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Moneyballer Majestic Mock for Building a Dynasty!

  • Jd925
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 1,116
I created a model to rank players by position so I might as well have fun with it. The 49ers management will be looking and choosing players using their own criteria and I predicted: Cyprien, Tank Carradine, Mathieu (hopefully), Kelce, Quessenbery in that order. They also aren't rebuilding so their strategy should be different anyways.

Since the 49ers have so many draft choices, it is more fun to try to build a whole team with their picks. 76% of NFL stars will be drafted in the first 75 picks according to the numbers I read from Draft Metrics so after that you shouldn't expect too many stars. I wish I had more time to look for solid late round sleepers like in previous years, but I'll just add some high risk flyers in the later rounds in this mock and guys that are just intriguing. I'm going to also fill out the UDFA list later on. This list is all about finding value in the right rounds, but it's hard to say who will be available so I'm making my best guess for now. Here is the list:

1 31 31 Matt Elam S (#1 in my Safety ranking - playmaker from a top SEC defense.. still a Junior)

2 2 34 Kawann Short 3-4 DE (#3 in my DT ranking... captain of team.. team defense was poor, but Short was maybe the most productive DT in this year's class.. )

2 29 61 Tyrann Mathieu CB (#2 corner in my CB ranking after DJ Hayden. One of the biggest playmakers in the draft if he gets back to form. )

3 12 74 Stedman Bailey WR(#1 receiver in my WR ranking and is great value... not ranked high, but 1600yds & 25 TD's as a Junior? )

3 31 93 Marcus Lattimore RB (#3 in my RB ranking and extremely productive when healthy..TD scorer.. and one of nation's top recruit out of high school)

4 31 128 Joseph Fauria TE- (#4 in my TE ranking.. in a very deep TE class) fantastic production.. red zone threat... used more as receiver.. very good measurables

4 34 131 William Gholston 3-4 DE - measurables poor..but 10 passes defended? good stats in one of top defenses in the nation? Junior with room to develop..

5 24 157 Kwame Geathers NT - huge guy to plug middle... back up to good NT so didn't have opportunity to showcase abilities...SEC

6 5 173 Landry Jones QB 16,000 yds passing in Big 12.. great value.. poor measurables..can build around a guy like this

6 12 180 Alex Hurst (former LSU) OT - what is the story with this guy? former SEC starter at LT I think... need an LT

7 31 237 Marquess Wilson (former Wash St) WR- huge production.. character issue, but could understand why he left. situation.. more worried about hands if he
re-dedicates himself to football.

7 40 246 Phillip Steward Houston, OLB- extremely productive small school player

7 46 252 Travis Johnson SJSU, OLB- productive and always improving year over year... measurables poor & small school player

UDFA Trey Wilson Vanderbilt, CB
OL,ILB,FB, Special Teams to be determined. You can find a lot of OL talent in UDFA. I'll look for 4yr starters with poor measurables in good defenses as a start.

What would your mock be if the 49ers were rebuilding their dynasty, you were GM and needed to fill up the roster with talent? Remember it would be good to be somewhat realistic about where players will go, but have fun!

Musings about this NFL draft at:
moneyballer.blogspot.com
I really like your approach here. I took a different approach as well and formulated my mock draft via players our management had private workouts with assuming there will be a significant correlation. Check it out here. It looks like we took two different paths so it will be fun to see how this all pans out.

http://www.49erswebzone.com/forum/nfl-draft/172782-ncommands-first-ever-mock-draft/
Good god no to Elam, I'm gonna be pissed. He's nothing but a Whitner clone, having 2 safeties at 5-10 in the same mold in the box tackling safeties would be a joke
  • Jd925
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 1,116
Originally posted by NCommand:
I really like your approach here. I took a different approach as well and formulated my mock draft via players our management had private workouts with assuming there will be a significant correlation. Check it out here. It looks like we took two different paths so it will be fun to see how this all pans out.

http://www.49erswebzone.com/forum/nfl-draft/172782-ncommands-first-ever-mock-draft/

Yeah that's pretty much what I did to get: Cyp, Tank, Honeybadger, Kelce, Quessenberry... they all had private workouts...so your list or mine will probably be closer than most other mocks. The other dynasty mock I created was from a general statistical model for rebuilding an organization from scratch so that is not meant for the 49ers although the first two picks (Elam, Short) was initially chosen with the niners in mind and I felt it was easier for me to leave it that way. We'll see what happens...