above it seems that they didn't take how the coaching staff handled Alex last season that contributed to that INT rate. This season the coaching staff is gonna open the playbook to Alex and give him complete responsibility. So naturally he'll get more INT's.
Bottom line, 7.2 is a gross disrespect to the team and the coaching staff. And I'm sure this will serve as motivational tools by JH & Co. These people shut the f__k up with a SB win.