Originally posted by nvninerfan1:
Absolutely not. I witnessed Walsh and Seifert missing ocassionally. It's a crap shoot.
Calling the draft "a crap shoot" misses the point. It sounds like you should just close your eyes and throw darts. Walsh said that everyone misses occasionally, but the measure of draft success is whether you miss more often, or less often, than the average. Matt Maiocco's recent survey of draft success indicates that, since 2006, the 49ers have probably been about average, or a little below. Hence, no winning seasons since 2002 and counting. But the biggest problem with 49er drafting has been the failure at the high impact positions, most especially quarterback. Drafting Patrick Willis, Vernon Davis, and Frank Gore, while great, is not enough to offset the failure to find and develop a quarterback.
I feel good with Harbaugh going into this draft because he has a track record of being better than average at identifying future quarterback success. Just as important, I feel confident, for the first time in many years, that we have a Head Coach and staff in place that can develop the quarterback they choose and give him the best possible chance of success. I don't subscribe to the notion that a quarterback's fate is sealed on draft day. I believe that the system he goes into, the supporting cast he has around him, and the way that he is coached and developed are at least as important as his innate ability and drive to succeed. Harbaugh gives me confidence that the 49ers will finally get it right at the most important position because they have the ability to evaluate, select, AND develop the quarterback of the future.