Originally posted by NinerGM:
Originally posted by Ninefan56:
That is Singletary's formula for success, grind teams down, hold onto the ball, increase time of possession, and be in better shape than the other team and more aggressive. Have the defense hold the score down and in the end win, by whatever margin of victory we can get. We won every game by following the formula. Enough odd plays happened to put us out of our formulary and we fell apart. So lets get back to the formula and get another grinding win. We simply have to be disciplined and keep grinding. We are not a high scoring team. If we score more than 24 points we will need the defense and special teams to score for us. That is simply our formula and our team.
I agree with your assessment of what the formula is - there's just one statistical problem with this; the 49ers are a poor running team and are 28th in the league at TOP. Victories have come from turnovers, a couple of freak special teams plays, and a couple of key TD passes or runs in close games. Convincing victories have come against teams who can't muster enough offense to challenge our defense whether they don't have talent or healthy starters.
None of this indicates the 49ers have a sustainable executable formula for consistent winning throughout the season as the schedule becomes more challenging and as team actually prepare and challenge our D. The 49ers are near last in the NFL in every statistical offensive category which means the record indicates the defense and special teams have been over-achieving and have carried this team to a 3-2 record.
The offense has to show some consistency at some point during this season (like the defense) in order for this team to have any hopes of reaching a .500 record.
Actually, this raises an interesting question- assuming our rushing attack doesn't improve dramatically (and I'm not saying that it won't), at what point does Singletary abandon or at least seriously alter the formula and start relying more on the passing game?
If you look at his long-term plan, he wants to be a dominant rushing team, but if in the short-term the rush-focused approach just isn't winning games, he's got to seriously consider opening it up.
With the addition of Crabtree the pressure to change becomes even stronger if the rushing game doesn't pick up. I know Crabtree is a big question mark right now and he has a lot to learn, but his natural ability is bound to have an impact if we can get him the ball.
Singletary is hard-nosed but he's also (I hope) wise enough not to send Frank Gore repeatedly into a brick wall. Let's just hope the O-Line can start executing so we don't have to answer this question.