MadDog's Big 254 Board- April 12 Edition

MadDog49er · 2011-04-12T18:35:06-07:00

Only two weeks and two days before Draft Thursday. Gentlemen, start your engines. This is my first edition of the full draft board. Although the first round picks in this board should be considered a "mock draft", with the enormous amount of trading that takes place over 7 rounds, this board should be thought of more as a general area where a player will be taken (I think that inside the first round, trades will be made that push players higher or lowers than expected). In other words, I am not projecting an exact player for an exact team at a specific spot for all 254 picks. If there are players you believe are missed on this board, I would love to hear your opinion on which ones, and where you project them. P.S. Even the best in the business miss on well more than 50 players being selected out of the 250+ plus. Two years ago, I missed on exactly 52 players, and felt it was a horrifically disappointing year. However, in reviewing the other 7 round mocks, from experts such as Mel, Todd, and company, I found that they averaged 60-75 players that they did not project to be drafted. So, while I beat all the experts in total number of players selected, it just goes to show the inact science of the draft, and the humiliating experience of projecting future draftees. In this draft, I do see a series of QB's taken in the first round (five), as teams scramble to get QB's on their roster. I project Ryan Mallett to be the last of the top seven QB's, but still in the top 41 picks. Cheers. 2011 NFL Draft 254 Big Board Pick Player School Position 1 Cam Newton Auburn QB 2 Marcell Dareus Alabama DT 3 Von Miller Texas A&M OLB 4 Blaine Gabbert Missouri QB 5 Patrick Peterson LSU CB 6 AJ Green Georgia WR 7 Prince Amukamara Nebraska CB 8 Nick Fairley Auburn DT 9 Tyron Smith USC OT 10 Julio Jones Alabama WR 11 Corey Liuget Illinois DT 12 Robert Quinn North Carolina DE 13 JJ Watt Wisconsin DE/DT 14 Phil Taylor Baylor DT 15 Jake Locker Washington QB 16 Cameron Jordan Cal DE/DT 17 Aldon Smith Missouri DE 18 Anthony Castonzo Boston College OT 19 Mike Pouncey Florida C 20 Da'Quan Bowers Clemson DE 21 Nate Solder Colorado OT 22 Derek Sherrod Mississippi St OT 23 Gabe Carimi Wisconsin OT 24 Cameron Heyward Ohio State DE/DT 25 Christian Ponder Florida State QB 26 Ryan Kerrigan Purdue DE 27 Torrey Smith Maryland WR 28 Andy Dalton TCU QB 29 Danny Watkins Baylor G/C 30 Akeem Ayers UCLA OLB 31 Jimmy Smith Colorado CB 32 Brooks Reed Arizona DE 33 Ben Ijalana Villanova OT/OG 34 Stephen Paea Oregon St DT 35 Muhammad Wilkerson Temple DT 36 Jabaal Sheard Pittsburgh DE 37 Colin Kaepernick Nevada QB 38 Marvin Austin North Carolina DT 39 Mark Ingram Alabama RB 40 Adrian Clayborn Iowa DE/DT 41 Ryan Mallett Arkansas QB 42 Mikel LeShoure Illinois RB 43 Randall Cobb Kentucky WR 44 Aaron Williams Texas CB 45 Justin Houston Georgia OLB 46 Ryan Williams Virginia Tech RB 47 Brandon Harris Miami CB 48 Kyle Rudolph Notre Dame TE 49 Ras-I Dowling Virginia CB 50 Rahim Moore UCLA S 51 Jonathan Baldwin Pittsburgh WR 52 Christian Ballard Iowa DE 53 James Carpenter Alabama OT 54 Leonard Hankerson Miami WR 55 Martez Wilson Illinois LB 56 Rodney Hudson Florida State G/C 57 Titus Young Boise St WR 58 Daniel Thomas Kansas St RB 59 Jerrel Jernigan Troy WR 60 Davon House New Mexico CB 61 Marcus Cannon TCU OT/OG 62 Drake Nevis LSU DT 63 Taiwan Jones Eastern Washington RB 64 Curtis Brown Texas CB 65 Kendall Hunter Oklahoma St RB 66 Jordan Todman Connecticut RB 67 Mason Foster Washington OLB 68 Will Rackley Lehigh G 69 Marcus Gilbert Florida OT 70 Jarvis Jenkins Clemson DT 71 Kenrick Ellis Hampton DT 72 Chris Culliver South Carolina S 73 Bruce Carter North Carolina LB 74 Lance Kendricks Wisconsin TE 75 Quinton Carter Oklahoma S 76 Sam Acho Texas DE 77 Allen Bailey Miami DE 78 Terrell McClain South Florida DT 79 Dontay Moch Nevada OLB 80 Ricky Stanzi Iowa QB 81 Curtis Marsh Utah St CB 82 Stefen Wisniewski Penn State C 83 Greg Little North Carolina WR 84 DeMarco Murray Oklahoma RB 85 Marcus Gilchrist Clemson CB 86 Lawrence Guy Arizona St DT 87 Orlando Franklin Miami G/OT 88 Quan Sturdivant North Carolina LB 89 Edmond Gates Abilene Christian WR 90 Clint Boling Georgia G 91 Tandon Doss Indiana WR 92 James Brewer Indiana G 93 Brandon Burton Utah CB 94 DJ Williams Arkansas TE 95 Jordan Cameron USC TE 96 Tyler Sash Iowa S 97 Da'Rel Scott Maryland RB 98 Rashad Carmichael Virginia Tech CB 99 Chris Carter Fresno St OLB 100 Johnny Patrick Louisville CB 101 Shareece Wright USC CB 102 Jason Pinkston Pittsburgh