Originally posted by Psinex:Originally posted by Psinex:Originally posted by TexasNiner:
I think we have a better shot against the Colts and a tough matchup against the Texans. I think that the Colts are slightly above .500 team this year, I'm surprised people still think they are going to be a powerhouse. The other games against Matt Ryan and Jay Cutler are going to require our pass rush to wake up. If our pass rush gets going, then I think we have a pretty good shot at taking down the teams with good QB's.
I just went with the easiest assumptions. The Colts are a perennial playoff team with one of the best QBs in the NFL. We are not close to them on any level. To say we have a better than 50% chance of beating them, would mean that they have fallen off and we have risen, both at dramatic levels.
See this is the attitude of a losing team. That's what holds this team back. "We're not close to them on any level." The Niners have to start believing that they are as good, if not better than any team in order to beat them. I think Singletary has motivated the players in a way that they feel they can beat anyone, regardless of what the media tells them they are supposed to be.
They aren't put into place, they are setting their pace. If you are talking about recent history, yes, we don't have any playoff appearances or titles that compare. But if you look at them state of the teams, I would take the Niners up and coming defense over the old and overrated Colts D. The Colts have a great offense, but last year their line seemed to have problems. They are not invincible.
And word, on the NFC West. Weakest division in football, yada yada. You still have to compete with other divisional teams to win the West. And if I remember, we did a pretty good job beating other divisional teams last year. It was the West that we couldn't seem to beat apart from St. Louis.
At this point, all you can do is take past results and a little bit of off season moves and try and predict a W/L record.
And for me, until the Colts, or any team, which currently wins 10+ games a year, every year, doesn't, you can't favor a team yet to go over .500 in recent memory over them. It's only logical.
I agree the team needs to feel they can beat anyone. And as a fan I WANT them to go 16-0. But, realistically, if you are trying to answer a question about their odds to win a division, before we've even seen a preseason game, you have to give the teams that have proven it the benefit of the doubt. Otherwise your just not being honest about the state of your compeition.
So, regardless of which teams you think are better or worse this year, looking at how many teams outside of our division we play who have been successful teams recently, we have a real challange. It will take very quick progress and many things coming together just right. To think otherwise isn't realistic. And the odds of EVERYTHING coming together just right like that aren't better than worse.
Can it happen? Of course, and we all want it to. But just wanting our team to be better and hoping that rookies suddenly make big impact or that role players become probowlers doens't suddenly put us in a class with the winningest teams in the NFL. No matter how much we want it to be true.
Until we prove it and until teams like that start losing more than they win, you can't pick us to win those games.