Originally posted by ninertico:
Originally posted by GhostofFredDean74:
Idiots pick for need when there's a great talent staring them in the face. You also forget that the Pats have another 1st rounder just a few picks later (31st overall), not to mention two 2nd round picks....meaning, they can easily address 3 holes on the defensive side of the ball with top 64 talent.
But hey, if you think the impact of grabbing a defensive player at #27 overall as opposed to #31 overall is that big of a deal, so be it.
Have to ask Ghost....Then, what about Jenkins who's a top twenty talent as opposed to Hill who was never considered a 1st rounder until the Combine? Or Mercilus, who is ranked higher on many boards than Hill? I get why you picked Hill, no question there...could even say he's was a need, too. Still, seems like Mercilus, Jenkins, and Still would be higher on the Pats' board than Hill.
And yes, it's only a guess about that last part. Although, Belichick and I are like peas and carrots.
We really got to throw this notion out the window that there are risers or fallers on draft boards. For one thing, the only draft boards that truly matter (NFL GM's boards), nobody really has a clue about. Sure every now and then a reporter will say "he has heard" but for all we know it is smoke and mirrors.
The risers and falls on draft boards only pertains to the people on the outside, and its usually because people on the outside can't spend 24/7 watching video. I'd love if I could. So what happens is people watch some of a player, guess at where his value is and then usually re-evaluate him several more times as they learn more about him. Some players, the more you learn about the more you like, others the more you learn the less you like.
But the whole riser and faller hype is mostly the product of outsiders not being able to spend all day and know every single player and seen them in all of their games. Hell even GMs don't have that luxury (they have regional scouts that do this).
Maybe Stephen Hill falls, maybe he doesn't. We won't know what NFL GMs REALLY think until draft day, thats what makes it so much fun.Until then we can just debate on how good we think a guy is.
But debating whether a guy is a late 1st rounder or an early 2nd rounder based on GM boards we have no idea about seems silly to me. Instead we should be talking about whether you think Stephen Hill is worth it or not (or any other player).
On a side note, if Stephen Hill goes in the 1st, I wonder if he will have the fewest catches of any 1st round WR?
[ Edited by SunDevilNiner79 on Mar 13, 2012 at 12:55 PM ]