G/OT 103 Julius Thomas Portland St TE 104 Dion Lewis Pittsburgh RB 105 John Moffitt Wisconsin G/C 106 Derrick Locke Kentucky RB 107 Jerrell Powe Mississippi DT 108 Alex Green Hawaii RB 109 Buster Skrine Chattanooga CB 110 Colin McCarthy Miami ILB 111 Virgil Green Nevada TE 112 Shane Vereen Cal RB 113 Luke Stocker Tennessee TE 114 DeAndre McDaniel Clemson S 115 Nate Irving NC State LB 116 Deleone Carter Syracuse RB 117 DeMarcus Van Dyke Miami CB 118 Roy Helu Nebraska RB 119 Sione Fua Stanford DT 120 Jalil Brown Colorado CB 121 Jeron Johnson Boise St S 122 KJ Wright Mississippi St OLB 123 Jaiquawn Jarrett Temple S 124 Jacquizz Rodgers Oregon St RB 125 Byron Stingily Lousville OT 126 Chris Conte Cal S 127 Chimdi Chekwa Ohio State CB 128 Greg Salas Hawaii WR 129 Josh Thomas Buffalo CB 130 Owen Marecic Stanford FB 131 Aldrick Robinson SMU WR 132 Nate Irving NC St ILB 133 Jurrell Casey USC DT 134 Kelvin Sheppard LSU ILB 135 Stephen Burton West Texas A&M WR 136 Greg Jones Michigan St LB 137 Lawrence Wilson Connecticut OLB 138 Jamie Harper Clemson RB 139 Austin Pettis Boise St WR 140 Justin Rogers Richmond CB 141 Joe Lefeged Rutgers S 142 Cecil Shorts III Mount Union WR 143 Ian Williams Notre Dame DT 144 Korey Lindsey-Woods Southern Illinois CB 145 Robert Sands West Virginia S 146 Alex Henery Nebraska K 147 David Carter UCLA DE/DT 148 Ronald Johnson USC WR 149 Mario Fannin Auburn RB 150 Rob Housler Florida Atlantic TE 151 Deunta Williams North Carolina S 152 Terrance Tolliver LSU WR 153 Tim Barnes Missouri C 154 Stephen Schilling Michigan G 155 Niles Paul Nebraska WR 156 Ricardo Lockette Fort Valley St WR 157 Ugo Chinasa Oklahoma St DE 158 Shiloh Keo Idaho S 159 Anthony Allen Georgia Tech RB 160 Stanley Havili USC FB 161 Jah Reid Central Florida OT 162 Charles Clay Tulsa FB 163 Greg McElroy Alabama QB 164 Joseph Barksdale LSU OT 165 Bilal Powell Louisville RB 166 Brandon Fusco Slippery Rock C 167 Martin Parker Richmond DT 168 Denarius Moore Tennessee WR 169 Derek Newton Arkansas St OT 170 Cortez Allen Citadel CB 171 Pierre Allen Nebraska DE 172 Graig Cooper Miami RB 173 Jerrard Tarrant Georgia Tech S 174 Mike Mohamed Cal LB 175 Chykie Brown Texas CB 176 Stevan Ridley LSU RB 177 Anthony Sherman Connecticut FB 178 Adrian Moten Maryland LB 179 Nic Grigsby Arizona RB 180 Jason Kelce Cincinnati C 181 Brandon Bair Oregon DE 182 Cedric Thorton Central Arkansas DT 183 Zane Taylor Utah C 184 Dwayne Harris East Carolina WR 185 Mark Legree Appalachian St S 186 Jeremy Kerley TCU WR 187 Chris Hairston Clemson OT 188 Lee Ziemba Auburn OT 189 Greg Romeus Pittsburgh DE 190 Ahmad Black Florida S 191 Brandon Saine Ohio St RB 192 Justin Boren Ohio St G 193 Casey Matthews Oregon LB 194 Kris O'Dowd USC C 195 Kendric Burney North Carolina CB 196 Doug Hogue Syracuse LB 197 Ross Homan Ohio St LB 198 Pat Devlin Delaware QB 199 Jake Kirkpatrick TCU C 200 Tyrod Taylor Virginia Tech QB 201 Zach Clayton Auburn DT 202 Davonte Shannon Buffalo S 203 Colin Jones TCU S 204 Zach Hurd Connecticut G 205 Vic So'oto BYU DE 206 Jarred Fayson Illinois WR 207 David Arkin Missouri St G 208 Brett Brackett Penn St TE 209 Byron Maxwell Clemson CB 210 Kai Forbath UCLA K 211 Armon Binns Cincinnati WR 212 Cheta Ozougwu Rice DE/OLB 213 Richard Sherman Stanford CB 214 Kevin Rutland Missouri CB 215 Mario Harvey Marshall ILB 216 Nathan Enderle Idaho QB 217 Willie Smith East Carolina OT 218 TJ Yates North Carolina QB 219 Chas Henry Florida P 220 Josh Gatlin North Dakota St CB 221 Matt Murphy UNLV OT/G 222 Henry Hynoski Pittsburgh FB 223 Johnny White North Carolina RB 224 Dexter Larimore Ohio St DT 225 Chris Prosinski Wyoming S 226 Andre Holmes Hillsdale WR 227 JaMorris Warren Central Missouri St WR 228 Ryan Taylor North Carolina FB 229 Jeff Tarpinian Iowa LB 230 Malcolm Smith USC LB 231 David Mims Virginia Union OT 232 Tommy Irvin Wofford S 233 Donald Buckram Texas El-Paso RB 234 Antareis Bryan Baylor CB 235 Kris Durham Georgia WR 236 Eric Hagg Nebraska S 237 Blaine Sumner Colorado School of Mines DT 238 Andrew Jackson Fresno St G 239 Anthony Gray Southern Mississippi DT 240 Ryan Jones Northwest Missouri St CB 241 Alex Wujciak Maryland LB 242 Ray Dominguez Arkansas G 243 Collin Franklin Iowa St TE 244 Kealoha Pilares Hawaii WR 245 Eric Gordon Michigan St LB 246 Frank Kearse Alabama A&M DT 247 Akeem Dent Georgia LB 248 Johnny Culbreath South Carolina St OT 249 Jabara Williams Stephen F Austin LB 250 Marc Schiecl Colorado School of Mines DE/OLB 251 Schuylar Oordt Northern Iowa TE 252 Dontavia Bogan South Florida WR 253 Jarriel King South Carolina OT 254 Adam Froman Louisville QB

