Originally posted by Ninerjohn:
It is simply foolish to label any first rd WR a bust until they have played at least 3-4 years in the league. How on earth can you label Demaryius THomas a bust? He had Tim Tebow as his QB this season. You could have put Calvin Johnson on that team and he wouldnt have gotten 1000 yards. Tell the Steelers that he is a bust.
Rookie Wrs typically take a year or two to get the pro system and make huge impacts. Obviously expectations are high for a 1st round pick taken in the top 10 to produce right away but it doesnt happen most of the time. That doesnt mean they are busts or arent #1 receivers for their teams.
Agreed. I added the players in the last few years so that someone wouldn't say that it was a trend, and look at the last few years there are far more successful first round WR's... that simply hasn't been proven yet. So I was looking at a very limited sample size for those players and that makes it much harder to label them as a success or bust based on threir draft position... SO with that being said I will NOT look at anyone in the last 4 drafts...
22 of the 30 WR's (73%) drafted from 2001-2007 have NOT lived up to the expectations of a first round draft pick... IF you want to say that Braylon Edwards and Robert Meachem and even Roy Williams have met or exceeded expectations (with thier COMBINED TWO 1000 yard season) then FINE... not what I want or expect from a first round pick, and I would be dissapointed if we draft a WR with our first pick and he puts up those types of numbers. With those three added that is still 19 of 30 who failed to meet expectations 63%.
2007 Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech (2nd pick - Detroit) Ted Ginn, Jr., Ohio State (9th pick – Miami) Dwayne Bowe, LSU (23rd pick - Kansas City) Robert Meachem, Tennessee (27th pick - New Orleans) Craig Davis, LSU (30th pick - San Diego) Anthony Gonzalez, Ohio State (32nd pick- Indianapolis)
2006 Santonio Holmes, Ohio State (25th pick - Pittsburgh)
2005 Braylon Edwards, Michigan (3rd pick – Cleveland) Troy Williamson, South Carolina (7th pick – Minnesota) Mike Williams, USC (10th pick – Detroit) Matt Jones, Arkansas (21st pick – Jacksonville) Mark Clayton, Oklahoma (22nd pick – Baltimore) Roddy White, UAB (27th pick – Atlanta)
2004 Larry Fitzgerald, Pittsburgh (3rd pick – Arizona) Roy Williams, Texas (7th pick – Detroit) Reggie Williams, Washington (9th pick – Jacksonville) Michael Jenkins, Ohio State (29th pick – Atlanta) Rashaun Woods, Oklahoma State (31st pick – San Francisco)
2003 Charles Rogers, Michigan State (2nd pick – Detroit) Andre Johnson, Miami-FL (3rd pick – Houston) Bryant Johnson, Penn State (17th pick – Arizona)
2002 Donte Stallworth, Tennessee (13th pick, New Orleans) Ashley Lelie, Hawaii (19th pick - Denver) Javon Walker, Florida State (20th pick – Green Bay)
2001 David Terrell, Michigan (8th pick – Chicago) Koren Robinson, NC State (9th pick – Seattle) Rod Gardner, Clemson (15th pick – Washington) Santana Moss, Miami-FL (16th pick - NY Jets) Freddie Mitchell, UCLA (25th pick – Philadelphia) Reggie Wayne, Miami-FL (30th pick – Indianapolis)