Originally posted by nickbradley:
Originally posted by sfout:
well the fact is that Baalke has traded 3 times in each of the 2 drafts he has managed so you really cant say "this will never happen". To me we are more likely to trade up for a prospect rather then trade back(unless it is by more the 15 spots) because last year we really showed that the league wide perception of value does not apply to us as we "reached" for Aldon by at least 5 spots if not more according to all of the talking heads at the time. We then proceeded to trade up for a 3 year project QB, then we "reached" beyond the word of reach for a cornerback who all of the talks heads had given a 6th round grade and picked him the 3rd. We traded up a small school guard in the 5th and took a DE in the 7th with the intention of making him a FB(albeit this was the fallback for not landing Marecic).
All good points, but predicting trades in a mock draft make the mock itself worthless.
How? What in the definition of "mock draft" indicates trades are irrelevant and void? Everyone knows the Vikings and/or Browns are going to do everything in their power to trade down. The Chargers are always listening to offers, the idea of a trade not happening at all is a baseless assumption. Yes the idea of 6-8 teams trading in round 1 is nearly ludicrous but more then likely there will be at least 2 trades this year, 1 being who ever wants Tannehill, 1 being whoever wants Michael Floyd, a 3rd option could be a team going all in for Trent Richardson if he slips to the Dolphins at 8.
Mock drafts with trades have to be realistic in a sense that you actually have to know who you're targeting and what team your going for, for example I think a logical landing spot for Kendall Wrigh is Cleveland at 22, they need an upgrade in the slot and also need to find a long term replacement for Josh Cribbs at KR(Wright has no history as a KR but would likely be able to pick up a skill like that fairly quickly). So we'd have to trade up to either Tennessee or Cincinnati, the bengals being the more likely target IMHO because a lot of mocks have them taking a Guard(Cordy Glenn) at 21 and they would still be able to land Silatolu or Konz at 30.
So when people make educated trade guesses like that I dont mind it but when people start saying we should trade up to 14 with the Cowboys so we can get Michael Floyd then I start having issues because at that point we might as well go all in and add in 2 more picks and get into the top 10 for Blackmon or a sure shot at DeCastro. Thats when trades get weird, because there is nothing to go on that a team like the cowboys at 14 would be willing to trade that far back.
[ Edited by sfout on Apr 16, 2012 at 07:23:15 ]