Apr 12, 2011 at 6:53 PM

Amir
RIP Amir, Hall of Fame
Posts: 28,036

Great job as usual. Bowers' knee has really hurt us. He was supposed to be a top 10 pick but doesn't look like that anymore. He may have been the one to push Peterson down to us. Let's hope some team looks past that and still takes him top 6. Wishful thinking, but crazier things have happened.

Apr 12, 2011 at 6:58 PM

ninertico
Veteran
Posts: 10,259

I love it!!!

Dalton at #28!

What you trying to say, MD?

Apr 12, 2011 at 7:04 PM

KezarLivin
Veteran
Posts: 3,902

Thanks for all your hard work!

Good to see Kealoha Pilares and my favorite NT/Tree Stump Anthony Gray made the cut!

Apr 12, 2011 at 7:32 PM

Sunshine
Veteran
Posts: 3,508

Excellent work as always MD! Who do you project he 49ers targeting at QB (I know this is not a direct mock, but if it fell like this, who do you think we'd go for)?

Apr 12, 2011 at 8:15 PM

ChaunceyGardner
Q46 Draft Winner
Posts: 23,920

I am removing all Ohio State players from my board.

Apr 12, 2011 at 9:08 PM

PacTiger
Member
Posts: 30,146

I am curious. Is this your board of best talent or best player available? Or is this a list of how you feel GM's are rating players as a whole?

