1. Colts - QB Andrew Luck
2. Redskins - QB Robert Griffen III
3. Vikings - LT Matt Kalil
4. Browns - RB Trent Richardson
The Vikings make the first real decision of the draft. Should they trade down to gather more picks in 2nd and 3rd? They have many holes to fill. Ultimately they wont be able to pass on Kalil; a cornerstone LT is hard to find. The Browns, on the other hand, should not be considering trading out. They lack offensive playmakers, and two players will be staring them in the face: Blackmon and Richardson. The #4 pick will be Richardson in the end, once the Browns realize all they need to do is hand the ball to Richardson, as opposed to Colt McCoy having to throw it. If Browns go with Blackmon, that is a real commitment to McCoy, and I dont expect that.
5. Bucs - WR Justin Blackmon
6. Rams - CB Morris Claiborne
7. Jags - DE Melvin Ingram
8. Dolphins - QB Ryan Tannenhill
9. Panthers - NT Dontarie Poe
Any team wanting to jump the Rams for Blackmon would be working on a deal with the Bucs for #5. If the Bucs stay at 5, they should look at the production of Blackmon and select him right away. The Rams plan B once Blackmon goes is to upgrade the secondary with Claiborne, they can address WR in the 2nd. Same goes for Jags, they address WR in the 2nd, so they add Ingram. Dolphins take Tannenhill at 8, and could have got him at 18. Panthers make a gamble on Poe at 9, banking that Poe can lead a transition to a 3-4 as space eating NT.
10. Bills - WR Michael Floyd
11. Chiefs - OG David DeCastro
12. Seahawks - LB Luke Kuechly
13. Cardinals - OT Reily Reiff
14. Cowboys - DB Mark Barron
The Bills select Floyd at 10, and get a physical WR that should contribute right away. The next 3 picks are pretty difficult to project. We have DeCastro, Reiff, Kuechly, and the CBs like Kirkpatrick, Gilmore, etc, that could start going. Not to mention all the D-linemen like Coples and Cox that could get drafted here. Cowboys add safety depth with Barron.
15. Eagles - DT Fletcher Cox
16. Jets - CB Dre Kirkpatrick
17. Bengals - CB - Stephon Gilmore
18. Chargers - DE Michael Brockers
19. Bears - DE Quinton Coples
20. Titans - CB Janoris Jenkins
21. Bengals - OT Cordy Glenn
I think in this range there will be a run on CBs and DEs. Each team should select the player that fills a void. I can almost guarantee a trade will happen somewhere in this range. The Pats or, ahem, the 49ers could move up, and the Jets and Chargers could move down. There are many coveted WRs and CBs/DEs in this draft, along with one Coby Fleener.
22. Browns - WR Kendall Wright
23. Lions - OT Jonathan Martin
24. Steelers - LB Donta Hightower
25. Broncos - TE Coby Fleener
26. Texans - WR Stephen Hill
27. Patriots - OLB Nick Perry
28. Packers - RB David Miller
29. Ravens - C Peter Konz
30. 49ers - DT Devon Still
31. Patriots - DB Harrison Smith
32. Giants - LB Whitney Mercilus
I believe that Fleener and Hill will be gone by the time the 9ers 30th pick arrives. We could go with a WR like Randle, or even an OG that would compete with Kilgore, but I think we take Devon Still. Ideally, I would like the Niners to either trade up or down, because I dont love any of the options at 30. But faced with selecting at 30, I play it safe with Devon Still, and improve depth along the D-line. If there were a chance to add a 2013 1st rounder and 2012 2nd rounder for the pick (like we did with Panthers a couple years ago) I would take it.