Apr 12, 2011 at 9:09 PM

49erThrowback
Veteran
Posts: 1,194

Originally posted by Baugh_Area:
Excellent work as always MD! Who do you project he 49ers targeting at QB (I know this is not a direct mock, but if it fell like this, who do you think we'd go for)?

If it really does play out this way, I think it's going to be tough for the Niners to find a trading partner near the end of the first/beginning of the second round, unless they're willing to give up high picks in next year's draft. There are just too many good players left between 18-44. The successful teams will be able to snag a good player at the bottom of the round, and the lousy teams at the top of the second likewise. The plethora of picks the Niners have in rds. 5, 6 and 7 will be worthless as trade bait to either good or bad teams this year.

They may not be in a position to pick any QB that's worth more than a nose full of snot.

[ Edited by 49erThrowback on Apr 12, 2011 at 9:11 PM ]

Apr 12, 2011 at 9:19 PM

jreff22
Veteran
Posts: 67,413

45 Justin Houston Georgia OLB

Apr 12, 2011 at 9:23 PM

LottOfDefense
Veteran
Posts: 2,754

Originally posted by Amir_Mamu:
Great job as usual. Bowers' knee has really hurt us. He was supposed to be a top 10 pick but doesn't look like that anymore. He may have been the one to push Peterson down to us. Let's hope some team looks past that and still takes him top 6. Wishful thinking, but crazier things have happened.

Why does everyone keep saying this? How greedy can fans be? The guy is loosing millions of dollars and has health issues, but all everyone here cares about is PP falling to #7.

Apr 12, 2011 at 9:31 PM

#10

jreff22
Veteran
Posts: 67,413

Originally posted by LottOfDefense:
Originally posted by Amir_Mamu:
Great job as usual. Bowers' knee has really hurt us. He was supposed to be a top 10 pick but doesn't look like that anymore. He may have been the one to push Peterson down to us. Let's hope some team looks past that and still takes him top 6. Wishful thinking, but crazier things have happened.

Why does everyone keep saying this? How greedy can fans be? The guy is loosing millions of dollars and has health issues, but all everyone here cares about is PP falling to #7.

This is about making the team better and the chess battle that is the draft. He isn't dieing of cancer and will still me a millionaire, yes I'm more concerned about PP.

Apr 12, 2011 at 9:35 PM

#11

WillistheWall
Veteran
Posts: 22,848

Originally posted by jreff22:
Originally posted by LottOfDefense:
Originally posted by Amir_Mamu:
Great job as usual. Bowers' knee has really hurt us. He was supposed to be a top 10 pick but doesn't look like that anymore. He may have been the one to push Peterson down to us. Let's hope some team looks past that and still takes him top 6. Wishful thinking, but crazier things have happened.

Why does everyone keep saying this? How greedy can fans be? The guy is loosing millions of dollars and has health issues, but all everyone here cares about is PP falling to #7.

This is about making the team better and the chess battle that is the draft. He isn't dieing of cancer and will still me a millionaire, yes I'm more concerned about PP.

Eh even if we dont get Peterson, Prince is definitely not a bad consolation prize. Prince or Quinn. It'd be kinda cool if Bowers fell all the way to pick 45. He doesn't really fit our system too well but he's too talented to pass up anyway.

Apr 12, 2011 at 9:46 PM

#12

jreff22
Veteran
Posts: 67,413

Originally posted by WillistheWall:
Originally posted by jreff22:
Originally posted by LottOfDefense:
Originally posted by Amir_Mamu:
Great job as usual. Bowers' knee has really hurt us. He was supposed to be a top 10 pick but doesn't look like that anymore. He may have been the one to push Peterson down to us. Let's hope some team looks past that and still takes him top 6. Wishful thinking, but crazier things have happened.

Why does everyone keep saying this? How greedy can fans be? The guy is loosing millions of dollars and has health issues, but all everyone here cares about is PP falling to #7.

This is about making the team better and the chess battle that is the draft. He isn't dieing of cancer and will still me a millionaire, yes I'm more concerned about PP.

Eh even if we dont get Peterson, Prince is definitely not a bad consolation prize. Prince or Quinn. It'd be kinda cool if Bowers fell all the way to pick 45. He doesn't really fit our system too well but he's too talented to pass up anyway.

PP will make a massive improvement, I live Prince but PP is DA MAN

Apr 12, 2011 at 9:47 PM

#13

YungAce
Veteran
Posts: 46,920

i'd be ecstatic coming out of the first round with either peterson or green

Apr 12, 2011 at 10:11 PM

#14

toeknee
Veteran
Posts: 54,571

So you think that if the Niners wanted to draft Dalton they would have to draft up ahead of the Seahawks?